Long-Term Earnings Growth Forecasts, Limited Attention, and Return Predictability

Also presented at Asian Finance Association International Conference Meeting 2008</p

The Disparity between Long-Term and Short-Term Forecasted Earnings Growth

Also presented at FMA 2010</p

The Effect of Taxes on the Pricing of Defaultable Debt

Empirical studies have documented the dependence of corporate credit spreads on default risk, equity premiums, and taxes. However, taxes have previously not been incorporated into reduced-form credit risk models. Therefore, we first extend the existing literature by considering a default intensity that depends on taxes as well as the default-free short rate and a market index. Consequently, we establish a theoretical basis to explain previous empirical findings regarding the significant impact of taxation on defaultable bond prices. Unlike previous models, tax implications for defaultable debt cannot be constructed from a sum of tax effects on zero coupon bonds. Our empirical tests then illustrate the importance of taxation. In particular, the impact of taxation increases as a function of the debt’s maturity and coupon rate

Incorporating diversification into risk management

SMU-Wharton Research Centr