Climate change and the northern Russian treeline zone

The Russian treeline is a dynamic ecotone typified by steep gradients in summer temperature and regionally variable gradients in albedo and heat flux. The location of the treeline is largely controlled by summer temperatures and growing season length. Temperatures have responded strongly to twentieth-century global warming and will display a magnified response to future warming. Dendroecological studies indicate enhanced conifer recruitment during the twentieth century. However, conifers have not yet recolonized many areas where trees were present during the Medieval Warm period (ca AD 800–1300) or the Holocene Thermal Maximum (HTM; ca 10 000–3000 years ago). Reconstruction of tree distributions during the HTM suggests that the future position of the treeline due to global warming may approximate its former Holocene maximum position. An increased dominance of evergreen tree species in the northern Siberian forests may be an important difference between past and future conditions. Based on the slow rates of treeline expansion observed during the twentieth century, the presence of steep climatic gradients associated with the current Arctic coastline and the prevalence of organic soils, it is possible that rates of treeline expansion will be regionally variable and transient forest communities with species abundances different from today's may develop

Lichenometric studies on moraines in the Polar Urals

Lichenometry was used to study fluctuations of six glaciers in the Polar Urals over the last millennium (viz: IGAN, Obrucheva, Anuchina, Shumskogo, Avsiuka and Berga glaciers). In order to estimate the growth rate of Rhizocarpon subgenus Rhizocarpon lichens we used recently deglaciated surfaces as calibration sites. These sites, on glacier forelands, were dated using topographic maps, aerial photographs (from 1953, 1958, 1960, 1968, 1973, 1989), terrestrial photogrammetry, field photographs (from the 1960s to 2005), and satellite images (from 2000 and 2008). We also used pits and quarries abandoned between the 1940s–1980s and a road built in the early 1980s as calibration sites. Optimum diametral growth rates of Rhizocarpon subgenus Rhizocarpon are estimated by the new curve to be c. 0.25 mm/year for the last 100 years, assuming linear growth as deduced from the shape of other curves from northern Scandinavia. Due to the lack of old control points we used a reconstructed mass balance curve (from 1816 to 2008) to indirectly constrain the age of pre-twentieth-century moraines. The following moraine groups were identified near the modern fronts of glaciers: ablation moraines de-glaciated during the last 40 to 60 years; lateral moraines formed in the early twentieth century (largest lichen diameter (DLL) = 20 mm), ice-cored moraines, probably from the 1880s (DLL= 24–26 mm); moraines probably deposited in the middle of the nineteenth century and c. 200 years ago (DLL= 30–33 mm and 44–47 mm, respectively); as well as several more ancient moraines (DLL= 70 mm, 90 mm and 110–153 mm) deposited during glacier advances of almost identical extent. According to our tentative lichenometric-age estimates most moraines were formed during the last 450 years – consistent with upper tree-limit altitude variations previously identified for this region. Glacier fluctuations in the Polar Urals are in agreement with tree-ring based reconstructions of summer temperature spanning the last millennium, and are also in tune with glacier behaviour elsewhere in the Northern Hemisphere