Benefits of sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor modulators in relapsing MS estimated with a treatment sequence model

BackgroundThree sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor (S1PR) modulators are currently available as disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for relapsing MS in the Netherlands (i.e. fingolimod, ozanimod and ponesimod). We aimed to identify which S1PR modulator yields the highest benefit from a health-economic and societal perspective during a patient's lifespan.MethodsIncorporating Dutch DMT list prices, we used the ErasmusMC/iMTA MS model to compare DMT sequences, including S1PR modulators and eight other DMT classes, for treatment-naïve patients with relapsing MS in terms of health outcomes (number of lifetime relapses, time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 6, lifetime quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)) and cost-effectiveness (net health benefit (NHB)). We estimated the influence of list price and EDSS progression on cost-effectiveness outcomes.ResultsIn deterministic and probabilistic analysis, DMT sequences with ponesimod have lower lifetime costs and higher QALYs resulting in a higher average NHB compared to sequences with other S1PR modulators. Ponesimod remains the most cost-effective S1PR modulator when EDSS progression is class-averaged. Given the variable effects on disability progression, list price reductions could make fingolimod but not ozanimod more cost-effective than ponesimod.ConclusionOur model favours ponesimod among the S1PR modulators for the treatment of relapsing MS. This implies that prioritizing ponesimod over other S1PR modulators translates into a more efficacious spending of national healthcare budget without reducing benefit for people with MS. Prioritizing cost-effective choices when counselling patients contributes to affordable and accessible MS care

Health-economic benefits of anti-CD20 treatments in relapsing multiple sclerosis estimated using a treatment-sequence model

Background: In high-income countries, four anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) are used or in thepipeline for relapsing MS: ocrelizumab, ofatumumab (both registered), ublituximab (awaiting registration)and rituximab (off-label). List prices differ significantly between registered and off-label drugs.Objective: Comparing differences in benefits between anti-CD20 mAbs from a health-economic and societal perspective.Methods: To reflect lifetime use of DMTs, we used a treatment-sequence model to compare ocrelizumab/ofatumumab and eight other drug classes in terms of health (lifetime relapses, time to Expanded DisabilityStatus Scale [EDSS] 6, lifetime quality-adjusted life years) and cost-effectiveness (net health benefit). Tobecome cost-effective compared to ocrelizumab, we modelled the list price of ublituximab and desiredeffect on EDSS progression of rituximab.Results: Although drug sequences with ocrelizumab in first- and second-line were more cost-effective thanofatumumab, our probabilistic analysis suggests this outcome was very uncertain. To be more cost-effective than ocrelizumab, ublituximab needs to be about 25% cheaper whilst rituximab needs to equal theeffect on disability progression seen with first-line treatments.Conclusions: Our model showed no clear difference in cost-effectiveness between ocrelizumab and ofatumumab. Hence, prescribing the least costly anti-CD20 mAb can democratise MS care without a loss inhealth benefits

T1w/FLAIR ratio standardization as a myelin marker in MS patients

Image calibration; Integrity; Multiple sclerosisCalibración de imagen; Integridad; Esclerosis múltipleCalibració d'imatge; Integritat; Esclerosi múltipleIntroduction Calculation of a T1w/T2w ratio was introduced as a proxy for myelin integrity in the brain of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. Since nowadays 3D FLAIR is commonly used for lesion detection instead of T2w images, we introduce a T1w/FLAIR ratio as an alternative for the T1w/T2w ratio. Objectives Bias and intensity variation are widely present between different scanners, between subjects and within subjects over time in T1w, T2w and FLAIR images. We present a standardized method for calculating a histogram calibrated T1w/FLAIR ratio to reduce bias and intensity variation in MR sequences from different scanners and at different time-points. Material and methods 207 Relapsing Remitting MS patients were scanned on 4 different 3 T scanners with a protocol including 3D T1w, 2D T2w and 3D FLAIR images. After bias correction, T1w/FLAIR ratio maps and T1w/T2w ratio maps were calculated in 4 different ways: without calibration, with linear histogram calibration as described by Ganzetti et al. (2014), and by using 2 methods of non-linear histogram calibration. The first nonlinear calibration uses a template of extra-cerebral tissue and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) brought from Montreal Neurological Institute (MNI) space to subject space; for the second nonlinear method we used an extra-cerebral tissue and CSF template of our own subjects. Additionally, we segmented several brain structures such as Normal Appearing White Matter (NAWM), Normal Appearing Grey Matter (NAGM), corpus callosum, thalami and MS lesions using Freesurfer and Samseg. Results The coefficient of variation of T1w/FLAIR ratio in NAWM for the no calibrated, linear, and 2 nonlinear calibration methods were respectively 24, 19.1, 9.5, 13.8. The nonlinear methods of calibration showed the best results for calculating the T1w/FLAIR ratio with a smaller dispersion of the data and a smaller overlap of T1w/FLAIR ratio in the different segmented brain structures. T1w/T2w and T1w/FLAIR ratios showed a wider range of values compared to MTR values. Conclusions Calibration of T1w/T2w and T1w/FLAIR ratio maps is imperative to account for the sources of variation described above. The nonlinear calibration methods showed the best reduction of between-subject and within-subject variability. The T1w/T2w and T1w/FLAIR ratio seem to be more sensitive to smaller changes in tissue integrity than MTR. Future work is needed to determine the exact substrate of T1w/FLAIR ratio and to obtain correlations with clinical outcome

