Development and validation of a risk score for chronic kidney disease in HIV infection using prospective cohort data from the D:A:D study.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major health issue for HIV-positive individuals, associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Development and implementation of a risk score model for CKD would allow comparison of the risks and benefits of adding potentially nephrotoxic antiretrovirals to a treatment regimen and would identify those at greatest risk of CKD. The aims of this study were to develop a simple, externally validated, and widely applicable long-term risk score model for CKD in HIV-positive individuals that can guide decision making in clinical practice

Hepatitis B and C co-Infection are independent predictors of progressive kidney disease in HIV-positive, antiretroviral-treated adults

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in HIV-positive individuals. Hepatitis C (HCV) co-infection has been associated with increased risk of CKD, but prior studies lack information on potential mechanisms. We evaluated the association between HCV or hepatitis B (HBV) co-infection and progressive CKD among 3,441 antiretroviral-treated clinical trial participants. Progressive CKD was defined as the composite of end-stage renal disease, renal death, or significant glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline (25% decline to eGFR 800,000 IU/ml had increased odds (OR 3.07; 95% CI 1.60–5.90). Interleukin-6, hyaluronic acid, and the FIB-4 hepatic fibrosis index were higher among participants who developed progressive CKD, but were no longer associated with progressive CKD after adjustment. Future studies should validate the relationship between HCV viremia and CKD

Фінанси санаторно-курортних підприємств України

Метою дослідження є аналіз стану санаторно-курортної сфери України як на рівні галузі, так і на рівні окремого санаторно-курортного підприємства

An elevated ankle-brachial index is not a valid proxy for peripheral medial arterial calcification

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The ankle brachial index (ABI) is often used as a proxy for medial arterial calcification (MAC) in studies investigating MAC as a cardiovascular risk factor, but evidence supporting this hypothesis is sparse. This study aims to investigate the use of an elevated ABI as proxy for MAC, as visualized with computed tomography (CT). METHODS: Cross-sectional data of 718 participants with, or at risk of cardiovascular disease was used. The ABI was calculated using cutoffs >1.4 and > 1.3. The presence of MAC was assessed in the crural and femoral arteries by CT imaging. Modified Poisson regression was used to assess the association between an elevated ABI and the presence of MAC, and test characteristics were calculated. RESULTS: MAC was found in 25.0% of participants. An ABI >1.4 was found in 8.7% of participants, of whom 45.2% had MAC. An elevated ABI was significantly associated with the presence of MAC (RR 1.74, CI: 1.26-2.40). However, poor positive specific agreement (23.3%, CI: 13.9-34.3), sensitivity (15.7%, CI: 10.4-21.1) and positive predictive value (45.2%, CI: 32.8-57.5) were found. Despite good specificity (93.6%, CI: 91.6-95.7) the area under the receiving operator curve remained poor (54.7%, CI: 51.8-57.6). Negative specific agreement (84.5%, CI: 81.4-87.0) and negative predictive value (77.0%, CI: 73.7-80.2) were acceptable. CONCLUSIONS: An elevated ABI is insufficient to serve as a true diagnostic proxy for MAC. Studies that have drawn conclusions on the association between MAC and cardiovascular disease, solely based on the ABI, are likely to underestimate the found effects

Intimal and medial calcification in relation to cardiovascular risk factors

PURPOSE: To assess specific risk factors and biomarkers associated with intimal arterial calcification (IAC) and medial arterial calcification (MAC). METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study in patients with or at risk of vascular disease from the SMART study(n = 520) and the DCS cohort(n = 198). Non-contrast computed tomography scanning of the lower extremities was performed and calcification in the femoral and crural arteries was scored as absent, predominant IAC, predominant MAC or indistinguishable. Multinomial regression models were used to assess the associations between cardiovascular risk factors and calcification patterns. Biomarkers for inflammation, calcification and vitamin K status were measured in a subset of patients with IAC(n = 151) and MAC(n = 151). RESULTS: Femoral calcification was found in 77% of the participants, of whom 38% had IAC, 28% had MAC and 11% were scored as indistinguishable. The absolute agreement between the femoral and crural arteries was high(69%). Higher age, male sex, statin use and history of coronary artery disease were associated with higher prevalences of femoral IAC and MAC compared to absence of calcification. Smoking and low ankle-brachial-index (ABI) were associated with higher prevalence of IAC and high ABI was associated with less IAC. Compared to patients with IAC, patients with MAC more often had diabetes, have a high ABI and were less often smokers. Inactive Matrix-Gla Protein was associated with increased MAC prevalence, while osteonectin was associated with decreased risk of MAC, compared to IAC. CONCLUSIONS: When femoral calcification is present, the majority of the patients have IAC or MAC throughout the lower extremity, which have different associated risk factor profiles

