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Hospital-Level Variation in Death for Critically III Patients with COVID-19
Rationale: Variation in hospital mortality has been described for coronavirus disease (COVID-19), but the factors that explain these differences remain unclear.
Objective: Our objective was to use a large, nationally representative data set of critically ill adults with COVID-19 to determine which factors explain mortality variability.
Methods: In this multicenter cohort study, we examined adults hospitalized in ICUs with COVID-19 at 70 U.S. hospitals between March and June 2020. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. We examined patient-level and hospital-level variables. Mixed-effect logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with interhospital variation. The median odds ratio was calculated to compare outcomes in higher- versus lower-mortality hospitals. A gradient-boosted machine algorithm was developed for individuallevel mortality models.
Measurements and Main Results: A total of 4,019 patients were included, 1,537 (38%) of whom died by 28 days. Mortality varied considerably across hospitals (0-82%). After adjustment for patientand hospital-level domains, interhospital variation was attenuated (odds ratio decline from 2.06 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.73-2.37] to 1.22 [95% CI, 1.00 1.38]), with the greatest changes occurring with adjustment for acute physiology, socioeconomic status, and strain. For individual patients, the relative contribution of each domain to mortality risk was as follows: acute physiology (49%), demographics and comorbidities (20%), socioeconomic status (12%), strain (9%), hospital quality (8%), and treatments (3%).
Conclusions: There is considerable interhospital variation in mortality for critically ill patients with COVID-19, which is mostly explained by hospital-level socioeconomic status, strain, and acute physiologic differences. Individual mortality is driven mostly by patient-level factors
Group B Streptococcus cpsE is required for serotype V capsule production and aids in biofilm formation and ascending infection of the reproductive tract during pregnancy
Group B Streptococcus (GBS) is an encapsulated Gram-positive pathogen that causes ascending infections of the reproductive tract during pregnancy. The capsule of this organism is a critical virulence factor that has been implicated in a variety of cellular processes to promote pathogenesis. Primarily comprised of carbohydrates, the GBS capsule and its synthesis is driven by the capsule polysaccharide synthesis (cps) operon. The cpsE gene within this operon encodes a putative glycosyltransferase that is responsible for the transfer of a Glc-1-P from UDP-Glc to an undecaprenyl lipid molecule. We hypothesized that the cpsE gene product is important for GBS virulence and ascending infection during pregnancy. Our work demonstrates that a GBS cpsE mutant secretes fewer carbohydrates, has a reduced capsule, and forms less biofilm than the wild-type parental strain. We show that, compared to the parental strain, the ΔcpsE deletion mutant is more readily taken up by human placental macrophages and has a significantly attenuated ability to invade and proliferate in the mouse reproductive tract. Taken together, these results demonstrate that the cpsE gene product is an important virulence factor that aids in GBS colonization and invasion of the gravid reproductive tract
Streptococcus agalactiae cadD alleviates metal stress and promotes intracellular survival in macrophages and ascending infection during pregnancy
Perinatal infection with Streptococcus agalactiae, or Group B Streptococcus (GBS), is associated with preterm birth, neonatal sepsis, and stillbirth. Here, we study the interactions of GBS with macrophages, essential sentinel immune cells that defend the gravid reproductive tract. Transcriptional analyses of GBS-macrophage co-cultures reveal enhanced expression of a gene encoding a putative metal resistance determinant, cadD. Deletion of cadD reduces GBS survival in macrophages, metal efflux, and resistance to metal toxicity. In a mouse model of ascending infection during pregnancy, the ΔcadD strain displays attenuated bacterial burden, inflammation, and cytokine production in gestational tissues. Furthermore, depletion of host macrophages alters cytokine expression and decreases GBS invasion in a cadD-dependent fashion. Our results indicate that GBS cadD plays an important role in metal detoxification, which promotes immune evasion and bacterial proliferation in the pregnant host
Coronal Heating as Determined by the Solar Flare Frequency Distribution Obtained by Aggregating Case Studies
Flare frequency distributions represent a key approach to addressing one of
the largest problems in solar and stellar physics: determining the mechanism
that counter-intuitively heats coronae to temperatures that are orders of
magnitude hotter than the corresponding photospheres. It is widely accepted
that the magnetic field is responsible for the heating, but there are two
competing mechanisms that could explain it: nanoflares or Alfv\'en waves. To
date, neither can be directly observed. Nanoflares are, by definition,
extremely small, but their aggregate energy release could represent a
substantial heating mechanism, presuming they are sufficiently abundant. One
way to test this presumption is via the flare frequency distribution, which
describes how often flares of various energies occur. If the slope of the power
law fitting the flare frequency distribution is above a critical threshold,
as established in prior literature, then there should be a
sufficient abundance of nanoflares to explain coronal heating. We performed
600 case studies of solar flares, made possible by an unprecedented number
of data analysts via three semesters of an undergraduate physics laboratory
course. This allowed us to include two crucial, but nontrivial, analysis
methods: pre-flare baseline subtraction and computation of the flare energy,
which requires determining flare start and stop times. We aggregated the
results of these analyses into a statistical study to determine that . This is below the critical threshold, suggesting that Alfv\'en
waves are an important driver of coronal heating.Comment: 1,002 authors, 14 pages, 4 figures, 3 tables, published by The
Astrophysical Journal on 2023-05-09, volume 948, page 7