The Transmission Dynamics of Tuberculosis in a Recently Developed Chinese City

BACKGROUND: Hong Kong is an affluent subtropical city with a well-developed healthcare infrastructure but an intermediate TB burden. Declines in notification rates through the 1960s and 1970s have slowed since the 1980s to the current level of around 82 cases per 100 000 population. We studied the transmission dynamics of TB in Hong Kong to explore the factors underlying recent trends in incidence. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We fitted an age-structured compartmental model to TB notifications in Hong Kong between 1968 and 2008. We used the model to quantify the proportion of annual cases due to recent transmission versus endogenous reactivation of latent infection, and to project trends in incidence rates to 2018. The proportion of annual TB notifications attributed to endogenous reactivation increased from 46% to 70% between 1968 and 2008. Age-standardized notification rates were projected to decline to approximately 56 per 100 000 in 2018. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Continued intermediate incidence of TB in Hong Kong is driven primarily by endogenous reactivation of latent infections. Public health interventions which focus on reducing transmission may not lead to substantial reductions in disease burden associated with endogenous reactivation of latent infections in the short- to medium-term. While reductions in transmission with socio-economic development and public health interventions will lead to declines in TB incidence in these regions, a high prevalence of latent infections may hinder substantial declines in burden in the longer term. These findings may therefore have important implications for the burden of TB in developing regions with higher levels of transmission currently.published_or_final_versio

Prospective randomized study of thrice weekly six-month and nine-month chemotherapy for cervical tuberculous lymphadenopathy

The aim of this study is to compare the efficacy of a thrice weekly 6- month regimen, 4S3H3R3Z3/2H3R3 (which consists of an initial 4 months of streptomycin (S), isoniazid (H), rifampicin (R), and pyrazinamide (Z) followed by 2 months of isoniazid and rifampicin), with o thrice weekly 9- month regimen, 4S3H3R3Z3/5H3R3 (which consists of an initial 4 months of streptomycin, isoniazid, rifampicin, and pyrazinamide followed by 5 months of isoniazid and rifampicin), in the treatment of cervical tuberculous lymphadenopathy. A total of 113 patients were recruited between August 1987 and December 1993. Twenty-two patients were excluded from the analysis because of defaulting treatment or modification of regimen. Ninety- one patients were included in the analysis. Forty-three patients were given the 6-month regimen, and 48 patients were given the 9-month regimen. Two (5%) patients of the 6-month regimen and one (2%) patient of the 9-month regimen had primary failure after completion of treatment (relative risk, 2.23; 95% confidence interval, 0.21 to 23.76). Of the 88 patients who had initial clinical remission after completion of treatment, the 5-year actuarial remission rates were 89% for the 6-month regimen and 90% for the 9-month regimen (Wilcoxon, p = 0.44). There were no significant differences of both primary failure rate and 5-year actuarial remission rate of the two regimens. The 6-month regimen is recommended as the initial treatment of tuberculous lymphadenopathy.link_to_subscribed_fulltex

Thyrotoxic Atrial Fibrillation: Factors Associated with Persistence and Risk of Ischemic Stroke

Background. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the commonest cardiovascular manifestations of thyrotoxicosis. A significant proportion of patients have persistent AF which may have long term consequences, for example, ischemic stroke. Methods. We performed a retrospective cohort study in a regional hospital from January 2004 to June 2016 to examine the clinical characteristics and outcomes of thyrotoxic patients who presented with atrial fibrillation and to investigate possible factors associated with persistent atrial fibrillation and ischemic stoke. Results. Among 1918 patients who had a diagnosis of thyrotoxicosis, 133 (6.9%) patients presented with AF. Spontaneous sinus conversion occurred in 89 (66.9%) patients in which 85 (94%) patients developed sinus conversion before or within 6 months after having achieved euthyroidism. The remaining 44 (33.1%) had persistent AF. The rate of ischemic stroke was numerically higher among patients who had persistent AF than those with spontaneous sinus conversion (15.9% versus 10.1%; log-rank 0.442, p=0.506). Patients who sustained an ischemic stroke were older (71 ± 11 years versus 62 ± 16 years, p=0.023) and had a trend towards higher CHA2DS2-VASc score (2.9 ± 1.7 versus 2.3 ± 1.7, p=0.153). History of smoking (adjusted odds ratio 4.9, 95% CI [1.8,14.0], p=0.002), a larger left atrial diameter (adjusted odd ratio 2.6, 95% CI [1.2,5.5], p=0.014), and a relatively lower free thyroxine level at diagnosis (adjusted odd ratio 2.1, 95% CI [1.2,3.5], p=0.008) were associated with persistence of AF on multivariate analysis. Conclusion. Persistence of thyrotoxic AF occurred in one-third of patients and spontaneous sinus conversion was unlikely after six months of euthyroidism. High rate of ischemic stroke was observed among patients with persistent thyrotoxic AF and older age. Patients with factors associated with persistent AF, especially older people, should be closely monitored beyond 6 months so that anticoagulation can be initiated in a timely manner to reduce risk of ischemic stroke

Comparison of Intracellular Cytokine Flow Cytometry and an Enzyme Immunoassay for Evaluation of Cellular Immune Response to Active Tuberculosis▿

