Integrating explicit contextual priors and kinematic information during anticipation

© 2020 The Author(s). We examined the interaction between explicit contextual priors and kinematic information during anticipation in soccer. We employed a video-based anticipation task where skilled soccer players had to predict the direction of the imminent actions of an attacking opponent in possession of the ball. The players performed the task both with and without explicit contextual priors pertaining to the opponent’s action tendencies. The strength of the opponent’s action tendencies was altered in order to manipulate the reliability of contextual priors (low vs. high). Moreover, the reliability of kinematic information (low vs. high) was manipulated using the temporal occlusion paradigm. The explicit provision of contextual priors biased anticipation towards the most likely direction, given the opponent’s action tendencies, and resulted in enhanced performance. This effect was greater under conditions where the reliability of kinematic information was low rather than high. When the reliability of kinematic information was high, the players used explicit contextual priors of high, but not low, reliability to inform their judgements. Findings suggest that athletes employ reliability-based strategies when integrating contextual priors with kinematic information during anticipation. The impact of explicit contextual priors is dependent on the reliability both of the priors and the evolving kinematic information

Judgement utility modulates the use of explicit contextual priors and visual information during anticipation

Objectives: We examined the impact of judgement utility on the use of explicit contextual priors and visual information during action anticipation in soccer. Design: We employed a repeated measures design, in which expert soccer players had to perform a video-based anticipation task under various conditions. Methods: The task required the players to predict the direction (left or right) of an oncoming opponent’s imminent actions. Performance and verbal reports of thoughts from players were compared across three conditions. In two of the conditions, contextual priors pertaining to the opponent’s action tendencies (dribble = 70%; pass = 30%) were explicitly provided. In one of these experimental conditions, players were told that an incorrect ‘right’ response would result in conceding a goal, which created imbalanced judgement utility (left = high utility; right = low utility). In the third control condition, no explicit contextual priors or additional instructions were provided. Results: The explicit provision of contextual priors changed players’ processing priorities, biased their anticipatory judgements in accordance with the opponent’s action tendencies, and enhanced anticipation performance. These effects were suppressed under conditions in which the explicit contextual priors were accompanied by imbalanced judgement utility. Under these conditions, the players were more concerned about the consequences of their judgements and were more inclined to opt for the direction with the higher utility. Conclusions: It appears that judgement utility disrupts the integration of contextual priors and visual information, which results in decreased impact of explicit contextual priors during action anticipation

The use of contextual priors and visual information during anticipation in sport: Toward a Bayesian integration framework

© 2020 The Author(s). Expert performance across a range of domains is underpinned by superior perceptual-cognitive skills. Over the last five decades, researchers have provided evidence that experts can identify and interpret opponent kinematics more effectively than their less experienced counterparts. More recently, researchers have demonstrated that experts also use non-kinematic information, in this paper termed contextual priors, to inform their predictive judgments. While the body of literature in this area continues to grow exponentially, researchers have yet to develop an overarching theoretical framework that can predict and explain anticipatory behaviour and provide empirically testable hypotheses to guide future work. In this paper, we propose that researchers interested in anticipation in sport could adopt a Bayesian model for probabilistic inference as an overarching framework. We argue that athletes employ Bayesian reliability-based strategies in order to integrate contextual priors with evolving kinematic information during anticipation. We offer an insight into Bayesian theory and demonstrate how contemporary literature in sport psychology fits within this framework. We hope that the paper encourages researchers to engage with the Bayesian literature in order to provide greater insight into expert athletes’ assimilation of various sources of information when anticipating the actions of others in complex and dynamic environments

Skill-based differences in the impact of opponent exposure during anticipation: the role of context-environment dependency

