32 research outputs found
Modelling the survival function of the Spanish population by the Wong–Tsui model with the incorporation of frailty and covariates
Differences in age-specific mortality between wild-caught and captive-born Asian elephants
Wild-capture of numerous species is common for diverse purposes, including medical experiments, conservation, veterinary interventions and research, but little objective data exists on its consequences. We use exceptional demographic records on Asian elephants from timber camps in Myanmar to investigate the long-term consequences of wild-capture during 1951–2000 on their mortality (N = 5150). We show that captured elephants have increased mortality compared to captive-born elephants, regardless of their capture method. These detrimental effects of capture are similar for both sexes but differ substantially according to age. Elephants captured and tamed at older ages show a higher increase in mortality after capture than elephants captured and tamed young. Moreover, the increased mortality risk following capture and taming is still perceived several years after capture. Our results are timely given the continued capture of elephants and other wild animals to supplement captive populations despite the alarming declines of wild populations globally
Mortality Modeling
Mortality models approximate mortality patterns or dynamics over age and time. An age pattern of mortality can be any mathematical function of mortality, such as rates, probabilities, survivorship, or death distributions. Such functions may be modeled in the form of a life table or a simplified function with some parameters. Mortality models in general fall into three main categories: (i) models designed to help understand regularities in mortality patterns and dynamics, for example where population-level mortality patterns are modeled as an emergent property of dynamics at the individual level, (ii) those that aim to predict mortality patterns, for example for purposes of pension provisions, and (iii) those aimed at mortality measurement for purposes of mortality and health monitoring. In the following, mortality modeling refers to models of mortality measurement at the population level