Ability of an Arterial Waveform Analysis-Derived Hypotension Prediction Index to Predict Future Hypotensive Events in Surgical Patients

BACKGROUND: Intraoperative hypotension is associated with worse perioperative outcomes for patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery. The Hypotension Prediction Index is a unitless number that is derived from an arterial pressure waveform trace, and as the number increases, the risk of hypotension occurring in the near future increases. We investigated the diagnostic ability of the Hypotension Prediction Index in predicting impending intraoperative hypotension in comparison to other commonly collected perioperative hemodynamic variables. METHODS: This is a 2-center retrospective analysis of patients undergoing major surgery. Data were downloaded and analyzed from the Edwards Lifesciences EV1000 platform. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed for the Hypotension Prediction Index and other hemodynamic variables as well as event rates and time to event. RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-five patients undergoing major surgery were included in the analysis yielding 292,025 data points. The Hypotension Prediction Index predicted hypotension with a sensitivity and specificity of 85.8% (95% CI, 85.8%-85.9%) and 85.8% (95% CI, 85.8%-85.9%) 5 minutes before a hypotensive event (area under the curve, 0.926 [95% CI, 0.925-0.926]); 81.7% (95% CI, 81.6%-81.8%) and 81.7% (95% CI, 81.6%-81.8%) 10 minutes before a hypotensive event (area under the curve, 0.895 [95% CI, 0.894-0.895]); and 80.6% (95% CI, 80.5%-80.7%) and 80.6% (95% CI, 80.5%-80.7%) 15 minutes before a hypotensive event (area under the curve, 0.879 [95% CI, 0.879-0.880]). The Hypotension Prediction Index performed superior to all other measured hemodynamic variables including mean arterial pressure and change in mean arterial pressure over a 3-minute window. CONCLUSIONS: The Hypotension Prediction Index provides an accurate real time and continuous prediction of impending intraoperative hypotension before its occurrence and has superior predictive ability than the commonly measured perioperative hemodynamic variables

Extrasystoles for fluid responsiveness prediction in critically ill patients

Background: Fluid responsiveness prediction with continuously available monitoring is an unsettled matter for the vast majority of critically ill patients, and development of new and reliable methods is desired. We hypothesized that the post-ectopic beat, which is associated with increased preload, could be analyzed in relation to preceding sinus beats and that the change in cardiac performance (e.g., systolic blood pressure) at the post-ectopic beat could predict fluid responsiveness. Methods: Critically ill patients were observed when scheduled for a 500-ml volume expansion. The 30-min ECG prior to volume expansion was analyzed for the occurrence of extrasystoles. Classification variables were defined as the change in a variable (e.g., systolic blood pressure or pre-ejection period) from the median of ten preceding sinus beats to extrasystolic post-ectopic beat. A stroke volume increase > 10% following volume expansion defined fluid responsiveness. Results: Twenty-six patients were included. The change in systolic blood pressure predicted fluid responsiveness with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area 0.79 (CI [0.52:1.00]), specificity 100%, sensitivity 67%, positive predictive value 100%, and negative predictive value 91% (threshold: 5%). The change in pre-ejection period predicted fluid responsiveness with ROC area 0.74 (CI [0.53:0.94]), specificity 78%, sensitivity 67%, positive predictive value 50%, and negative predictive value 88% (threshold 7.5 ms). Conclusions: Based on standard critical care monitoring, analysis of the extrasystolic post-ectopic beat predicts fluid responsiveness in critical care patients with good accuracy. The presented results are considered preliminary proof-of-concept results, and further validation is needed to confirm these preliminary findings

Fluid loading and norepinephrine infusion mask the left ventricular preload decrease induced by pleural effusion

