579 research outputs found
Life of the Party: Social Networks, Public Attention, and the Importance of Shocks in the Presidential Nomination Process
We examine the effects of shocks on the invisible Presidential primary in the United States. First, we build on existing models using an algorithm simulating social network shocks. Findings show that positive shocks significantly aid the lead candidate’s chances of winning in the invisible primary. Negative shocks, however, are less detrimental to a lead candidate than positive shocks are helpful, as the leader is often able to survive a negative shock and still emerge victorious. Broad empirical tests demonstrate the importance of shocks as well. Beyond the importance of shocks, findings also suggest that Presidential candidate success in the invisible primary owes more to public- than elite-driven factors
Efeito do arranjo espacial de plantas sobre os componentes de rendimento na cultivar de mamona iac 80 em Pelotas-RS.
Catch Me if You Can: Using a Threshold Model to Simulate Support for Presidential Candidates in the Invisible Primary
The invisible primary is an important time in United States Presidential primary politics as candidates gain momentum for their campaigns before they compete formally in the first state caucus (Iowa) and primaries (e.g. New Hampshire). This critical period has not been possible to observe, hence the name. However, by simulating networks of primary followers, we can explicate hypotheses for how messages travel through networks to affect voter preferences. To do so, we use a threshold model to drive our simulated network analysis testing spread of public support for candidates in invisible primaries. We assign voter thresholds for candidates and vary number of voters, attachment to candidates and decay. We also vary social graph structure and model. Results of the algorithm show effects of size of lead, an unwavering base of support, and information loss
59 Medi-transplantation after intermediate intensity of BU (12MG) /CY (120MG) conditioning regimen
Avaliação do comportamento agronômico de variedades de mamona em Pelotas/RS e Veranópolis/RS.
Desempenho produtivo da mamoneira brs energia em função da densidade de semeadura em pelotas/rs na safra 2012/13.
Efeito de doses de nitrogĂŞnio em cobertura e Ăndices de competição na mamona solteira e consorciada com feijĂŁo preto em Pelotas-RS.
OcorrĂŞncia de mofo cinzento nas cultivares de mamona brs energia e iac 80 em diferentes densidades de semeadura, em Pelotas-RS.
Caracteres agronĂ´micos da mamona influenciados pela Ă©poca de semeadura.
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