21 research outputs found

    Corn Belt soil carbon and macronutrient budgets with projected sustainable stover harvest

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    Corn (Zea mays L.) stover has been identified as a prime feedstock for biofuel production in the U.S. Corn Belt because of its perceived abundance and availability, but long-term stover harvest effects on regional nutrient budgets have not been evaluated. We defined the minimum stover requirement (MSR) to maintain current soil organic carbon levels and then estimated current and future soil carbon (C), nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), and potassium (K) budgets for various stover harvest scenarios. Analyses for 2006 through 2010 across the entire Corn Belt indicated that currently, 28 Tg or 1.6 Mgha-1 of stover could be sustainably harvested from 17.95 million hectares (Mha) with N, P, and K removal of 113, 26, and 47 kg ha-1, respectively, and C removal for that period was estimated to be 4.55 MgCha-1. Assuming continued yield increases and a planted area of 26.74 Mha in 2050, 77.4 Tg stover (or 2.4 Mg ha-1) could be sustainably harvested with N, P, and K removal of 177, 37, and 72 kgha-1, respectively, along with C removal of ~6.57 MgCha-1. Although there would be significant variation across the region, harvesting only the excess over the MSR under current fertilization rates would result in a small depletion of soil N (- 5 ± 27 kg ha-1) and K (-20 ± 31 kgha-1) and a moderate surplus of P (36 ±18 kgha-1). Our 2050 projections based on continuing to keep the MSR, but having higher yields indicate that soil N and K deficits would become larger, thus emphasize the importance of balancing soil nutrient supply with crop residue removal

    Baseline-Dependent Responses of Soil Organic Carbon Dynamics to Climate and Land Disturbances

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    Terrestrial carbon (C) sequestration through optimizing land use and management is widely considered a realistic option to mitigate the global greenhouse effect. But how the responses of individual ecosystems to changes in land use and management are related to baseline soil organic C (SOC) levels still needs to be evaluated at various scales. In this study, we modeled SOC dynamics within both natural and managed ecosystems in North Dakota of the United States and found that the average SOC stock in the top 20 cm depth of soil lost at a rate of 450 kg C ha−1 yr−1 in cropland and 110 kg C ha−1 yr−1 in grassland between 1971 and 1998. Since 1998, the study area had become a SOC sink at a rate of 44 kg C ha−1 yr−1. The annual rate of SOC change in all types of lands substantially depends on the magnitude of initial SOC contents, but such dependency varies more with climatic variables within natural ecosystems and with management practices within managed ecosystems. Additionally, soils with high baseline SOC stocks tend to be C sources following any land surface disturbances, whereas soils having low baseline C contents likely become C sinks following conservation management

    Corn Belt soil carbon and macronutrient budgets with projected sustainable stover harvest

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    Corn (Zea mays L.) stover has been identified as a prime feedstock for biofuel production in the U.S. Corn Belt because of its perceived abundance and availability, but long-term stover harvest effects on regional nutrient budgets have not been evaluated. We defined the minimum stover requirement (MSR) to maintain current soil organic carbon levels and then estimated current and future soil carbon (C), nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), and potassium (K) budgets for various stover harvest scenarios. Analyses for 2006 through 2010 across the entire Corn Belt indicated that currently, 28 Tg or 1.6 Mgha-1 of stover could be sustainably harvested from 17.95 million hectares (Mha) with N, P, and K removal of 113, 26, and 47 kg ha-1, respectively, and C removal for that period was estimated to be 4.55 MgCha-1. Assuming continued yield increases and a planted area of 26.74 Mha in 2050, 77.4 Tg stover (or 2.4 Mg ha-1) could be sustainably harvested with N, P, and K removal of 177, 37, and 72 kgha-1, respectively, along with C removal of ~6.57 MgCha-1. Although there would be significant variation across the region, harvesting only the excess over the MSR under current fertilization rates would result in a small depletion of soil N (- 5 ± 27 kg ha-1) and K (-20 ± 31 kgha-1) and a moderate surplus of P (36 ±18 kgha-1). Our 2050 projections based on continuing to keep the MSR, but having higher yields indicate that soil N and K deficits would become larger, thus emphasize the importance of balancing soil nutrient supply with crop residue removal

    Simulating the effects of management practices on cropland soilorganic carbon changes in the Temperate Prairies Ecoregion of theUnited States from 1980 to 2012

