ROC Curve of SDNN and Kaplan-Meier curves for 28-day mortality.

<p>A: The ROC Curve of SDNN in 20-minute Holter in predicting 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. The area under the curve was 0.772 (0.638–0.906). The value of 17ms was chosen as the cutoff point for SDNN (sensibility of 87.5%, specificity of 55.3%, positive likelihood ratio of 1.96 and negative likelihood ratio of 0.28). B: Kaplan-Meier curve showing 28-day mortality in septic patients with SDNN≤17ms (mean survival time of 21.3 days; 17.8–24.8) and SDNN>17ms (mean survival time of 27.4 days; 26.6–28.2). The survival curves were compared using log-rank test, p = 0.003, showing higher mortality in the patient group with SDNN≤17ms.</p

statistical analysis with the dichotomous SDNN.

<p>statistical analysis with the dichotomous SDNN.</p

Baseline characteristics of groups of SDNN≤17ms and SDNN>17ms.

<p>Baseline characteristics of groups of SDNN≤17ms and SDNN>17ms.</p

Heart rate variability measures.

<p>Heart rate variability measures.</p

Cox regression for heart rate variability parameters in 20-minute Holter.

<p>Cox regression for heart rate variability parameters in 20-minute Holter.</p

Flowchart of study procedures.

<p>Flowchart of study procedures.</p

Use of point-of-care ultrasound to assess the severity of scorpion stings in hospitalized patients

Scorpionism is a public health problem, especially in tropical regions. In Brazil, the prevalence of envenomation by scorpions is high, and the average national lethality is around 0.16 percent. The Tityus serrulatus scorpion is the primary species of medical importance. However, objective tools to predict and define the severity of these envenomations are lacking. This was an observational study conducted among patients aged 0–19 years with scorpionism. Patients were admitted to a reference hospital between December 2020 and May 2022. Point-of-care ultrasound was performed within 24 hours of the scorpion sting. Forty-nine patients were included, with a median age of 3.6 (interquartile range 2.3–5.3) years and a predominance of females (51 percent). Fifteen patients (30.6 percent) presented major life-threatening signs, 32 (65.3 percent) minor systemic manifestations, and two (4.1 percent) only local manifestations. Left ventricular dysfunction was identified in 13 patients (26.5 percent). Ten patients (20.4 percent) presented pattern B (visualization of three or more B lines in the evaluated quadrant) in at least one lung window. The sensitivity and specificity of cardiac and pulmonary ultrasound to identify the most severely ill patients were 86 percent and 94 percent, respectively. The changes found on point-of-care ultrasound were associated with life-threatening signs. All patients with class III envenomation were referred to the intensive care unit, showing the importance of early identification of this subgroup. The main limitations were the small sample size and the fact that admission to intensive care was not based on systematic criteria. Point-of-care ultrasound is able to identify early signs of pulmonary congestion and heart failure in scorpionism. It can be useful for the objective selection of patients who are at a higher risk of complications and death and who require intensive support; it may also be valuable for periodic reassessments. Point-of-care ultrasound is a valuable tool for identifying and monitoring severe cases of scorpionism.</p

Table_3_Assessment of risk scores to predict mortality of COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit.docx

ObjectivesTo assess the ABC2-SPH score in predicting COVID-19 in-hospital mortality, during intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and to compare its performance with other scores (SOFA, SAPS-3, NEWS2, 4C Mortality Score, SOARS, CURB-65, modified CHA2DS2-VASc, and a novel severity score).Materials and methodsConsecutive patients (≥ 18 years) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to ICUs of 25 hospitals, located in 17 Brazilian cities, from October 2020 to March 2022, were included. Overall performance of the scores was evaluated using the Brier score. ABC2-SPH was used as the reference score, and comparisons between ABC2-SPH and the other scores were performed by using the Bonferroni method of correction. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.ResultsABC2-SPH had an area under the curve of 0.716 (95% CI 0.693–0.738), significantly higher than CURB-65, SOFA, NEWS2, SOARS, and modified CHA2DS2-VASc scores. There was no statistically significant difference between ABC2-SPH and SAPS-3, 4C Mortality Score, and the novel severity score.ConclusionABC2-SPH was superior to other risk scores, but it still did not demonstrate an excellent predictive ability for mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients. Our results indicate the need to develop a new score, for this subset of patients.</p

Table_2_Assessment of risk scores to predict mortality of COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit.docx

ObjectivesTo assess the ABC2-SPH score in predicting COVID-19 in-hospital mortality, during intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and to compare its performance with other scores (SOFA, SAPS-3, NEWS2, 4C Mortality Score, SOARS, CURB-65, modified CHA2DS2-VASc, and a novel severity score).Materials and methodsConsecutive patients (≥ 18 years) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to ICUs of 25 hospitals, located in 17 Brazilian cities, from October 2020 to March 2022, were included. Overall performance of the scores was evaluated using the Brier score. ABC2-SPH was used as the reference score, and comparisons between ABC2-SPH and the other scores were performed by using the Bonferroni method of correction. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.ResultsABC2-SPH had an area under the curve of 0.716 (95% CI 0.693–0.738), significantly higher than CURB-65, SOFA, NEWS2, SOARS, and modified CHA2DS2-VASc scores. There was no statistically significant difference between ABC2-SPH and SAPS-3, 4C Mortality Score, and the novel severity score.ConclusionABC2-SPH was superior to other risk scores, but it still did not demonstrate an excellent predictive ability for mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients. Our results indicate the need to develop a new score, for this subset of patients.</p

Table_1_Assessment of risk scores to predict mortality of COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit.docx

ObjectivesTo assess the ABC2-SPH score in predicting COVID-19 in-hospital mortality, during intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and to compare its performance with other scores (SOFA, SAPS-3, NEWS2, 4C Mortality Score, SOARS, CURB-65, modified CHA2DS2-VASc, and a novel severity score).Materials and methodsConsecutive patients (≥ 18 years) with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to ICUs of 25 hospitals, located in 17 Brazilian cities, from October 2020 to March 2022, were included. Overall performance of the scores was evaluated using the Brier score. ABC2-SPH was used as the reference score, and comparisons between ABC2-SPH and the other scores were performed by using the Bonferroni method of correction. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.ResultsABC2-SPH had an area under the curve of 0.716 (95% CI 0.693–0.738), significantly higher than CURB-65, SOFA, NEWS2, SOARS, and modified CHA2DS2-VASc scores. There was no statistically significant difference between ABC2-SPH and SAPS-3, 4C Mortality Score, and the novel severity score.ConclusionABC2-SPH was superior to other risk scores, but it still did not demonstrate an excellent predictive ability for mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients. Our results indicate the need to develop a new score, for this subset of patients.</p