Multiple sclerosis risk variants alter expression of co-stimulatory genes in B cells.

The increasing evidence supporting a role for B cells in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis prompted us to investigate the influence of known susceptibility variants on the surface expression of co-stimulatory molecules in these cells. Using flow cytometry we measured surface expression of CD40 and CD86 in B cells from 68 patients and 162 healthy controls that were genotyped for the multiple sclerosis associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) rs4810485, which maps within the CD40 gene, and rs9282641, which maps within the CD86 gene. We found that carrying the risk allele rs4810485*T lowered the cell-surface expression of CD40 in all tested B cell subtypes (in total B cells P ≤ 5.10 × 10-5 in patients and ≤4.09 × 10-6 in controls), while carrying the risk allele rs9282641*G increased the expression of CD86, with this effect primarily seen in the naïve B cell subset (P = 0.048 in patients and 5.38 × 10-5 in controls). In concordance with these results, analysis of RNA expression demonstrated that the risk allele rs4810485*T resulted in lower total CD40 expression (P = 0.057) but with an increased proportion of alternative splice-forms leading to decoy receptors (P = 4.00 × 10-7). Finally, we also observed that the risk allele rs4810485*T was associated with decreased levels of interleukin-10 (P = 0.020), which is considered to have an immunoregulatory function downstream of CD40. Given the importance of these co-stimulatory molecules in determining the immune reaction that appears in response to antigen our data suggest that B cells might have an important antigen presentation and immunoregulatory role in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis

Intravenous alteplase for stroke with unknown time of onset guided by advanced imaging: systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data

Background: Patients who have had a stroke with unknown time of onset have been previously excluded from thrombolysis. We aimed to establish whether intravenous alteplase is safe and effective in such patients when salvageable tissue has been identified with imaging biomarkers. Methods: We did a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data for trials published before Sept 21, 2020. Randomised trials of intravenous alteplase versus standard of care or placebo in adults with stroke with unknown time of onset with perfusion-diffusion MRI, perfusion CT, or MRI with diffusion weighted imaging-fluid attenuated inversion recovery (DWI-FLAIR) mismatch were eligible. The primary outcome was favourable functional outcome (score of 0–1 on the modified Rankin Scale [mRS]) at 90 days indicating no disability using an unconditional mixed-effect logistic-regression model fitted to estimate the treatment effect. Secondary outcomes were mRS shift towards a better functional outcome and independent outcome (mRS 0–2) at 90 days. Safety outcomes included death, severe disability or death (mRS score 4–6), and symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020166903. Findings: Of 249 identified abstracts, four trials met our eligibility criteria for inclusion: WAKE-UP, EXTEND, THAWS, and ECASS-4. The four trials provided individual patient data for 843 individuals, of whom 429 (51%) were assigned to alteplase and 414 (49%) to placebo or standard care. A favourable outcome occurred in 199 (47%) of 420 patients with alteplase and in 160 (39%) of 409 patients among controls (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1·49 [95% CI 1·10–2·03]; p=0·011), with low heterogeneity across studies (I2=27%). Alteplase was associated with a significant shift towards better functional outcome (adjusted common OR 1·38 [95% CI 1·05–1·80]; p=0·019), and a higher odds of independent outcome (adjusted OR 1·50 [1·06–2·12]; p=0·022). In the alteplase group, 90 (21%) patients were severely disabled or died (mRS score 4–6), compared with 102 (25%) patients in the control group (adjusted OR 0·76 [0·52–1·11]; p=0·15). 27 (6%) patients died in the alteplase group and 14 (3%) patients died among controls (adjusted OR 2·06 [1·03–4·09]; p=0·040). The prevalence of symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage was higher in the alteplase group than among controls (11 [3%] vs two [<1%], adjusted OR 5·58 [1·22–25·50]; p=0·024). Interpretation: In patients who have had a stroke with unknown time of onset with a DWI-FLAIR or perfusion mismatch, intravenous alteplase resulted in better functional outcome at 90 days than placebo or standard care. A net benefit was observed for all functional outcomes despite an increased risk of symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage. Although there were more deaths with alteplase than placebo, there were fewer cases of severe disability or death. Funding: None

