Canon Journal of Medicine: Developing Editorial Policies and Recommence of Publication

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Metabolic health's central role in chronic kidney disease progression: a 20-year study of obesity-metabolic phenotype transitions

Abstract This study investigates the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) across four metabolic phenotypes: Metabolically Healthy-No Obesity (MH-NO), Metabolically Unhealthy-No obesity (MU-NO), Metabolically Healthy-Obesity (MH-O), and Metabolically Unhealthy-Obesity (MU-O). Data from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, collected from 1999 to 2020, were used to categorize participants based on a BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 and metabolic health status, defined by the presence of three or four of the following components: high blood pressure, elevated triglycerides, low high-density lipoprotein, and high fasting blood sugar. CKD, characterized by a glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min/1.72 m2. The hazard ratio (HR) of CKD risk was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. The study included 8731 participants, with an average age of 39.93 years, and identified 734 incidents of CKD. After adjusting for covariates, the MU-O group demonstrated the highest risk of CKD progression (HR 1.42–1.87), followed by the MU-NO group (HR 1.33–1.67), and the MH-O group (HR 1.18–1.54). Persistent MU-NO and MU-O posed the highest CKD risk compared to transitional states, highlighting the significance of exposure during early adulthood. These findings emphasize the independent contributions of excess weight and metabolic health, along with its components, to CKD risk. Therefore, preventive strategies should prioritize interventions during early-adulthood

Trend of COVID-19 Hospital Cases Fatality Rate in Iran: A Multicenter Study of 5318 Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients from March 2020 to March 2021

Background and Aim: Case fatality ratio (CFR) is an indicator of disease severity that can help policymakers make decisions. This study aims to evaluate the trend of CFR of hospitalized COVID-19 patients since the outset of the pandemic in Iran and identify variables that affect CFR. Methods: 5318 confirmed COVID-19 inpatients were enrolled in this multicentric observational study. Patients admitted from March 20, 2020, to March 18, 2021, in three general hospitals were collected. The medical team gathered patients’ demographics, past medical history, and outcomes by reviewing patients’ medical records. The time trend of CFR was investigated by joinpoint regression analysis to calculate weekly percent change (WPC) and confidence interval (CI). Results: Significant upward trend was observed in CFR of hospitalized COVID-19 patients during study weeks (WPC= 1.2, 95% CI: 0.7, 1.7; P &lt; 0.001). The increase was more evident in men than in women (WPC: 1.4 vs. 1.1). The rise of CFR was observed in patients with cancer (WPC: 4.5), dialysis (WPC: 2.1), diabetes (WPC: 1.0), and old age (WPC: 1.0). Conclusion: There was a significant rise in the trend of in-hospital CFR from March 2020 to March 2021 in Iran. This rise was also evident with the same rate in patients with old-age and DM. However, the rate of this rise was higher in male and cancerous patients. Worldwide variation was reported by few studies investigating the trend of hospital CFR, and further studies are warranted

Demographic, Epidemiologic, and Clinical Characteristics of Human Monkeypox Disease Pre- and Post-2022 Outbreaks: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

