An Analysis of the Relative Performance of Japanese and Foreign Money Management

Foreign investment management firms have recently started to play a major role in the investment trust business in Japan. In terms of assets under management, their size and market share have almost doubled in the past several years. In part, the relative success of foreign managed firms in attracting market share may be attributed to the fact that Japanese investment trusts have underperformed benchmarks in quite a dramatic fashion over the past two decades. This is at best indirect evidence that Japanese funds underperform their foreign counterparts. In a recent paper (Brown, Goetzmann, Hiraki, Otsuki and Shiraishi 2001) we show that the underperformance can be attributed almost entirely to the unique tax environment of Japanese investment trusts, which had the effect of heavily penalizing early withdrawals. The relaxation of these regulations coincided with a major inflow of new money into the investment trust business. We examine the relative performance of Japanese and foreign investment management firms before and after this change in tax regulations, and find that the poor relative performance of Japanese funds from April 2000 through December 2001 may in part be attributed to the huge inflow of new money into this sector and the style shifts made necessary to accommodate this flow

An Analysis of the Relative Performance of Japanese and Foreign Money Management

Foreign investment management firms have recently started to play a major role in the investment trust business in Japan. In terms of assets under management, their size and market share have almost doubled in the past two years. In part, the relative success of foreign managed firms in attracting market share may be attributed to the fact that Japanese investment trusts have underperformed benchmarks in quite a dramatic fashion over the past two decades. This is at best indirect evidence that Japanese funds underperform their foreign counterparts. In a recent paper (Brown, Goetzmann, Hiraki, Otsuki and Shiraishi 2001) we show that the underperformance can be attributed almost entirely to the unique tax environment of Japanese investment trusts. In this paper we examine the relative performance issue directly by looking at week by week returns for the period January 23, 1998 through to January 14, 2000. Contrary to popular perception, Japanese managers actually outperformed their foreign counterparts over this period of time. Perhaps this indicates that Japanese managers are more skillful. However, the evidence suggests that they happened to be in the right place at the right time. We attribute the superior performance to the asset allocation decision, rather than to any superior skill in selecting securities

Investor Sentiment in Japanese and U.S. Daily Mutual Fund Flows

We find evidence that is consistent with the hypothesis that daily mutual fund flows may be instruments for investor sentiment about the stock market. We use this finding to construct a new index of investor sentiment, and validate this index using data from both the United States and Japan. In both markets exposure to this factor is priced, and in the Japanese case, we document evidence of negative correlations between “Bull” and “Bear” domestic funds. The flows to bear foreign funds in Japan display some evidence of negative correlation to domestic and foreign equity funds, suggesting that there is a foreign vs. domestic sentiment factor in Japan that does not appear in the contemporaneous U.S. data. By contrast, U.S. mutual fund investors appear to regard domestic and foreign equity mutual funds as economic substitutes

The Japanese Open-End Fund Puzzle

Recent empirical evidence has suggested that the Japanese mutual fund industry has under-performed dramatically over the past two decades. Conjectured reasons for underperformance range from tax-dilution effects to high fees, high turnover and poor asset management. In this paper, we show that this underperformance is largely due to tax-dilution effects, and not necessarily to poor management. Using a broad database of funds which includes investment trusts closed to new investment, we show that once an instrument for the time-varying tax dilution exposure is included in a factor model, there is little evidence of poor risk-adjusted performance. A style analysis of the industry demonstrates that managers appear to pursue tax-driven dynamic strategies

The Japanese Open-End Fund Puzzle

Recent empirical evidence has suggested that the Japanese mutual fund industry has" underperformed dramatically over the past two decades. Conjectured reasons for" underperformance range from tax-dilution effects to high fees, high turnover and poor asset" management. In this paper, we show that this underperformance is largely due to tax-dilution" effects, and not necessarily to poor management. Using a broad database of funds which" includes investment trusts closed to new investment, we show that once an instrument for the" time-varying tax-dilution exposure is included in a factor model, there is little evidence of poor" risk-adjusted performance. A style analysis of the industry demonstrates that managers appear to" pursue tax-driven dynamic strategies.

A Note on the Term Structure of Implied Volatilities for the Yen/U.S. Dollar Currency Option

This paper tests the relationship between short dated and long dated implied volatilities obtained from Tokyo market currency option prices by employing three different volatility models: a mean reverting model, a GARCH model, and an EGARCH model. We document evidence that long dated average expected volatility is higher than that predicted by the term structure relationship during the dramatic appreciation of yen/dollar exchange in the early 1990's. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1998currency option, implied volatility, term structure,