Delineating COVID-19 subgroups using routine clinical data identifies distinct in-hospital outcomes

The COVID-19 pandemic has been a great challenge to healthcare systems worldwide. It highlighted the need for robust predictive models which can be readily deployed to uncover heterogeneities in disease course, aid decision-making and prioritise treatment. We adapted an unsupervised data-driven model—SuStaIn, to be utilised for short-term infectious disease like COVID-19, based on 11 commonly recorded clinical measures. We used 1344 patients from the National COVID-19 Chest Imaging Database (NCCID), hospitalised for RT-PCR confirmed COVID-19 disease, splitting them equally into a training and an independent validation cohort. We discovered three COVID-19 subtypes (General Haemodynamic, Renal and Immunological) and introduced disease severity stages, both of which were predictive of distinct risks of in-hospital mortality or escalation of treatment, when analysed using Cox Proportional Hazards models. A low-risk Normal-appearing subtype was also discovered. The model and our full pipeline are available online and can be adapted for future outbreaks of COVID-19 or other infectious disease

Author Correction: Delineating COVID-19 subgroups using routine clinical data identifies distinct in-hospital outcomes

Correction to: Scientific Reports, published online 20 June 2023 The original version of this Article contained an error in the name of author, Andrew Scarsbrook which was incorrectly given as Prof Andrew Scarsbrook. He is a member of the NCCID Collaborative team. The original Article has been corrected