Febrile Convulsions as a Problem in Waiting Times

A simple hypothesis on the occurrence of febrile convulsions is posed. This is (1) that certain children are genetically predisposed, and (2) that for such children, the probability of the first attack occurring in year 1, 2, etc., is essentially constant up to the end of the period during which the attacks can take place. These assumptions lead to a probability model which agrees well with data on age at first attack in the Town of Tecumseh, Mich. It appears that susceptibility does not gradually diminish, but rather disappears abruptly. The calculation yields an estimate of the proportion of children, among those susceptible, who will have at least one attack before they exceed the age of suceptibility. Penetrance of the condition, measured in this way, is nearly complete: 93.8% will have manifested the condition by age 7. The population frequency of the susceptible type of child is found to be 3.90%. If one assumes the simple dominant mode of inheritance of Frantzen et al. to be correct, this estimate of population frequency leads to an estimate of the gene frequency. This is approximately p = 0.02. The homozygote would therefore have a frequency of 4 per 10,000. Some speculations on verifying this theory of inheritance by identifying the homozygote are given. RÉSUMÉ On Émet une hypothÈse simple sur la survenue des convulsions fÉbriles, À savoir (1) que certains enfants sont gÉnÉtiquement prÉdisposÉs et (2) que pour ces enfants la probabilitÉ d'apparition de la premiÈre crise dans la premiÈre, la seconde annÉe, etc. est essentiellement constante jusqu'À la fin de la pÉriode pendant laquelle les crises peuvent survenir. De telles suppositions conduisent ÀÉtablir un modÈle de probabilite qui concorde bien avec les donnÉes sur l'Âge de la premiÈre crise, dans la ville de Techumseh, dans le Michigan. Il en ressort que cette prÉdisposition ne diminue pas progressivement, mais au contraire, disparaÎt brusquement. Les calculs permettent d'estimer la proportion d'enfants prÉdisposÉs qui auront au moins une crise, avant d'avoir dÉpassÉ l'Âge limite de la prÉdisposition. La pÉnÉtrance de cette condition, ainsi ÉvaluÉe, est presque complÈte: 93.8% des enfants auront manifestÉ cette condition À l'Âge de 7 ans. La frÉquence des enfants prÉdisposÉs dans la population est de 3.90%. Si l'on considÈre que le mode d'hÉrÉditÉ dominante simple de Frantzen est valable, cette estimation de la frÉquence dans la population conduit À une Évaluation de la frÉquence du gÈne. Celle-ci est approximativement de p = 0.02; l'homozygote aurait done une frÉquence de 4/10.000. Les possibilitÉs de vÉrifier cette thÉorie des modalitÉs hÉrÉditaires par l'identification de l'homozygote sont discutÉes.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/65705/1/j.1528-1157.1972.tb05265.x.pd

Three-Dimensional Spectral-Domain Optical Coherence Tomography Data Analysis for Glaucoma Detection

Purpose: To develop a new three-dimensional (3D) spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) data analysis method using a machine learning technique based on variable-size super pixel segmentation that efficiently utilizes full 3D dataset to improve the discrimination between early glaucomatous and healthy eyes. Methods: 192 eyes of 96 subjects (44 healthy, 59 glaucoma suspect and 89 glaucomatous eyes) were scanned with SD-OCT. Each SD-OCT cube dataset was first converted into 2D feature map based on retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) segmentation and then divided into various number of super pixels. Unlike the conventional super pixel having a fixed number of points, this newly developed variable-size super pixel is defined as a cluster of homogeneous adjacent pixels with variable size, shape and number. Features of super pixel map were extracted and used as inputs to machine classifier (LogitBoost adaptive boosting) to automatically identify diseased eyes. For discriminating performance assessment, area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics of the machine classifier outputs were compared with the conventional circumpapillary RNFL (cpRNFL) thickness measurements. Results: The super pixel analysis showed statistically significantly higher AUC than the cpRNFL (0.855 vs. 0.707, respectively, p = 0.031, Jackknife test) when glaucoma suspects were discriminated from healthy, while no significant difference was found when confirmed glaucoma eyes were discriminated from healthy eyes. Conclusions: A novel 3D OCT analysis technique performed at least as well as the cpRNFL in glaucoma discrimination and even better at glaucoma suspect discrimination. This new method has the potential to improve early detection of glaucomatous damage. © 2013 Xu et al

What Makes Some People Think Astrology Is Scientific?