(1) Background: In early May 2022, an increasing number of human monkeypox (mpox) cases were reported in non-endemic disparate regions of the world, which raised concerns. Here, we provide a systematic review and meta-analysis of mpox-confirmed patients presented in peer-reviewed publications over the 10 years before and during the 2022 outbreak from demographic, epidemiological, and clinical perspectives. (2) Methods: A systematic search was performed for relevant studies published in Pubmed/Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Google Scholar from 1 January 2012 up to 15 February 2023. Pooled frequencies with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were assessed using the random or fixed effect model due to the estimated heterogeneity of the true effect sizes. (3) Results: Out of 10,163 articles, 67 met the inclusion criteria, and 31 cross-sectional studies were included for meta-analysis. Animal-to-human transmission was dominant in pre-2022 cases (61.64%), but almost all post-2022 reported cases had a history of human contact, especially sexual contact. The pooled frequency of MSM individuals was 93.5% (95% CI 91.0–95.4, I2: 86.60%) and was reported only in post-2022 included studies. The male gender was predominant in both pre- and post-2022 outbreaks, and the mean age of confirmed cases was 29.92 years (5.77–41, SD: 9.38). The most common clinical manifestations were rash, fever, lymphadenopathy, and malaise/fatigue. Proctalgia/proctitis (16.6%, 95% CI 10.3–25.6, I2: 97.76) and anal/perianal lesions (39.8%, 95% CI 30.4–49.9, I2: 98.10) were the unprecedented clinical manifestations during the 2022 outbreak, which were not described before. Genitalia involvement was more common in post-2022 mpox patients (55.6%, 95% CI 51.7–59.4, I2: 88.11). (4) Conclusions: There are speculations about the possibility of changes in the pathogenic properties of the virus. It seems that post-2022 mpox cases experience a milder disease with fewer rashes and lower mortality rates. Moreover, the vast majority of post-2022 cases are managed on an outpatient basis. Our study could serve as a basis for ongoing investigations to identify the different aspects of previous mpox outbreaks and compare them with the current ones

Drivers’ behavior confronting fixed and point-to-point speed enforcement camera: agent-based simulation and translation to crash relative risk change

Abstract Utilizing a novel microsimulation approach, this study evaluates the impact of fixed and average point-to-point Speed Enforcement Cameras (SEC) on driving safety. Using the SUMO software, agent-based models for a 6-km highway without exits or obstacles were created. Telematics data from 93,160 trips were used to determine the desired free-flow speed. A total of 13,860 scenarios were simulated with 30 random seeds. The ratio of unsafe driving (RUD) is the spatial division of the total distance travelled at an unsafe speed by the total travel distance. The study compared different SEC implementations under different road traffic and community behaviours using the Power Model and calculated crash risk changes. Results showed that adding one or two fixed SECs reduced RUD by 0.20% (0.18–0.23) and 0.57% (0.54–0.59), respectively. However, average SECs significantly lowered RUD by 10.97% (10.95–10.99). Furthermore, a 1% increase in telematics enforcement decreased RUD by 0.22% (0.21–0.22). Point-to-point cameras effectively reduced crash risk in all implementation scenarios, with reductions ranging from − 3.44 to − 11.27%, pointing to their superiority as speed enforcement across various scenarios. Our cost-conscious and replicable approach can provide interim assessments of SEC effectiveness, even in low-income countries

COVID-19 vaccines breakthrough infection and adverse reactions in medical students: a nationwide survey in Iran

IntroductionThere are different types of COVID-19 vaccines approved worldwide. Since no national studies focus on vaccine-related adverse reactions and breakthrough cases, this study aimed to investigate the rate of adverse events and COVID-19 infection in medical students in Iran.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study included Iranian medical students who received two doses of COVID-19 vaccines. The medical team gathered the demographic characteristics, comorbidities, type of vaccine, adverse events following vaccination, and history of COVID-19 infection data through a phone interview. The frequency of adverse events and breakthrough infection was stratified by vaccine type (ChAdOx1-S, Gam-COVID-Vac, and BIBP-CorV).ResultsA total of 3,591 medical students enrolled in this study, of which 57.02% were females, with a mean age of 23.31 + 4.87. A PCR-confirmed and suspicious-for-COVID-19 breakthrough infection rate of 4.51 and 7.02% was detected, respectively. There was no significant relation between breakthrough infection and gender, BMI, blood groups, and comorbidities. However, there was a significant difference in breakthrough infection rate among different types of vaccines (p = 0.001) and history of COVID-19 infection (p = 0.001). A total of 16 participants were hospitalized due to COVID-19 infection after vaccination for reasons such as dyspnea, abnormal imaging, or decreased oxygen saturation. No severe infection or death was observed in the studied population.ConclusionVaccination prevented severe COVID-19 infection, although a high breakthrough infection rate was evident among Iranian medical students during the Delta variant’s peak. Vaccine effectiveness may be fragile during emerging new variants and in high-exposure settings. Moreover, adverse events are rare, and the benefits of vaccination outweigh the side effects. However, many limitations challenged this study, and the results should be cautious