7 research outputs found

    Data_Sheet_1_Apathogenic proxies for transmission dynamics of a fatal virus.pdf

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    Identifying drivers of transmission—especially of emerging pathogens—is a formidable challenge for proactive disease management efforts. While close social interactions can be associated with microbial sharing between individuals, and thereby imply dynamics important for transmission, such associations can be obscured by the influences of factors such as shared diets or environments. Directly-transmitted viral agents, specifically those that are rapidly evolving such as many RNA viruses, can allow for high-resolution inference of transmission, and therefore hold promise for elucidating not only which individuals transmit to each other, but also drivers of those transmission events. Here, we tested a novel approach in the Florida panther, which is affected by several directly-transmitted feline retroviruses. We first inferred the transmission network for an apathogenic, directly-transmitted retrovirus, feline immunodeficiency virus (FIV), and then used exponential random graph models to determine drivers structuring this network. We then evaluated the utility of these drivers in predicting transmission of the analogously transmitted, pathogenic agent, feline leukemia virus (FeLV), and compared FIV-based predictions of outbreak dynamics against empirical FeLV outbreak data. FIV transmission was primarily driven by panther age class and distances between panther home range centroids. FIV-based modeling predicted FeLV dynamics similarly to common modeling approaches, but with evidence that FIV-based predictions captured the spatial structuring of the observed FeLV outbreak. While FIV-based predictions of FeLV transmission performed only marginally better than standard approaches, our results highlight the value of proactively identifying drivers of transmission—even based on analogously-transmitted, apathogenic agents—in order to predict transmission of emerging infectious agents. The identification of underlying drivers of transmission, such as through our workflow here, therefore holds promise for improving predictions of pathogen transmission in novel host populations, and could provide new strategies for proactive pathogen management in human and animal systems.</p

    Midpoint-rooted phylogenetic tree for polyomavirus VP1 protein sequences.

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    <p>Species with different clade affiliations in LT analyses (<a href="http://www.plospathogens.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.ppat.1005574#ppat.1005574.g003" target="_blank">Fig 3</a>) are indicated in colored bold oblique text. The script Ć’ character indicates fragmentary (sub-genomic) sequences. Percent bootstrap values for selected nodes are indicated. A FigTree file containing detailed bootstrap values is provided as <a href="http://www.plospathogens.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.ppat.1005574#ppat.1005574.s008" target="_blank">S3 File</a>. Scale bar shows one substitution per site.</p

    A hypothetical framework for ancient recombination events among major polyomavirus clades.

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    <p>The model attempts to reconcile observed incongruities between LT and VP1 phylogenetic trees shown in Figs <a href="http://www.plospathogens.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.ppat.1005574#ppat.1005574.g003" target="_blank">3</a> and <a href="http://www.plospathogens.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.ppat.1005574#ppat.1005574.g004" target="_blank">4</a>. In the model, a hypothetical ancient polyomavirus, designated Arche, is inferred to have infected the last common ancestor of bilaterian animals. The ancient Arche lineage then gave rise to separate polyomavirus lineages found in arthropods and fish, as well as the mammalian Ortho/Almi lineages. The figure depicts Avi and Wuki clades arising after recombination events involving an unknown vertebrate-Arche lineage and Ortho-like species. The figure does not depict the inferred evolution of the HPyV6/7 clade, which appears to have arisen after a separate recombination event involving the late region of a hypothetical vertebrate-Arche lineage and the early region of a basal Almi-like species. The TSV lineage, which shows evidence of recombination between the Ortho and Almi lineages, is also omitted. White lollipops represent predicted pRb-binding motifs (LXCXE or related sequences). Yellow bars represent hypothetical metal-binding motifs (CXCXXC or related sequences). The absence of metal-binding motifs in Avi small T antigen (sT) proteins suggests a different evolutionary origin than the classic metal-binding Ortho/Almi sT. Possible ALTO-like ORFs predicted for some Ortho species are shaded gray.</p

    Predicted genetic organization of newly discovered polyomaviruses.

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    <p>Merkel cell polyomavirus (MCV) is shown as a well-studied reference species. The size of each genome (in basepairs) is listed below the species name. Large T antigen (LT) is indicated in red. Dark gray lollipops indicate the signature HPDKGG motif of the LT “DNAJ” domain (which appears to be missing from the sea bass and notothen polyomaviruses). White lollipops indicate LXCXE motifs, which are hypothetically involved in binding pRb and related tumor suppressor proteins. Each virus encodes a potential myristoylation signal that defines the N-terminus of the minor capsid protein VP2 (green). The VP2 of the supermarket sheep meat-associated virus encodes an internal MALXXΦ motif [<a href="http://www.plospathogens.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.ppat.1005574#ppat.1005574.ref001" target="_blank">1</a>] that defines the N-terminus of a predicted VP3 minor capsid protein, while the other viruses do not. Predicted VP1 major capsid protein genes are shaded blue. ORFs found in the same general arrangement as previously described accessory proteins are also shown. These include small T antigen (sT, pink) Agnoprotein (purple), and the recently described ALTO (orange), which is overprinted in the LT +1 frame. Un-named ORFs of potential interest are shaded light gray. Yellow bars indicate hypothetical metal-binding motifs (CXCXXC or related sequences) observed in some of the predicted accessory proteins. Aside from MCV, for which expressed proteins have been experimentally confirmed, the predicted proteins are hypothetical and do not necessarily account for possible spliced transcripts.</p

    Structural modeling of LT proteins.

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    <p>The solved OBD-Zn-ATPase SV40 LT structure (PDB identifier 4GDF) was used as template for all OBD and Zn-ATPase domain models. The model of the guitarfish polyomavirus J domain was generated using the solved structure of the SV40 LT DNAJ domain (PDB identifier 1GH6) as template. For the DNAJ domain of scorpion polyomavirus LT, the best modeling template match is a <i>Thermus thermophilus</i> DNAJ protein (PDB identifier 4J7Z). The solved structure of the bacterial DNAJ is highlighted in magenta in the pairwise superimposition (top left). The LT proteins of the indicated polyomavirus species are shown in black. The known structures of SV40 LT domains are superimposed in gold. The conserved HPD motif of the DNAJ domain is positioned on the top and highlighted in cyan. The N-terminal domain of the notothen polyomavirus has no discernible structural similarity to known DNAJ structures.</p
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