Antenatal screening for Down's syndrome: Revised nuchal translucency upper truncation limit due to improved precision of measurement

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the improved precision of nuchal translucency (NT) measurement used in antenatal screening for Down’s syndrome observed over time as evidenced by a decrease in the multiple of the median (MoM) standard deviation requires a modification to the NT MoM truncation limits to maintain accurate risk estimation. METHODS: Probability plots were derived from the measurements of NT MoM values used in a 2018 audit of 22,362 unaffected pregnancies. The plots were used to determine whether the NT MoM upper truncation limit should be lowered. Validation plots were used to assess the screening accuracy of Down’s syndrome risk estimates calculated from observed NT MoM values in the 22,362 unaffected pregnancies and 69 Down’s syndrome pregnancies for original and revised NT MoM truncation limits. RESULTS: Probability plots indicated that with improved precision of NT measurements, there was deviation from a Gaussian distribution at less high MoM values than with less precise measurements. Validation plots showed that using the current NT MoM upper truncation limit of 2.5 MoM with improved precision NT measurements overestimates the Down’s syndrome risk (median risk in highest risk category expressed as an odds was 53.3:1 and observed prevalence was 1:1.1). The large discrepancy was corrected by changing the NT upper truncation limit to 2.0 MoM (median risk in highest risk category expressed as an odds was 1:1.78 and observed prevalence 1:2.7). CONCLUSION: The NT MoM upper truncation limit should be reduced from 2.5 to 2.0 MoM

Prenatal screening for Down syndrome in twin pregnancies: Estimates of screening performance based on 61 affected and 7302 unaffected twin pregnancies

This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process, which may lead to differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please cite this article as doi: 10.1002/pd.538

Prevention of Neural Tube Defects: A Cross-Sectional Study of the Uptake of Folic Acid Supplementation in Nearly Half a Million Women

BACKGROUND: Taking folic acid supplements before pregnancy to reduce the risk of a neural tube defect (NTD) is especially important in countries without universal folic acid fortification. The extent of folic acid supplementation among women who had antenatal screening for Down's syndrome and NTDs at the Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, London between 1999 and 2012 was assessed. METHODS AND FINDINGS: 466,860 women screened provided details on folic acid supplementation. The proportion of women who took folic acid supplements before pregnancy was determined according to year and characteristics of the women. The proportion of women taking folic acid supplements before pregnancy declined from 35% (95% CI 34%-35%) in 1999-2001 to 31% (30%-31%) in 2011-2012. 6% (5%-6%) of women aged under 20 took folic acid supplements before pregnancy compared with 40% of women aged between 35 and 39. Non-Caucasian women were less likely to take folic acid supplements before pregnancy than Caucasian women; Afro-Caribbean 17% (16%-17%), Oriental 25% (24%-25%) and South Asian 20% (20%-21%) compared with 35% (35%-35%) for Caucasian women. 51% (48%-55%) of women who previously had an NTD pregnancy took folic acid supplements before the current pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: The policy of folic acid supplementation is failing and has led to health inequalities. This study demonstrates the need to fortify flour and other cereal grain with folic acid in all countries of the world

Specifying a Gold Standard for the Validation of Fetal Fraction Estimation in Prenatal Screening.

BACKGROUND: An estimate of fetal fraction (FF) is needed for DNA-based screening for trisomy 21 and other aneuploidies, but there is no gold standard to validate FF measurement methods. We specify a gold standard and use it to validate a method of measuring FF (SeqFF) in singleton pregnancies. METHODS: The gold standard was a formula derived from 2 elements: (a) an estimate of the percentage of DNA fragments in maternal plasma from chromosome 21 (%Ch21) in pregnancies without trisomy 21, 18, or 13 (PU) and (b) calculation of %Ch21 with increasing FF in trisomy 21 pregnancies (P21). The SeqFF method was evaluated by plotting regression lines of %Ch21 and SeqFF estimates of FF in 31 singleton male and 31 female trisomy 21 pregnancies and comparing the regressions with the reference line derived from the gold standard formula. RESULTS: The gold standard formula was P21 = (1/2)PUFF + PU, with FF expressed as a proportion, or converting %Ch21 to multiples of the median (MoM), P21(MoM) = (1/2)FF + 1. Based on 3865 pregnancies, the PU was 1.2935%. The regression lines for trisomy 21 pregnancies with male and female fetuses were almost identical to the gold standard reference line (regression slopes in MoMs 0.52 and 0.50, respectively, compared with 0.50 for the gold standard reference line). CONCLUSIONS: The proposed gold standard can be used to validate different methods of estimating FF in singleton pregnancies. SeqFF is an accurate method of estimating FF

Prospective experience with contingent screening strategy for Down syndrome in Estonia

The purpose of this study was to establish the first-trimester screening for Down syndrome (DS) in Estonia and to evaluate the potential of a contingent screening in the population of pregnant women. A prospective cohort study included non-selected pregnancies during the programme of first-trimester screening for DS in a 4-year period at a single centre. The following screening tests were evaluated: measurement of nuchal translucency (NT) and serum screening [pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and free beta subunit of human chorionic gonadotropin (fβ-HCG)]; results were given as combined screening. After first-trimester screening, contingent screening protocol was used, and women were divided into three groups: high risk, low risk and an intermediate risk group. In the last group, a second-trimester triple test (AFP; total HCG and uE3) was also performed. The study group consisted of 3,194 non-selected pregnancies. In 1,387 (43.4%) women, first-trimester serum screening showed low risk (risk ≤ 1:5,000), and no future testing was performed, in 30 (0.9%) women screening test showed high risk (risk ≥ 1:50) and a diagnostic test was offered, and in 1,777 (55.7%) women repeated risk calculation in the second trimester was done. During the study period, there were 17 cases of trisomy 21, of which 15 (88.3%) were detected with the described screening programme. In conclusion, two-step contingent sequential screening is a better choice for Down syndrome screening in Estonia instead of previously used second-trimester screening, and it offers the advantage of earlier diagnosis