Citizens in both North America and Europe are apt to read horoscope columns in newspapers and magazines. While some people read these casually and purely for entertainment, some believe that astrology has scientific status and can provide real insight into events and personality. Using data from a European survey, this article explores some of the reasons why some people think that astrology is scientific and how astrology is viewed in relation to other knowledge-producing practices. Three hypotheses in particular are tested. The first is that some Europeans lack the necessary scientific literacy to distinguish science from pseudoscience. The second is that people are confused about what astrology actually is. The third is derived from Adorno’s work on authoritarianism and the occult and postulates that those who adhere to authoritarian values are more likely to believe in astrological claims. Support is found for all three hypotheses. </jats:p

The analysis of survey data with framing effects

A well-known difficulty in survey research is that respondents’ answers to questions can depend on arbitrary features of a survey’s design, such as the wording of questions or the ordering of answer choices. In this paper, we describe a novel set of tools for analyzing survey data characterized by such framing effects. We show that the conventional approach to analyzing data with framing effects—randomizing survey-takers across frames and pooling the responses—generally does not identify a useful parameter. In its place, we propose an alternative approach and provide conditions under which it identifies the responses that are unaffected by framing. We also present several results for shedding light on the population distribution of the individual characteristic the survey is designed to measure

Propensity to consent to data linkage: experimental evidence on the role of three survey design features in a UK longitudinal panel

When performing data linkage, survey respondents need to provide their informed consent. Since not all respondents agree to this request, the linked data-set will have fewer observations than the survey data-set alone and bias may be introduced. By focusing on the role that survey design features play in gaining respondents’ consent, this paper provides an innovative contribution to the studies in this field. Analysing experimental data collected in a nationally representative household panel survey of the British population, we find that interview features such as question format (dependent/independent questions) and placement of the consent question within the questionnaire have an impact on consent rates

Managing the Socially Marginalized: Attitudes Towards Welfare, Punishment and Race

Welfare and incarceration policies have converged to form a system of governance over socially marginalized groups, particularly racial minorities. In both of these policy areas, rehabilitative and social support objectives have been replaced with a more punitive and restrictive system. The authors examine the convergence in individual-level attitudes concerning welfare and criminal punishment, using national survey data. The authors\u27 analysis indicates a statistically significant relationship between punitive attitudes toward welfare and punishment. Furthermore, accounting for the respondents\u27 racial attitudes explains the bivariate relationship between welfare and punishment. Thus, racial attitudes seemingly link support for punitive approaches to opposition to welfare expenditures. The authors discuss the implications of this study for welfare and crime control policies by way of the conclusion

Identification and Properties of New Flavins in Electron-Transferring Flavoprotein from Peptostreptococcus elsdenii and Pig-Liver Glycolate Oxidase

Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/65168/1/j.1432-1033.1974.tb03515.x.pd

Reminiscence bump in memory for public events

People tend to recall more personal events from adolescence and early adulthood than from other lifetime periods. Most evidence suggests that differential encoding causes this reminiscence bump. However, the question why personal events are encoded better in those periods is still unanswered. To shed more light on this discussion, we examined memory for public events. Since it is often impossible to ascertain that queried events are equally difficult, we circumvented the issue of equivalence by calculating deviation scores for each trial. We found that participants more frequently answered questions correctly about events that occurred in the period in which they were between 10 and 25 years old. Furthermore, we found that the reminiscence bump was more pronounced for cued recall than for recognition. We argue that these results support the biological account that events are stored better, because the memory system is working more efficiently during adolescence and early adulthood. These results do not falsify the other accounts for differential encoding, because they are not mutually exclusive. People speak of autobiographical memory when they are referring to the memories they have of their own life experiences (Robinson, 1986). Autobiographical memory does not only consist of personal memories that are remembered vividly, but also of autobiographical facts (Brewer, 1986). Some researchers have examined the contents of autobiographical memories (e.g., Fitzgerald, 1988; Niedźwieńska, 2003; Robinson, 1976), whereas other researchers have focused on the temporal distribution of memories of personal events across the lifespan (e.g., Janssen, Chessa, &amp

Forming Judgments of Attitude Certainty, Intensity, and Importance: The Role of Subjective Experiences

Two studies examined the impact of subjective experiences on reports of attitude certainty, intensity, and importance. In Study 1, participants with moderate or extreme attitudes toward doctor-assisted suicide generated three (easy) or seven (hard) arguments that either supported or countered their opinion toward the issue prior to indicating the strength of their attitude. Participants with moderate attitudes rated their opinions as more intense, personally important, and held with greater certainty when they had generated either a small number of supporting arguments or a large number of opposing arguments. Ratings provided by individuals with extreme attitudes were unaffected by the argument generation task. In Study 2, the impact of ease of recall on strength-related judgments was eliminated when it was rendered nondiagnostic by a misattribution manipulation. Implications of these findings for attitude strength and other judgmental phenomena are discussed.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/68385/2/10.1177_0146167299025007001.pd