Traveling ionospheric disturbances induced by the secondary gravity waves from the Tonga eruption on 15 January 2022:Modeling with MESORAC-HIAMCM-SAMI3 and comparison with GPS/TEC and ionosonde data

We simulate the gravity waves (GWs) and traveling ionospheric disturbances (TIDs) created by the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai (hereafter “Tonga”) volcanic eruption on 15 January 2022 at ∼04:15 UT. We calculate the primary GWs and forces/heatings generated where they dissipate with MESORAC, the secondary GWs with HIAMCM, and the TIDs with SAMI3. We find that medium and large-scale TIDs (MSTIDs and LSTIDs) are induced by the secondary GWs, with horizontal phase speeds cH ≃ 100–750 m/s, horizontal wavelengths λH ≃ 600–6,000 km, and ground-based periods τr ≃ 30 min to 3 hr. The LSTID amplitudes over New Zealand are ≃2–3 TECU, but decrease sharply ≃ 5,000 km from Tonga. The LSTID amplitudes are extremely small over Australia and South Africa because body forces create highly asymmetric GW fields and the GWs propagate perpendicular to the magnetic field there. We analyze the TIDs from SAMI3 and find that a 30 min detrend window eliminates the fastest far-field LSTIDs. We analyze the GPS/TEC via detrending with 2–3 hr windows, and find that the fastest LSTIDs reach the US and South America at ∼8:30–9:00 UT with cH ≃ 680 m/s, λH ≃ 3,400 km, and τr ≃ 83 min, in good agreement with model results. We find good agreement between modeled and observed TIDs over New Zealand, Australia, Hawaii, Japan and Norway. The observed F-peak height, hmF2, drops by ≃ 110–140 km over the western US with a 2.8 hr periodicity from 8:00 to 13:00 UT. We show that the Lamb waves (LWs) observed by AIRS with λH = 380 km have amplitudes that are ≃ 2.3% that of the primary GWs at z ≃ 110 km. We conclude that the observed TIDs can be fully explained by secondary GWs rather than by “leaked” LWs

Explorations, Vol. 4, No. 3

Articles include: Cover: Trophy: MooseHorn, from the Trophy Series, by Caellaigh B. Desrosiers. Editorial Reflections, by Carole J. Bombard North Cascade Glacier Climate Project, by Mauri Pelto Stained Glass Molecules, by Anne P. Sherblom Lobsters Inside-Out: A Guide to the Maine Lobster Community Forestry: UMaine Cooperative Extension Service, by Nancy E. Coverstone and William D. Lilley Where Are They Now? — Robert F. LaPrade, M.D. ’81 Little Critters with a Big Job: Ciliated Protozoa and the Gulf of Maine Food Chain, by Marcia Gauvin from a paper by Charles Gregory The Innovation of Tradition: Low-Cost, Low-Input Alternatives for Maine Farmers, by Marcia Gauvin Just What IS An Animal? Preschoolers Investigate Merging Two Cultures: Our Cover Artist, by Caellaigh Bennett Derosiers Freezing and Photosynthesis, by Steven R. Dudgeon, Ian R. Davison, and Robert L. Vada

Characteristics of Mesospheric Gravity Waves Near the Magnetic Equator, Brazil, During the SpreadFEx Campaign

As part of the SpreadFEx campaign, coordinated optical and radio measurements were made from Brazil to investigate the occurrence and properties of equatorial Spread F, and to characterize the regional mesospheric gravity wave field. All-sky image measurements were made from two sites: Brasilia and Cariri located ~10° S of the magnetic equator and separated by ~1500 km. In particular, the observations from Brasilia provided key data in relatively close proximity to expected convective sources of the gravity waves. High-quality image measurements of the mesospheric OH emission and the thermospheric OI (630 nm) emission were made during two consecutive new moon periods (22 September to 9 November 2005) providing extensive data on the occurrence and properties of F-region depletions and regional measurements of the dominant gravity wave characteristics at each site

