An examination of atmospheric lids during COPS

Copyright @ 2009 E.Schweizerbart Science PublishersThe understanding of the nature, origin and prevalence of atmospheric lids is low. There is, therefore, an opportunity to contribute significantly to this area of meteorology - this is the goal of this work. The context for this paper is the Convective and Orographically-induced Precipitation Study (COPS). The COPS observational campaign, which was undertaken in 2007, was based around the Black Forest region with the aim of improving precipitation forecasts in low mountainous regions. However, the project also represents a great data archive with which to analyse isolated features, such as atmospheric lids. In short, lids play a vital role in the development of convective storms. For example, evidence from the Convective Storm Initiation Project (CSIP), which was run in the UK in 2005, has shown that lids are important not only in determining whether a storm occurs but also when and where they develop and how intense they are – sometimes, counterintuitively, they appear to increase the intensity. This extended abstract is intended as a brief overview of the previous literature on lids in order to place the work presented at ICAM-2009 in the wider scientific context.This work is funded by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)

Evolution with Drifting Targets

We consider the question of the stability of evolutionary algorithms to gradual changes, or drift, in the target concept. We define an algorithm to be resistant to drift if, for some inverse polynomial drift rate in the target function, it converges to accuracy 1 -- \epsilon , with polynomial resources, and then stays within that accuracy indefinitely, except with probability \epsilon , at any one time. We show that every evolution algorithm, in the sense of Valiant (2007; 2009), can be converted using the Correlational Query technique of Feldman (2008), into such a drift resistant algorithm. For certain evolutionary algorithms, such as for Boolean conjunctions, we give bounds on the rates of drift that they can resist. We develop some new evolution algorithms that are resistant to significant drift. In particular, we give an algorithm for evolving linear separators over the spherically symmetric distribution that is resistant to a drift rate of O(\epsilon /n), and another algorithm over the more general product normal distributions that resists a smaller drift rate. The above translation result can be also interpreted as one on the robustness of the notion of evolvability itself under changes of definition. As a second result in that direction we show that every evolution algorithm can be converted to a quasi-monotonic one that can evolve from any starting point without the performance ever dipping significantly below that of the starting point. This permits the somewhat unnatural feature of arbitrary performance degradations to be removed from several known robustness translations

Pultrusion process characterization

Pultrusion is a process through which high-modulus, lightweight composite structural members such as beams, truss components, stiffeners, etc., are manufactured. The pultrusion process, though a well-developed processing art, lacks a fundamental scientific understanding. The objective here was to determine, both experimentally and analytically, the process parameters most important in characterizing and optimizing the pultrusion of uniaxial fibers. The effects of process parameter interactions were experimentally examined as a function of the pultruded product properties. A numerical description based on these experimental results was developed. An analytical model of the pultrusion process was also developed. The objective of the modeling effort was the formulation of a two-dimensional heat transfer model and development of solutions for the governing differential equations using the finite element method

Dielectric Breakdown Strength of Polyethylene Nanocomposites

The term “nanometric dielectrics” or simply “nanodielectrics” was introduced in 1994 when Lewis [1] anticipated the potential property changes that would benefit electrical insulation due to nano-sized inclusion. Such materials, containing homogenous dispersion of small amount (normally less than 10wt%) of nanoparticles (with at least one dimension in nanometre range) in host matrix, are of specific dielectric interest. Although much effort has been put forth to investigate the potential dielectric benefit of such newly emerging materials, many uncertainties remain unanswered, and much remains to be explored [2]. Current experimental work is to investigate the preparation of nanodielectrics via solution blending approach. Polyethylene blend composed of 20wt% of high density polyethylene (HDPE) in low density polyethylene (LDPE) is proposed as the base polymer, with varying content of nanosilica (between 0wt% and 10wt%) as the fillers. Although expensive, solution blending method, when compared with melt compounding method, is expected to provide better dispersion of nanoparticles in polymers, thus providing qualitative data in understanding the behaviour of nanodielectrics [3]. Upon successful preparation of polyethylene nanocomposites, breakdown strength based on ASTM Standard D149-87 is to be conducted to determine the feasibility of such dielectric materials in engineering point of view. Figure 1 illustrates the schematic diagram of the breakdown test configuration. The samples are placed between two 6.3mm diameter steel ball bearings immersed in silicone fluid. AC voltage at a preset ramp rate will be applied until the samples fail and the values of breakdown voltages will be recorded and analysed using two-parameter Weibull distribution. Based upon top-down research approach, the underlying physics and chemistry associated with dielectric property changes will then be explored

Simultaneous reconstruction of evolutionary history and epidemiological dynamics from viral sequences with the birth-death SIR model

The evolution of RNA viruses such as HIV, Hepatitis C and Influenza virus occurs so rapidly that the viruses' genomes contain information on past ecological dynamics. Hence, we develop a phylodynamic method that enables the joint estimation of epidemiological parameters and phylogenetic history. Based on a compartmental susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model, this method provides separate information on incidence and prevalence of infections. Detailed information on the interaction of host population dynamics and evolutionary history can inform decisions on how to contain or entirely avoid disease outbreaks. We apply our Birth-Death SIR method (BDSIR) to two viral data sets. First, five human immunodeficiency virus type 1 clusters sampled in the United Kingdom between 1999 and 2003 are analyzed. The estimated basic reproduction ratios range from 1.9 to 3.2 among the clusters. All clusters show a decline in the growth rate of the local epidemic in the middle or end of the 90's. The analysis of a hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 2c data set shows that the local epidemic in the C\'ordoban city Cruz del Eje originated around 1906 (median), coinciding with an immigration wave from Europe to central Argentina that dates from 1880--1920. The estimated time of epidemic peak is around 1970.Comment: Journal link: http://rsif.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/11/94/20131106.ful

Towards Recyclable Insulation Materials for High Voltage Cables

The preferred material for modern extruded high voltage transmission cables is cross-linked polyethylene (XLPE). This material has excellent thermo-mechanical and dielectric properties, however it is not easily recycled at end of use, raising questions as to its long term sustainability [1]. Therefore research work at Southampton has sought to identify suitable recyclable alternatives to XLPE. Such candidate materials need to have low temperature flexibility and high temperature mechanical stability combined with a sufficiently high electrical breakdown strength

Phase locked phase modulator including a voltage controlled oscillator Patent

Phase locked phase modulation system with voltage controlled oscillator for final phase linearit

Lidar measurements of thermal structure

Rayleigh backscatter observations at 532 nm and 355 nm of relative atmospheric density above Aberystwyth on a total of 93 nights between Dec. 1982 and Feb. 1985 were used to derive the height variation of temperature in the upper stratosphere and mesosphere. Preliminary results for height up to about 25 km were also obtained from observations of Raman backscattering from nitrogen molecules. Comparisons were carried out for stratospheric heights with satellite borne measurements; good agreement was found between equivalent black body temperatures derived from the lidar observations and those obtained from nadir measurements in three channels of the stratosphere sounder units on NOAA satellites; the lidar based atmospheric temperatures have shown general agreement with but a greater degree of structure than the limb sounding measurements obtained using the SAMS experiment on the NOAA-7 satellite. In summer, stratospheric and mesospheric temperatures showed a smooth height variation similar to that of the CIRA model atmosphere. In contrast, the winter data showed a great variability with height, and marked temperature changes both from night to night and within a given night