Efficacy of bisphosphonates in specific knee osteoarthritis subpopulations: protocol for an OA Trial Bank systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION: Randomised clinical trials to date investigating the efficacy of bisphosphonates in knee osteoarthritis (OA) have found divergent results, with a recent meta-analysis finding no superiority of these drugs over placebo. Whether particular patient subgroups are more likely to benefit from this therapy than others is still unclear. We aim to investigate the effects of bisphosphonates compared with a control group (placebo, no treatment, another active treatment) on clinical and structural outcomes in specific knee OA subpopulations with possible distinct rates of subchondral bone turnover. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Medline, Embase, Scopus, Web of Sciences and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials will be searched from inception to February 2018. Randomised clinical trials will be eligible if they reported at least one potential treatment effect modifier at baseline: gender, menopausal status, age, body mass index, radiographic stage, knee pain severity, presence of bone marrow lesions, levels of biochemical markers of bone turnover (serum and/or urinary) and systemic bone mineral density status. Authors of original trials will be contacted to obtain individual patient data from each study. Risk of bias will be assessed using the Cochrane Collaboration's tool. The primary o

An automated workflow based on hip shape improves personalized risk prediction for hip osteoarthritis in the CHECK study

Objective: To design an automated workflow for hip radiographs focused on joint shape and tests its prognostic value for future hip osteoarthritis. Design: We used baseline and 8-year follow-up data from 1,002 participants of the CHECK-study. The primary outcome was definite radiographic hip osteoarthritis (rHOA) (Kellgren–Lawrence grade ≥2 or joint replacement) at 8-year follow-up. We designed a method to automatically segment the hip joint from radiographs. Subsequently, we applied machine learning algorithms (elastic net with automated parameter optimization) to provide the Shape-Score, a single value describing the risk for future rHOA based solely on joint shape. We built and internally validated prediction models using baseline demographics, physical examination, and radiologists scores and tested the added prognostic value of the Shape-Score using Area-Under-the-Curve (AUC). Missing data was imputed by multiple imputation by chained equations. Only hips with pain in the corresponding leg were included. Results: 84% were female, mean age was 56 (±5.1) years, mean BMI 26.3 (±4.2). Of 1,044 hips with pain at baseline and complete follow-up, 143 showed radiographic osteoarthritis and 42 were replaced. 91.5% of the hips had follow-up data available. The Shape-Score was a significant predictor of rHOA (odds ratio per decimal increase 5.21, 95%-CI (3.74–7.24)). The prediction model using demographics, physical examination, and radiologists scores demonstrated an AUC of 0.795, 95%-CI (0.757–0.834). After addition of the Shape-Score the AUC rose to 0.864, 95%-CI (0.833–0.895). Conclusions: Our Shape-Score, automatically derived from radiographs using a novel machine learning workflow, may strongly improve risk prediction in hip osteoarthritis

Serum fatty acid chain length associates with prevalent symptomatic end-stage osteoarthritis, independent of BMI

Higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with osteoarthritis (OA) in both weight-bearing and non-weight-bearing joints, suggesting a link between OA and poor metabolic health beyond mechanical loading. This risk may be influenced by systemic factors accompanying BMI. Fluctuations in concentrations of metabolites may mark or even contribute to development of OA. This study explores the association of metabolites with radiographic knee/hip OA prevalence and progression. A 1H-NMR-metabolomics assay was performed on plasma samples of 1564 cases for prevalent OA and 2,125 controls collected from the Rotterdam Study, CHECK, GARP/NORREF and LUMC-arthroplasty cohorts. OA prevalence and 5 to 10 year progression was assessed by means of Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) score and the OARSI-atlas. End-stage knee/hip OA (TJA) was defined as indication for arthroplasty surgery. Controls did not have OA at baseline or follow-up. Principal component analysis of 227 metabolites demonstrated 23 factors, of which 19 remained interpretable after quality-control. Associations of factor scores with OA definitions were investigated with logistic regression. Fatty acids chain length (FALen), which was included in two factors which associated with TJA, was individually associated with both overall OA as well as TJA. Increased Fatty Acid chain Length is associated with OA

Heritability estimates for 361 blood metabolites across 40 genome-wide association studies

Metabolomics examines the small molecules involved in cellular metabolism. Approximately 50% of total phenotypic differences in metabolite levels is due to genetic variance, but heritability estimates differ across metabolite classes. We perform a review of all genome-wide association and (exome-) sequencing studies published between November 2008 and October 2018, and identify >800 class-specific metabolite loci associated with metabolite levels. In a twin-family cohort (N = 5117), these metabolite loci are leveraged to simultaneously estimate total heritability (h2 total), and the proportion of heritability captured by known metabolite loci (h2 Metabolite-hits) for 309 lipids and

The ability of systemic biochemical markers to reflect presence, incidence, and progression of early-stage radiographic knee and hip osteoarthritis: Data from CHECK

Objective: To relate systemic biochemical markers of joint metabolism to presence, incidence, and progression of early-stage radiographic knee and/or hip osteoarthritis (OA). Method: The cartilage markers uCTX-II, sCOMP, sPIIANP, and sCS846, bone markers uCTX-I, uNTX-I, sPINP, and sOC, and synovial markers sHA and sPIIINP were assessed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay or radioactive immunoassay in baseline samples of CHECK (Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee), a cohort study of early-stage symptomatic knee and/or hip OA. Knee and hip radiographs were obtained at baseline and 5-year follow-up. Presence of OA at baseline was defined as Kellgren and Lawrence (K&L)=1 (maximum observed). Incidence of OA was defined as K&L=0 at baseline and K&L≥1 at 5-year follow-up. Progression of OA was defined as K&L=1 at baseline and K&L≥2 at 5-year follow-up. Results: Data were available for 801 subjects at baseline and for 723 subjects at both baseline and 5-year follow-up. Multiple cartilage and synovial markers showed positive associations with presence and progression of knee and hip OA and with incidence of hip OA, except for negative associations of uCTX-II and sCOMP with incidence of knee OA. uCTX-II and sCOMP showed multiple interactions with other biomarkers in their associations with knee and hip OA. Bone markers were positively associated with presence of radiographic knee OA, but negatively associated with progression of radiographic hip OA. Conclusion: Especially metabolism in cartilage and synovial matrix appear to be of relevance in knee and hip OA. The role of bone metabolism appears to differ between knee and hip OA

Author Correction: Heritability estimates for 361 blood metabolites across 40 genome-wide association studies (Nature Communications, (2020), 11, 1, (39), 10.1038/s41467-019-13770-6)

The original version of the Supplementary Information associated with this Article included an incorrect Supplementary Data 1 file, in which additional delimiters were included in the first column for a number of rows, resulting in column shifts for some of these rows. The HTML has been updated to include a corrected version of Supplementary Data 1; the original incorrect version of Supplementary Data 1 can be found as Supplementary Information associated with this Correction. In addition, the original version of this Article contained an error in the author affiliations. An affiliation of Abdel Abdellaoui with Department of Psychiatry, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands was inadvertently omitted. This has now been corrected in both the PDF and HTML versions of the Article