Cerebrovascular events after surgery versus conservative therapy for moyamoya disease: a meta-analysis

The background of this article is to determine the effect of a neurosurgical intervention in patients with moyamoya disease (MMD) on the risk of cerebrovascular events. We included studies with at least ten MMD patients in either intervention or control group which investigated cerebrovascular events during a minimal follow-up period of 1 year after neurosurgical intervention vs. conservative therapy. The primary outcome was all strokes; secondary outcome events were mortality, hemorrhagic, and ischemic stroke. Effects were evaluated for three prespecified subpopulations: adult, ischemic, and hemorrhagic moyamoya patients. We performed random-effects meta-analyses on odds ratios (ORs). We included 2,484 patients from 10 studies. The rate of all stroke was 14.1% in surgical treated compared to 30.0% in non-surgical-treated patients [pooled OR 0.38, 95%; confidence interval (CI) 0.23-0.64]. In subgroup analyses, we identified an association between surgery and all stroke in patients presenting with hemorrhagic, but not in patients with ischemic MMD. Hemorrhagic stroke during follow-up was less frequent in patients who underwent a surgical intervention, 4.6% compared to 18.6% of the conservatively treated patients (pooled OR 0.27, 95% CI 0.14-0.53). In addition, we observed a difference in mortality, 0.6% vs. 2.9% (pooled OR 0.32, 95% CI 0.13-0.77), but did not identify an association between surgical treatment and ischemic stroke (pooled OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.46-1.09). Surgical intervention in MMD is associated with a decreased risk of stroke most striking in patients presenting with hemorrhagic MMD. The relationship was present between surgical treatment and the outcome of hemorrhagic, but not ischemic stroke.status: publishe

CHIT1 at Diagnosis Reflects Long-Term Multiple Sclerosis Disease Activity

OBJECTIVE: Evidence for a role of microglia in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis (MS) is growing. We investigated association of microglial markers at time of diagnostic lumbar puncture (LP) with different aspects of disease activity (relapses, disability, magnetic resonance imaging parameters) up to 6 years later in a cohort of 143 patients. METHODS: In cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), we measured 3 macrophage and microglia-related proteins, chitotriosidase (CHIT1), chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1 or YKL-40), and soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (sTREM2), as well as a marker of neuronal damage, neurofilament light chain (NfL), using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and electrochemiluminescence. We investigated the same microglia-related markers in publicly available RNA expression data from postmortem brain tissue. RESULTS: CHIT1 levels at diagnostic LP correlated with 2 aspects of long-term disease activity after correction for multiple testing. First, CHIT1 increased with reduced tissue integrity in lesions at a median 3 years later (p = 9.6E-04). Second, CHIT1 reflected disease severity at a median 5 years later (p = 1.2E-04). Together with known clinical covariates, CHIT1 levels explained 12% and 27% of variance in these 2 measures, respectively, and were able to distinguish slow and fast disability progression (area under the curve = 85%). CHIT1 was the best discriminator of chronic active versus chronic inactive lesions and the only marker correlated with NfL (r = 0.3, p = 0.0019). Associations with disease activity were, however, independent of NfL. INTERPRETATION: CHIT1 CSF levels measured during the diagnostic LP reflect microglial activation early on in MS and can be considered a valuable prognostic biomarker for future disease activity. ANN NEUROL 2020;87:633-645.status: publishe

IFN-gamma stimulates CpG-induced IL-10 production in Bcells via p38 and JNK signalling pathways

The production of IL-10, a potent immunosuppressive cytokine, must be strictly regulated to ensure a balanced immune response. IFN-γ, a key cytokine in multiple immune processes and pathologies, is known as an inhibitor of IL-10 production by monocytes and macrophages, but also has some regulatory functions. In the present study, we explored the role of IFN-γ on Toll-like receptor (TLR)-induced IL-10 production in murine peritoneal and spleen cells and in human peripheral blood mononuclear cells. IFN-γ inhibited IL-10 production induced by TLR2, TLR3, TLR4 and TLR7/8 agonists, but stimulated IL-10 production when cells were triggered with CpG oligodeoxynucleotides, a specific TLR9 agonist. The stimulatory effect of IFN-γ on TLR9-induced IL-10 was restricted to B cells. In line with the increased IL-10, B cells stimulated with CpG and IFN-γ profoundly inhibited CD4 T cell proliferation. Further research into the mechanisms involved, revealed that the mitogen-activated protein kinases p38 and JNK are essential players in this stimulatory effect, and that the phosphatase MKP1 - an inhibitor of p38 and JNK activity - is downregulated after combined stimulation with IFN-γ and CpG. Our data may represent a novel immunoregulatory role of IFN-γ in B cells after triggering of TLR9, by stimulating IL-10 production.status: publishe