Prediction of Lifetime and 10-Year Risk of Cancer in Individual Patients With Established Cardiovascular Disease

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer share many common risk factors; patients with CVD also may be at risk of developing cancer. Objectives: The aim of this study was to derive and externally validate prediction models for the estimation of lifetime and 10-year risk for total, colorectal, and lung cancer in patients with established CVD. Methods: Data from patients with established CVD from the UCC-SMART cohort (N = 7,280) were used for model development, and from the CANTOS trial (N = 9,322) for model validation. Predictors were selected based on previously published cancer risk scores, clinical availability, and presence in the derivation dataset. Fine and Gray competing risk-adjusted lifetime models were developed for the outcomes total, colorectal, and lung cancer. Results: Selected predictors were age, sex, smoking, weight, height, alcohol use, antiplatelet use, diabetes, and C-reactive protein. External calibration for the 4-year risk of lung, colorectal, and total cancer was reasonable in our models, as was discrimination with C-statistics of 0.74, 0.64, and 0.63, respectively. Median predicted lifetime and 10-year risks in CANTOS were 26% (range 1% to 52%) and 13% (range 1% to 31%) for total cancer; 4% (range 0% to 13%) and 2% (range 0% to 6%) for colorectal cancer; and 5% (range 0% to 37%) and 2% (range 0% to 24%) for lung cancer. Conclusions: Lifetime and 10-year risk of total, colorectal, and lung cancer can be estimated reasonably well in patients with established CVD with readily available clinical predictors. With additional study, these tools could be used in clinical practice to further aid in the emphasis of healthy lifestyle changes and to guide thresholds for targeted diagnostics and screening

Metabolic syndrome and risk of incident heart failure in non-diabetic patients with established cardiovascular disease

BACKGROUND: In patients with established cardiovascular disease (CVD), the relation between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and incident heart failure (HF) in the absence of diabetes mellitus (DM) is largely unknown. This study assessed this relation in non-diabetic patients with established CVD. METHODS: Patients from the prospective UCC-SMART cohort with established CVD, but without DM or HF at baseline were included (n = 4653). MetS was defined according to the Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. Insulin resistance was quantified using the homeostasis model of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). The outcome was a first hospitalization for HF. Relations were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for established risk factors: age, sex, prior myocardial infarction (MI), smoking, cholesterol, and kidney function. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 8.0 years, 290 cases of incident HF were observed (0.81/100 person years). MetS was significantly related to an increased risk of incident HF independent of established risk factors (hazard ratio [HR] 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.68, HR per criterion 1.17; 95% CI 1.06-1.29), as was HOMA-IR (HR per standard deviation [SD] 1.15; 95% CI 1.03-1.29). Of the individual MetS components, only higher waist circumference independently increased the risk of HF (HR per SD 1.34; 95% CI 1.17-1.53). Relations were independent of the occurrence of interim DM and MI, and were not significantly different for HF with reduced vs preserved ejection fraction. CONCLUSION: In CVD patients without a current diagnosis of DM, MetS and insulin resistance increase the risk of incident HF independent of established risk factors

Association between lower extremity arterial calcification and coronary arterial calcification in a population at increased risk of cardiovascular disease