Numerical Evolution of General Relativistic Voids

In this paper, we study the evolution of a relativistic, superhorizon-sized void embedded in a Friedmann-Robertson-Walker universe. We numerically solve the spherically symmetric general relativistic equations in comoving, synchronous coordinates. Initially, the fluid inside the void is taken to be homogeneous and nonexpanding. In a radiation- dominated universe, we find that radiation diffuses into the void at approximately the speed of light as a strong shock---the void collapses. We also find the surprising result that the cosmic collapse time (the $1^{\rm st}$-crossing time) is much smaller than previously thought, because it depends not only on the radius of the void, but also on the ratio of the temperature inside the void to that outside. If the ratio of the initial void radius to the outside Hubble radius is less than the ratio of the outside temperature to that inside, then the collapse occurs in less than the outside Hubble time. Thus, superhorizon-sized relativistic void may thermalize and homogenize relatively quickly. These new simulations revise the current picture of superhorizon-sized void evolution after first-order inflation.Comment: 37 pages plus 12 figures (upon request-- [email protected]) LaTeX, FNAL-PUB-93/005-

Potential substitution of mineral P fertilizer by manure: EPIC development and implementation

Sources of mineral phosphorus (P) fertilizers are non-renewable. Although the longevity of P mines and the risk of future P depletion are highly debated P scarcity may be detrimental to agriculture in various ways. Some of these impacts include increasing food insecurity and nitrogen (N) and P imbalances, serious fluctuations in the global fertilizer and crop market prices, and contribution in geopolitical conflicts. P-rich waste produced from livestock production activities (i.e. manure) are an alternative to mineral P fertilizer. The substitution of mineral fertilizer with manure (1) delays the depletion of phosphate rock stocks, (2) reduces the vulnerability of P fertilizer importing countries to sudden changes in the fertilizer market, (3) reduces the chances of geopolitical conflicts arising from P exploitation pressures, (4) avoids the need for environmental protection policies in livestock systems, (5) is an opportunity for the boosting of crop yields in low nutrient input agricultural systems, and (6) contributes to the inflow of not only P but also other essential nutrients to agricultural soils. The Environmental Policy Integrated Climate model (EPIC) is a widely used process-based, crop model integrating various environmental flows relevant to crop production as well as environmental quality assessments. We simulate crop yields using a powerful computer cluster infra-structure (known as EPIC-IIASA) in combination with spatially-explicit EPIC input data on climate, management, soils, and landscape. EPIC-IIASA contains over 131,000 simulation units and it has 5 arc-min resolution. In this work, we implement two process-based models of manure biogeochemistry into EPIC-IIASA, i.e. SurPhos (for P) and Manure DNDC (for N and carbon) and a fate model model describing nutrient outflows from fertilizer via runoff. For EGU, we will use EPIC-IIASA to quantify the potential of mineral P fertilizer substitution with manure. Specifically, we will estimate the relative increase (or decrease) in crop yields under mineral P depletion scenarios and the intensification of manure use as an alternative P input for the major crops (i.e. wheat, barley, rye, rice, maize, and potatoes). This work will take into account existing estimates of livestock population densities, existing manure recycling technologies, and transportation costs

Relating Spectral Indices to Tensor and Scalar Amplitudes in Inflation

Within an expansion in slow-roll inflation parameters, we derive the complete second-order expressions relating the ratio of tensor to scalar density perturbations and the spectral index of the scalar spectrum. We find that ``corrections'' to previously derived formulae can dominate if the tensor to scalar ratio is small. For instance, if $V V''/(V')^2\neq 1$ or if m_{Pl}^2/(4\pi) ~|V'''/V'|\ga 1, where $V(\phi)$ is the inflaton potential and $m_{Pl}$ is the Planck mass, then the previously used simple relations between the indices and the tensor to scalar ratio fails. This failure occurs in particular for natural inflation, Coleman--Weinberg inflation, and ``chaotic'' inflation.Comment: 18 pages, LaTeX, no figures, FNAL--PUB--94/046-A; CfPA 94-th-14 (small revisions only, esp. examples for hybrid inflation