7 research outputs found

    Broeikaseffect, Klimaatverandering en het weer

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    Scaling Point-Scale (Pedo)transfer Functions to Seamless Large-Domain Parameter Estimates for High-Resolution Distributed Hydrologic Modeling : An Example for the Rhine River

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    Moving toward high-resolution gridded hydrologic models asks for novel parametrization approaches. A high-resolution conceptual hydrologic model (wflow_sbm) was parameterized for the Rhine basin in Europe based on point-scale (pedo)transfer functions, without further calibration of effective model parameters on discharge. Parameters were estimated on the data resolution, followed by upscaling of parameter fields to the model resolution. The method was tested using a 6-hourly time step at four model resolutions (1.2, 2.4, 3.6, and 4.8 km), followed by a validation with discharge observations and a comparison with actual evapotranspiration (ETact) estimates from an independent model (DMET Land Surface Analysis Satellite Application Facility). Additionally, the scalability of parameter fields and simulated fluxes was tested. Validation of simulated discharges yielded Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) values ranging from 0.6 to 0.9, except for the Alps where a volume bias caused lower performance. Catchment-averaged temporal ETact dynamics were comparable with independent ET estimates (KGE ≈ 0.7), although wflow_sbm model simulations were on average 115 mm yr−1 higher. Spatially, the two models were less in agreement (SPAEF = 0.10), especially around the Rhine valley. Consistent parameter fields were obtained, and by running the model at the different resolutions, preserved ETact fluxes were found across the scales. For recharge, fluxes were less consistent with relative errors around 30% for regions with high drainage densities. However, catchment-averaged fluxes were better preserved. Routed discharge in headwaters was not consistent across scales, although simulations for the main Rhine River were. Better processing (scale independent) of the river and drainage network may overcome this issue.</p

    KKF-Model Platform Coupling : summary report KKF01b

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    Nederland bereidt zich voor op een sneller stijgende zeespiegel en een veranderend klimaat. Hiervoor is het Deltaprogramma gestart. Dit deltaprogramma voorziet een serie beslissingen die grote gevolgen zullen hebben voor het beheer van het water in Nederland. Om deze beslissingen zorgvuldig te nemen is informatie nodig over hoe het klimaat en de stijgende zeespiegel dit waterbeheer zullen beïnvloeden. De modellen die de gevolgen van klimaatverandering berekenen zullen daarom met dezelfde klimaat forcering en gekoppeld aan elkaar moeten worden gebruikt. In dit onderzoek is gekeken naar het linken van hydrologische en hydrodynamische modellen – en daaraan gekoppelde modellen die de ontwikkelingen in natuur en landgebruik modelleren -- die het gebied van de Alpen tot en met de Noordzee inclusief Nederland beschrijven

    Hydrometeorological multi-model ensemble simulations of the 4 November 2011 flash flood event in Genoa, Italy, in the framework of the DRIHM Project

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    The e-Science environment developed in the framework of the EU-funded DRIHM project was used to demonstrate its ability to provide relevant, meaningful hydrometeorological forecasts. This was illustrated for the tragic case of 4 November 2011, when Genoa, Italy, was flooded as the result of heavy, convective precipitation that inundated the Bisagno catchment. The Meteorological Model Bridge (MMB), an innovative software component developed within the DRIHM project for the interoperability of meteorological and hydrological models, is a key component of the DRIHM e-Science environment. The MMB allowed three different rainfall-discharge models (DRiFt, RIBS and HBV) to be driven by four mesoscale limited-area atmospheric models (WRF-NMM, WRF-ARW, Meso-NH and AROME) and a downscaling algorithm (RainFARM) in a seamless fashion. In addition to this multi-model configuration, some of the models were run in probabilistic mode, thus giving a comprehensive account of modelling errors and a very large amount of likely hydrometeorological scenarios (> 1500). The multi-model approach proved to be necessary because, whilst various aspects of the event were successfully simulated by different models, none of the models reproduced all of these aspects correctly. It was shown that the resulting set of simulations helped identify key atmospheric processes responsible for the large rainfall accumulations over the Bisagno basin. The DRIHM e-Science environment facilitated an evaluation of the sensitivity to atmospheric and hydrological modelling errors. This showed that both had a significant impact on predicted discharges, the former being larger than the latter. Finally, the usefulness of the set of hydrometeorological simulations was assessed from a flash flood early-warning perspective