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    Understanding the effects of management practices on soil organic carbon (SOC) is important for design-ing effective policies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture. In the Midwest United States,management practices in the croplands have been improved to increase crop production and reduce SOCloss since the 1980s. Many studies of SOC dynamics in croplands have been performed to understandthe effects of management, but the results are still not conclusive. This study quantified SOC dynam-ics in the Midwest croplands from 1980 to 2012 with the General Ensemble Biogeochemical ModellingSystem (GEMS) and available management data. Our results showed that the total SOC in the croplandsdecreased from 1190 Tg C in 1980 to 1107 TgC in 1995, and then increased to 1176 TgC in 2012. Contin-uous cropping and intensive tillage may have driven SOC loss in the early period. The increase of cropproduction and adoption of conservation tillage increased the total SOC so that the decrease in the totalSOC stock after 32 years was only 1%. The small change in average SOC did not reflect the large spatialvariations of SOC change in the region. Major SOC losses occurred in the north and south of the region,where SOC baseline values were high and cropland production was low. The SOC gains took place in thecentral part of the region where SOC baseline values were moderate and cropland production was higherthan the other areas. We simulated multiple land-use land-cover (LULC) change scenarios and analyzedthe results. The analysis showed that among all the LULC changes, agricultural technology that increasedcropland production had the greatest impact on SOC changes, followed by the tillage practices, changesin crop species, and the conversions of cropland to other land use. Information on management practiceinduced spatial variation in SOC can be useful for policy makers and farm managers to develop long-termmanagement strategies for increasing SOC sequestration in different areas

    Continuous and Discrete-Time Optimal Controls for an Isolated Signalized Intersection

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    A classical control problem for an isolated oversaturated intersection is revisited with a focus on the optimal control policy to minimize total delay. The difference and connection between existing continuous-time planning models and recently proposed discrete-time planning models are studied. A gradient descent algorithm is proposed to convert the optimal control plan of the continuous-time model to the plan of the discrete-time model in many cases. Analytic proof and numerical tests for the algorithm are also presented. The findings shed light on the links between two kinds of models

    The General Ensemble Biogeochemical Modeling System (GEMS) and its Applications to Agricultural Systems in the United States

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    The General Ensemble Biogeochemical Modeling System (GEMS) (Liu, 2009; Liu et al., 2004c) was developed to integrate well-established ecosystem biogeochemical models with various spatial databases for the simulations of biogeochemical cycles over large areas. Figure 18.1 shows the overall structure of the GEMS. Some of the key components are described below. General Ensemble Biogeochemical Modeling System (GEMS) 310 Multiple Underlying Biogeochemical Models 310 Monte Carlo Simulations 311 Model Inputs: Management Practices and Others 311 Model Outputs 311 Data Assimilation 311 Simulation of Agricultural Practices: EDCM as an Example 312 Net Primary Production (NPP) and Improvements in Crop Genetics and Agronomics 312 Soil Carbon Dynamics 312 Impacts of Soil Erosion and Deposition 313 CH4 and N2O Fluxes 313 Study Areas and Modeling Design 314 Study Areas 314 Nebraska Eddy Flux Tower Sites 314 Regional Applications: Mississippi Valley and Prairie Potholes 315 Modeling Design 315 Results 316 Impacts of Management Practices on SOC at Site Scale 316 Quantification of Regional Carbon Stocks and GHG Fluxes 317 Prairie Pothole Region 317 Mississippi Valley 319 Discussion 32

    Simulating the effects of management practices on cropland soilorganic carbon changes in the Temperate Prairies Ecoregion of theUnited States from 1980 to 2012

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    Understanding the effects of management practices on soil organic carbon (SOC) is important for design-ing effective policies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture. In the Midwest United States,management practices in the croplands have been improved to increase crop production and reduce SOCloss since the 1980s. Many studies of SOC dynamics in croplands have been performed to understandthe effects of management, but the results are still not conclusive. This study quantified SOC dynam-ics in the Midwest croplands from 1980 to 2012 with the General Ensemble Biogeochemical ModellingSystem (GEMS) and available management data. Our results showed that the total SOC in the croplandsdecreased from 1190 Tg C in 1980 to 1107 TgC in 1995, and then increased to 1176 TgC in 2012. Contin-uous cropping and intensive tillage may have driven SOC loss in the early period. The increase of cropproduction and adoption of conservation tillage increased the total SOC so that the decrease in the totalSOC stock after 32 years was only 1%. The small change in average SOC did not reflect the large spatialvariations of SOC change in the region. Major SOC losses occurred in the north and south of the region,where SOC baseline values were high and cropland production was low. The SOC gains took place in thecentral part of the region where SOC baseline values were moderate and cropland production was higherthan the other areas. We simulated multiple land-use land-cover (LULC) change scenarios and analyzedthe results. The analysis showed that among all the LULC changes, agricultural technology that increasedcropland production had the greatest impact on SOC changes, followed by the tillage practices, changesin crop species, and the conversions of cropland to other land use. Information on management practiceinduced spatial variation in SOC can be useful for policy makers and farm managers to develop long-termmanagement strategies for increasing SOC sequestration in different areas
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