Abstract Background Pleural effusion (PLE) may lead to low blood pressure and reduced cardiac output. Low blood pressure and reduced cardiac output are often treated with fluid loading and vasopressors. This study aimed to determine the impact of fluid loading and norepinephrine infusion on physiologic determinants of cardiac function obtained by ultrasonography during PLE. Methods In this randomised, blinded, controlled laboratory study, 30 piglets (21.9 ± 1.3 kg) had bilateral PLE (75 mL/kg) induced. Subsequently, the piglets were randomised to intervention as follows: fluid loading (80 mL/kg/h for 1.5 h, n = 12), norepinephrine infusion (0.01, 0.03, 0.05, 0.1, 0.2 and 0.3 μg/kg/min (15 min each, n = 12)) or control (n = 6). Main outcome was left ventricular preload measured as left ventricular end-diastolic area. Secondary endpoints included contractility and afterload as well as global measures of circulation. All endpoints were assessed with echocardiography and invasive pressure-flow measurements. Results PLE decreased left ventricular end-diastolic area, mean arterial pressure and cardiac output (p values  0.05) to baseline. Left ventricular contractility increased with norepinephrine infusion (p = 0.002), but was not affected by fluid loading (p = 0.903). Afterload increased in both active groups (p values > 0.001). Overall, inferior vena cava distensibility remained unchanged during intervention (p values ≥ 0.085). Evacuation of PLE caused numerical increases in left ventricular end-diastolic area, but only significantly so in controls (p = 0.006). Conclusions PLE significantly reduced left ventricular preload. Both fluid and norepinephrine treatment reverted this effect and normalised global haemodynamic parameters. Inferior vena cava distensibility remained unchanged. The haemodynamic significance of PLE may be underestimated during fluid or norepinephrine administration, potentially masking the presence of PLE

The effects of respiratory rate and tidal volume on pulse pressure variation in healthy lungs-a generalized additive model approach may help overcome limitations

Pulse pressure variation (PPV) is a well-established method for predicting fluid responsiveness in mechanically ventilated patients. The predictive accuracy is, however, disputed for ventilation with low tidal volume (VT) or low heart-rate-to-respiratory-rate ratio (HR/RR). We investigated the effects of VT and RR on PPV and on PPV's ability to predict fluid responsiveness. We included patients scheduled for open abdominal surgery. Prior to a 250 ml fluid bolus, we ventilated patients with combinations of VT from 4 to 10 ml kg-1 and RR from 10 to 31 min-1. For each of 10 RR-VT combinations, PPV was derived using both a classic approach and a generalized additive model (GAM) approach. The stroke volume (SV) response to fluid was evaluated using uncalibrated pulse contour analysis. An SV increase &gt; 10% defined fluid responsiveness. Fifty of 52 included patients received a fluid bolus. Ten were fluid responders. For all ventilator settings, fluid responsiveness prediction with PPV was inconclusive with point estimates for the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve between 0.62 and 0.82. Both PPV measures were nearly proportional to VT. Higher RR was associated with lower PPV. Classically derived PPV was affected more by RR than GAM-derived PPV. Correcting PPV for VT could improve PPV's predictive utility. Low HR/RR has limited effect on GAM-derived PPV, indicating that the low HR/RR limitation is related to how PPV is calculated. We did not demonstrate any benefit of GAM-derived PPV in predicting fluid responsiveness.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, reg. March 6, 2020, NCT04298931.</p

Kinetics of 2 different high-sensitive troponins during targeted temperature management in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients with acute myocardial infarction: a post hoc sub-study of a randomised clinical trial

Introduction Short term hypothermia has been suggested to have cardio protective properties in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) by reducing infarct size as assessed by troponins. There are limited data on the kinetics of these biomarkers in comatose out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients, with and without AMI, undergoing targeted temperature management (TTM) in the ICU. Purpose The aim of this post hoc analyses was to evaluate and compare the kinetics of two high-sensitivity cardiac troponins in OHCA survivors, with and without acute myocardial infarction (AMI), during TTM of different durations [24 h (standard) vs. 48 h (prolonged)]. Methods In a sub-cohort (n = 114) of the international, multicentre, randomized controlled study “TTH48” we measured high-sensitive troponin T (hs-cTnT), high-sensitive troponin I (hs-cTnI) and CK-MB at the following time points: Arrival, 24 h, 48 h and 72 h from reaching the target temperature range of 33 ± 1 °C. All patients diagnosed with an AMI at the immediate coronary angiogram (CAG)—18 in the 24-h group and 25 in the 48-h group—underwent PCI with stent implantation. There were no stent thromboses. Results Both the hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI changes over time were highly influenced by the cause of OHCA (AMI vs. non-AMI). In contrast to non-AMI patients, both troponins remained elevated at 72 h in AMI patients. There was no difference between the two time-differentiated TTM groups in the kinetics for the two troponins. Conclusion In comatose OHCA survivors with an aetiology of AMI levels of both hs-cTnI and hs-cTnT remained elevated for 72 h, which is in contrast to the well-described kinetic profile of troponins in normotherm AMI patients. There was no difference in kinetic profile between the two high sensitive assays. Different duration of TTM did not influence the kinetics of the troponins.publishedVersio