Binomial random effect models for trypanosomose infection rates in tsetse (both species).

<p>Significant codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ‘ 1</p><p>DLST (Day Land Surface Temperature), Cattle_density (FAO cattle density grid), Seasonality (sinusoidal function of month when infection status was recorded). Standard error for fixed effects in brackets.</p

Mean predicted habitat suitability index for both species.

<p>The index varies between 0 (less suitable, green scale) and 1 (highly suitable, red scale).</p

Marginal effect of the entomological inoculate rate on seropositivity probability.

<p>The confidence interval is presented as a red dashed line.</p

Logistic regression of disease metrics against EIR (entomological inoculation rate) at the cattle level.

<p>Significant codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ‘ 1</p><p>The results present the probability of an animal for being ill, having a positive parasitical status and being seropositive. The Age variable is measured in months and the Breed variable represents the breed of the animal (Taurin/Mixed/Zebu). Standard errors in brackets.</p

Predicted risk of bovine trypanosomosis for the dry and rainy season 2005.

<p>The risk indicator is the estimated Entomological Inoculate Rate (EIR). Darker areas in red are more at risk.</p

Optimal spatio-temporal lag for the regression model of serological and parasitological prevalences using AICc.

<p>The bold value presents the best model.</p

Remote sensing data from which environmental data was built.

<p>RFE (precipitation), NDVI (vegetation), MIR (vegetation), DLST (thermal), NLST (thermal) are time series of monthly raster grids from Jan. 2003 to Dec. 2013. DEM (topographic) is a static elevation model.</p

Environmental data derived from remote sensing used for the analysis.

<p>Environmental data derived from remote sensing used for the analysis.</p

Mixed effect negative binomial regression with spatio-temporal random effect for apparent densities of both species.

<p>Significant codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ‘ 1</p><p>ADT (Apparent Density per Trap per day), DLST (Day Land Surface Temperature), NDVI (Normalized differenced Vegetation Index), HS (Habitat suitability Index for each species). Standard error for fixed effects in brackets.</p

Prediction quality metrics for the habitat suitability model.

<p>AUC is the Area Under the Curve.</p