A prospective cross-sectional blinded study of 28 patients (21 male and 7 female patients; mean age, 44 years) with suspected active tuberculosis (TB) attending a TB and chest clinic is described. Blood was taken for immune cell enumeration, a whole-blood enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for the detection of gamma interferon (IFN-γ) by the QuantiFERON-TB Gold (QFT-G) assay, and intracellular cytokine flow cytometry (ICC) analysis; and sputum was simultaneously taken for bacteriological culture for Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Twelve healthy subjects were included as controls. The performance characteristics of the QFT-G and ICC assays for the detection of active TB were compared. Among the patients with active TB, we found (i) normal to slightly elevated peripheral CD4+ and CD8+ T-cell counts but a significant reduction in the number of NK cells; (ii) CD4+ T cells were the major cell type producing IFN-γ, a type 1 cytokine; (iii) small percentages of CD8+ T cells were also primed for IFN-γ production; (iv) the production of interleukin-4 (IL-4), a type 2 cytokine, was not prominent; and (v) the sensitivity and the specificity of the QFT-G assay were 88.2% and 18%, respectively, and those of the ICC assay were 94.1% and 36.4%, respectively. The specificities of the blood tests were likely underestimated due to cross-reaction to a non-M. tuberculosis mycobacterial infection and the lack of a confirmatory test that could be used to diagnose latent M. tuberculosis infection. Flow cytometry accurately locates the pool of immunological effector cells responsible for cytokine production during active TB. The ICC assay is an additional useful tool for the diagnosis of active TB

Observational study on wearable biosensors and machine learning-based remote monitoring of COVID-19 patients

Abstract Patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 may deteriorate rapidly and therefore continuous monitoring is necessary. We conducted an observational study involving patients with mild COVID-19 to explore the potentials of wearable biosensors and machine learning-based analysis of physiology parameters to detect clinical deterioration. Thirty-four patients (median age: 32 years; male: 52.9%) with mild COVID-19 from Queen Mary Hospital were recruited. The mean National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) were 0.59 ± 0.7. 1231 manual measurement of physiology parameters were performed during hospital stay (median 15 days). Physiology parameters obtained from wearable biosensors correlated well with manual measurement including pulse rate (r = 0.96, p < 0.0001) and oxygen saturation (r = 0.87, p < 0.0001). A machine learning-derived index reflecting overall health status, Biovitals Index (BI), was generated by autonomous analysis of physiology parameters, symptoms, and other medical data. Daily BI was linearly associated with respiratory tract viral load (p < 0.0001) and NEWS2 (r = 0.75, p < 0.001). BI was superior to NEWS2 in predicting clinical worsening events (sensitivity 94.1% and specificity 88.9%) and prolonged hospitalization (sensitivity 66.7% and specificity 72.7%). Wearable biosensors coupled with machine learning-derived health index allowed automated detection of clinical deterioration

A Rapid, Simple, Inexpensive, and Mobile Colorimetric Assay COVID-19-LAMP for Mass On-Site Screening of COVID-19

To control the COVID-19 pandemic and prevent its resurgence in areas preparing for a return of economic activities, a method for a rapid, simple, and inexpensive point-of-care diagnosis and mass screening is urgently needed. We developed and evaluated a one-step colorimetric reverse-transcriptional loop-mediated isothermal amplification assay (COVID-19-LAMP) for detection of SARS-CoV-2, using SARS-CoV-2 isolate and respiratory samples from patients with COVID-19 (n = 223) and other respiratory virus infections (n = 143). The assay involves simple equipment and techniques and low cost, without the need for expensive qPCR machines, and the result, indicated by color change, is easily interpreted by naked eyes. COVID-19-LAMP can detect SARS-CoV-2 RNA with detection limit of 42 copies/reaction. Of 223 respiratory samples positive for SARS-CoV-2 by qRT-PCR, 212 and 219 were positive by COVID-19-LAMP at 60 and 90 min (sensitivities of 95.07% and 98.21%) respectively, with the highest sensitivities among nasopharyngeal swabs (96.88% and 98.96%), compared to sputum/deep throat saliva samples (94.03% and 97.02%), and throat swab samples (93.33% and 98.33%). None of the 143 samples with other respiratory viruses were positive by COVID-19-LAMP, showing 100% specificity. Samples with higher viral load showed shorter detection time, some as early as 30 min. This inexpensive, highly sensitive and specific COVID-19-LAMP assay can be useful for rapid deployment as mobile diagnostic units to resource-limiting areas for point-of-care diagnosis, and for unlimited high-throughput mass screening at borders to reduce cross-regional transmission

CISH and susceptibility to infectious diseases.

BACKGROUND: The interleukin-2-mediated immune response is critical for host defense against infectious pathogens. Cytokine-inducible SRC homology 2 (SH2) domain protein (CISH), a suppressor of cytokine signaling, controls interleukin-2 signaling. METHODS: Using a case-control design, we tested for an association between CISH polymorphisms and susceptibility to major infectious diseases (bacteremia, tuberculosis, and severe malaria) in blood samples from 8402 persons in Gambia, Hong Kong, Kenya, Malawi, and Vietnam. We had previously tested 20 other immune-related genes in one or more of these sample collections. RESULTS: We observed associations between variant alleles of multiple CISH polymorphisms and increased susceptibility to each infectious disease in each of the study populations. When all five single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (at positions -639, -292, -163, +1320, and +3415 [all relative to CISH]) within the CISH-associated locus were considered together in a multiple-SNP score, we found an association between CISH genetic variants and susceptibility to bacteremia, malaria, and tuberculosis (P=3.8x10(-11) for all comparisons), with -292 accounting for most of the association signal (P=4.58x10(-7)). Peripheral-blood mononuclear cells obtained from adult subjects carrying the -292 variant, as compared with wild-type cells, showed a muted response to the stimulation of interleukin-2 production--that is, 25 to 40% less CISH expression. CONCLUSIONS: Variants of CISH are associated with susceptibility to diseases caused by diverse infectious pathogens, suggesting that negative regulators of cytokine signaling have a role in immunity against various infectious diseases. The overall risk of one of these infectious diseases was increased by at least 18% among persons carrying the variant CISH alleles