Data availability statement: The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.Copyright © 2023 Gredin, Thomas, Broadbent, Fawver and Williams. Introduction: We examined skilled-based differences in the impact of exposure to an opponent with action tendencies that were either independent of, dependent on, or both independent of and dependent on evolving environmental information during anticipation. Methods: A video-based two-vs.-two soccer task was employed, where 14 expert and 14 novice soccer players had to predict an attacking opponent's imminent actions, before and after exposure to the preceding actions of the opponent. Results: Anticipation accuracy, number of responses congruent with the opponent's action tendencies, response confidence, and visual dwell time on the opponent in possession increased following opponent exposure, both in experts and novices. When compared to novices, experts demonstrated higher anticipation accuracy, more congruent responses, and greater response confidence. Novices performed at their best when the opponent exhibited action tendencies that were independent of the environment, whereas experts demonstrated their highest performance when the opponent had action tendencies that were both independent of and dependent on unfolding environmental information. Discussion: Our findings provide novel insights into the role of context-environment dependency and support the notion that experts are superior to novices in detecting and utilizing opponents' action tendencies and integrating this information with unfolding environmental information during anticipation

Sentinel node detection in early breast cancer with intraoperative portable gamma camera: UK experience.

PURPOSE: Access to nuclear medicine department for sentinel node imaging remains an issue in number of hospitals in the UK and many parts of the world. Sentinella(®) is a portable imaging camera used intra-operatively to produce real time visual localisation of sentinel lymph nodes. METHODS: Sentinella(®) was tested in a controlled laboratory environment at our centre and we report our experience on the first use of this technology from UK. Moreover, preoperative scintigrams of the axilla were obtained in 144 patients undergoing sentinel node biopsy using conventional gamma camera. Sentinella(®) scans were done intra-operatively to correlate with the pre-operative scintigram and to determine presence of any residual hot node after the axilla was deemed to be clear based on the silence of the hand held gamma probe. RESULTS: Sentinella(®) detected significantly more nodes compared with CGC (p < 0.0001). Sentinella(®) picked up extra nodes in 5/144 cases after the axilla was found silent using hand held gamma probe. In 2/144 cases, extra nodes detected by Sentinella(®) confirmed presence of tumour cells that led to a complete axillary clearance. CONCLUSIONS: Sentinella(®) is a reliable technique for intra-operative localisation of radioactive nodes. It provides increased nodal visualisation rates compared to static scintigram imaging and proves to be an important tool for harvesting all hot sentinel nodes. This portable gamma camera can definitely replace the use of conventional lymphoscintigrams saving time and money both for patients and the health system

Adaptive Workflow Design Based on Blockchain

Increasingly, organizational processes have become more complex. There is a need for the design of workflows to focus on how organizations adapt to emergent processes while balancing the need for decentralization and centralization goal. The advancement in new technologies especially blockchain provides organizations with the opportunity to achieve the goal. Using blockchain technology (i.e. smart contract and blocks of specified consensus for deferred action), we leverage the theory of deferred action and a coordination framework to conceptually design a workflow management system that addresses organizational emergence (e-WfMS). Our artifact helps managers to predict and store the impact of deferred actions. We evaluated the effectiveness of our system against a complex adaptive system for utility assessment

Aesthetic outcome after breast conserving surgery and either intraoperative radiotherapy or whole breast external beam radiotherapy for early breast cancer: Objective assessment of patients in a randomized controlled trial in Lublin, Poland

The international randomized controlled TARGIT A (TARGeted Intraoperative radiotherapy) trial demonstrated non-inferiority between the technique of TARGIT (Intra-Operative RadioTherapy (IORT) with Intrabeam®) and whole-breast external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) as part of the treatment for women with early breast cancer. The aim of this sub-study was to see if the single high dose of IORT leads to impaired aesthetic outcome in a group of patients participating in the trial at a single site. Frontal digital photographs were taken of women and analyzed, blinded to treatment received, by BCCT.core software. This produced scores for various measures of color. 29 women (16 EBRT, 13 IORT) between 49 to 79 years old had photographs taken at baseline (up to 2 days prior to surgery), and again at 12 months (median 364 days). At 12 months there was a significant difference in cEMDL (p=0.002, Wilcoxon Two-Sample test, 2-sided) and other measures, indicating more “redness” in the breasts of the women in the EBRT group compared with the IORT group. This difference persisted after adjusting for tumor size, body mass index and age (p=0.0198, multiple regression analysis). This study provides further evidence for the early beneficial effect of TARGIT on aesthetic outcome