Structural Changes in the Agricultural Economy

Testimony at public hearing before the House of Representatives Committee on Agriculture on October 18, 2007

State of the Farm Economy and the Impact of Federal Policy on Agriculture

Testimony before the Subcommittee on General Farm Commodities and Risk Management, U.S. House Committee on Agriculture, September 29, 2005

Crop Insurance: Background Statistics on Participation and Results

Crop insurance has increased in importance relative to many other farm programs. The report provides background information on crop insurance participation and results in response to requests from the offices of Senator Claire McCaskill and Representative JoAnn Emerson.Material in this publication is based upon work supported by the Cooperative State Research,Education and Extension Service; US Department of Agriculture, under Agreement No. 2009, 3419‐19825

Global Markets for Agricultural Products 2003 - 2012

Further information may be found at http://www.tnet.teagasc.ie/fapri/pubandrep2003.htmThe 2003 global baseline reflects a variety of the short-term issues that have and will continue to affect the sector. These range from crop short-falls in the northern and southern hemisphere to the continued economic weakness, from the continuing sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) difficulties in a number of countries around the world, to the unfolding agricultural policy and trade reform process. There are three major macroeconomic drivers of this baseline projection. They are (i) continued weakness in Latin American economies, (ii) recovery in most of the rest of the world -- particularly central Europe and several members of the Former Soviet Union, and (iii) a significant devaluation of the United States dollar relative to many of the other major currencies including the euro

Reforming the CAP: A Partial Equilibrium Analysis of the MTR Proposals

Contributed paper selected for presentation at the 25th International Conference of Agricultural Economists, August 16-22, 2003, Durban, South Africa.In the Mid-Term Review (MTR), the European Commission proposed a series of changes to the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). An important part of these changes was significant decoupling of support payments from production. In this paper, a partial equilibrium model of the EU agricultural sector is used to estimate the potential impacts of the MTR proposals on EU and world agricultural markets over the period 2004-2009. Effects of the MTR proposals are evaluated by comparing estimated outcomes under the proposals to those that would result under a current-policy baseline. The changes that are made in the MTR have the effect of reducing the production of the major commodities by varying amounts based on the importance of payments in production and the degree to which these payments are currently production inducing. For example, total area harvested for nine major crops falls by about 2 percent under the MTR proposals. In the livestock sector, however, where current payments are strongly coupled and form a large part of producers' income, the reductions in production are projected to be more significant

Economic Impacts of Not Extending Biofuels Subsidies

This study uses a stochastic model to analyze the impact of not extending the ethanol tax credit, the ethanol import tariff, or the $1.00 per gallon biodiesel tax credit on the biofuels and agricultural commodity markets

Challenges of incorporating EU enlargement and CAP reform in the GOLD model framework

Published as part of the 89th Parma European Association of Agricultural Economists seminar “Modelling agricultural policies: state of the art and new challenges” proceedings. Further information may be found at http://www.lei.dlo.nl/EAAE/index.php3?page=en/content/past_seminars/past_seminars.htmThere cannot have been many circumstances that have challenged the modeller of agricultural markets to the extent that the developments in the EU in recent years have. The enlargement of the EU involving a large number of countries, with important agricultural sectors, many emerging from a volatile transition from centrally planning, raises many issues. Moreover this is occurring at a time of radical reform of the CAP, with the substantial decoupling of payments, an area that has attracted some research but provides little concrete guidance for sector level modellers. In this paper the challenges of each of these developments are outlined and their importance to the sector addressed. Some strategies in dealing with the issues and the impact on the model results are evaluated

Biofuel policies and markets in an uncertain world

Item is also cross-listed at http://hdl.handle.net/10355/1310.This FAPRI presentation discusses biofuel policies and global markets, topics include change in grain domestic use, world oil supply and corn and ethanol prices. Presentation by Seth Meyer at the MU Energy Summit at the University of Missouri-Columbia. April 23, 20098, Columbia, MO

MTR and the EU Commission Proposal for the WTO: - An analysis of their effect on the EU and Irish agricultural sector

Further information may be found at http://www.tnet.teagasc.ie/fapri/pubandrep2003.htmIn the short history of the FAPRI-Ireland Partnership there has been no shortage of policy proposals to analyse. As part of the Agenda 2000 process the CAP is undergoing significant reform following the agreement made at the European Council in Berlin in 1999. This agreement had widespread implications for agriculture in Ireland, particularly for the beef sector. The changes that were agreed at that time have not even been fully implemented and there is already another reform document on the table, containing even more radical proposals for reform

FAPRI-Ireland 2003 EU Baseline Briefing Book

For six years the FAPRI-Ireland Partnership has been producing analysis of agricultural policy for the EU, with a focus on the impacts for Ireland. The process that generates this analysis involves first developing a baseline, a set of figures produced under the assumption that current policies remain in place. In the case of Europe, this means that agricultural policy in the EU is that which prevailed in January 2003. The baseline does include the reforms that were agreed under Agenda 2000 that have yet to be implemented for the dairy sector, where intervention prices were scheduled to fall between 2005 and 2007, and provisions from the Uruguay round