Introduction There is conflicting evidence whether lower extremity arterial calcification coincides with coronary arterial calcification (CAC). The aims of this study were to investigate the associations between (1) femoral and crural calcification with CAC, and (2) femoral and crural calcification pattern with CAC. Research design and methods This cross-sectional study included 405 individuals (74% men, 62.6±10.9 years) from the ARTEMIS cohort study at high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) who underwent a CT scan of the femoral, crural and coronary arteries. High CVD risk was defined as history/ presence of cerebrovascular disease, coronary artery disease, abdominal aortic aneurysm, renal artery stenosis, peripheral artery disease or CVD risk factors: diabetes mellitus type 2, hypertension, hyperlipidemia. Calcification score within each arterial bed was expressed in Agatston units. Dominant calcification patterns (intimal, medial, absent/indistinguishable) were determined via a CT-guided histologically validated scoring algorithm. Multivariable-adjusted multinomial logistic regression analyses were used. Replication was performed in an independent population of individuals with diabetes mellitus type 2 (Early-HFpEF cohort study). Results Every 100-point increase in femoral and crural calcification score was associated with 1.23 (95% CI=1.09 to 1.37, p<0.001) and 1.28 (95% CI=1.11 to 1.47, p=0.001) times higher odds of having CAC within tertile 3 (high) versus tertile 1 (low), respectively. The association appeared stronger for crural versus femoral arteries. Moreover, the presence of femoral intimal (OR=10.81, 95% CI=4.23 to 27.62, p<0.001), femoral medial (OR=10.37, 95% CI=3.92 to 27.38, p<0.001) and crural intimal (OR=6.70, 95% CI=2.73 to 16.43, p<0.001) calcification patterns were associated with higher odds of having CAC within tertile 3 versus tertile 1, independently from concomitant calcification score. This association appeared stronger for intimal versus medial calcification patterns. The replication analysis yielded similar results. Conclusions Higher femoral and crural calcification scores were associated with higher CAC. Moreover, the presence of femoral intimal, femoral medial and crural intimal calcification patterns was associated with increased CAC. It appears that arterial calcification is a systemic process which occurs simultaneously in various arterial beds

The role of cognitive and brain reserve in memory decline and atrophy rate in mid and late-life: The SMART-MR study

OBJECTIVE: Investigate associations of cognitive and brain reserve with trajectories of memory decline in mid-life and late-life, and whether the relationship of memory decline with atrophy differs as a function of reserve. METHODS: Participants were 989 Dutch middle-aged to older adults from the SMART-MR prospective cohort, followed up to 12 years with up to 3 measurements of memory and brain MRI. Education and Dutch National Adult Reading Test (DART) were used as proxies of cognitive reserve, and intracranial volume (ICV) and baseline brain parenchymal fraction (BPF) for brain reserve. Univariate growth curve models analyzed associations of reserve with memory decline, and multiple-group bivariate growth curve models tested the longitudinal brain-memory relationship as a function of reserve. Models were additionally stratified by mid-life and late-life. RESULTS: Higher DART, education, and BPF were related to a slower rate of memory decline, particularly in late-life, but ICV was not. A positive covariance indicated that an individual who undergoes atrophy also undergoes memory decline-this relationship did not differ across cognitive or brain reserve, but was not present in mid-life. Memory declined slower than brain volume, yet rates were more similar in the low DART, education, and BPF groups. DISCUSSION: Higher cognitive (DART, education) and brain reserve (BPF) work protectively in longitudinal memory change. ICV is an inappropriate proxy of brain reserve, failing to show any association with memory performance at baseline or over time. Deconstructing relationships of reserve capacities with longitudinal cognitive and brain outcomes may identify focus areas with potential for intervention

Association of White Matter Hyperintensity Markers on MRI and Long-term Risk of Mortality and Ischemic Stroke: The SMART-MR Study

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether white matter hyperintensity (WMH) markers on MRI are associated with long-term risk of mortality and ischemic stroke. METHODS: We included consecutive patients with manifest arterial disease enrolled in the Second Manifestations of Arterial Disease-Magnetic Resonance (SMART-MR) study. We obtained WMH markers (volume, type, and shape) from brain MRI scans performed at baseline using an automated algorithm. During follow-up, occurrence of death and ischemic stroke was recorded. Using Cox regression, we investigated associations of WMH markers with risk of mortality and ischemic stroke, adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, and cerebrovascular disease. RESULTS: We included 999 patients (59 ± 10 years; 79% male) with a median follow-up of 12.5 years (range 0.2-16.0 years). A greater periventricular or confluent WMH volume was independently associated with a greater risk of vascular death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.29, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-1.47) for a 1-unit increase in natural log-transformed WMH volume and ischemic stroke (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.26-1.86). A confluent WMH type was independently associated with a greater risk of vascular (HR 1.89, 95% CI 1.15-3.11) and nonvascular death (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.01-2.73) and ischemic stroke (HR 2.83, 95% CI 1.36-5.87). A more irregular shape of periventricular or confluent WMH, as expressed by an increase in concavity index, was independently associated with a greater risk of vascular (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.05-1.38 per SD increase) and nonvascular death (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.03-1.42) and ischemic stroke (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.05-1.55). CONCLUSIONS: WMH volume, type, and shape are associated with long-term risk of mortality and ischemic stroke in patients with manifest arterial disease