    Daily flow simulation in Thailand Part I: Testing a distributed hydrological model with seamless parameter maps based on global data

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    Study region Upper region of the Greater Chao Phraya River (GCPR) basin in Thailand. Study focus This study presents a (∼1 km resolution) distributed hydrological model, wflow_sbm, with global spatial data and parameterization for estimating daily streamflow in the upper GCPR basin, with the aim to overcome in situ data scarcity often occurring in Southeast Asia. We forced the model with the MSWEP V2 precipitation and eartH2Observe potential evapotranspiration datasets. Seamless distributed parameter maps based on pedotransfer functions (PTFs) and literature review were applied to bypass calibration. Only the KsatHorFrac parameter determining the lateral subsurface flow was calibrated. A target storage-and-release-based reservoir operation module (ROM) was implemented to simulate reservoir releases. We compared the simulated daily streamflows obtained from different PTFs and evaluated the model performance in the period 1989–2014. New hydrological insights for the region The global-data-driven wflow_sbm model can reconstruct daily streamflow in the upper GCPR basin, especially for natural catchments (KGE = 0.78). The ROM can capture the seasonal variability of reservoir releases, but not very accurately at the daily timescale (KGE = 0.43) since the actual reservoir operations are too complex. Different PTFs and KsatHorFrac values only introduce little uncertainty in the streamflow results. Therefore, the proposed model provides an opportunity for streamflow estimation in other ungauged or data-scarce basins in Southeast Asia. Nonetheless, the difficulty in the reservoir system modeling reflects the necessity of better understanding of human intervention on daily streamflow

    Daily flow simulation in Thailand Part I: Testing a distributed hydrological model with seamless parameter maps based on global data

    No full text
    Study region Upper region of the Greater Chao Phraya River (GCPR) basin in Thailand. Study focus This study presents a (∼1 km resolution) distributed hydrological model, wflow_sbm, with global spatial data and parameterization for estimating daily streamflow in the upper GCPR basin, with the aim to overcome in situ data scarcity often occurring in Southeast Asia. We forced the model with the MSWEP V2 precipitation and eartH2Observe potential evapotranspiration datasets. Seamless distributed parameter maps based on pedotransfer functions (PTFs) and literature review were applied to bypass calibration. Only the KsatHorFrac parameter determining the lateral subsurface flow was calibrated. A target storage-and-release-based reservoir operation module (ROM) was implemented to simulate reservoir releases. We compared the simulated daily streamflows obtained from different PTFs and evaluated the model performance in the period 1989–2014. New hydrological insights for the region The global-data-driven wflow_sbm model can reconstruct daily streamflow in the upper GCPR basin, especially for natural catchments (KGE = 0.78). The ROM can capture the seasonal variability of reservoir releases, but not very accurately at the daily timescale (KGE = 0.43) since the actual reservoir operations are too complex. Different PTFs and KsatHorFrac values only introduce little uncertainty in the streamflow results. Therefore, the proposed model provides an opportunity for streamflow estimation in other ungauged or data-scarce basins in Southeast Asia. Nonetheless, the difficulty in the reservoir system modeling reflects the necessity of better understanding of human intervention on daily streamflow.Water Resource

    KKF-Model Platform Coupling : summary report KKF01b

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    Nederland bereidt zich voor op een sneller stijgende zeespiegel en een veranderend klimaat. Hiervoor is het Deltaprogramma gestart. Dit deltaprogramma voorziet een serie beslissingen die grote gevolgen zullen hebben voor het beheer van het water in Nederland. Om deze beslissingen zorgvuldig te nemen is informatie nodig over hoe het klimaat en de stijgende zeespiegel dit waterbeheer zullen beïnvloeden. De modellen die de gevolgen van klimaatverandering berekenen zullen daarom met dezelfde klimaat forcering en gekoppeld aan elkaar moeten worden gebruikt. In dit onderzoek is gekeken naar het linken van hydrologische en hydrodynamische modellen – en daaraan gekoppelde modellen die de ontwikkelingen in natuur en landgebruik modelleren -- die het gebied van de Alpen tot en met de Noordzee inclusief Nederland beschrijven
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