Decision making under uncertainty, therapeutic inertia, and physicians’ risk preferences in the management of multiple sclerosis (DIScUTIR MS)

Abstract Background The management of multiple sclerosis (MS) is rapidly changing by the introduction of new and more effective disease-modifying agents. The importance of risk stratification was confirmed by results on disease progression predicted by different risk score systems. Despite these advances, we know very little about medical decisions under uncertainty in the management of MS. The goal of this study is to i) identify whether overconfidence, tolerance to risk/uncertainty, herding influence medical decisions, and ii) to evaluate the frequency of therapeutic inertia (defined as lack of treatment initiation or intensification in patients not at goals of care) and its predisposing factors in the management of MS. Methods/Design This is a prospective study comprising a combination of case-vignettes and surveys and experiments from Neuroeconomics/behavioral economics to identify cognitive distortions associated with medical decisions and therapeutic inertia. Participants include MS fellows and MS experts from across Spain. Each participant will receive an individual link using Qualtrics platform© that includes 20 case-vignettes, 3 surveys, and 4 behavioral experiments. The total time for completing the study is approximately 30–35 min. Case vignettes were selected to be representative of common clinical encounters in MS practice. Surveys and experiments include standardized test to measure overconfidence, aversion to risk and ambiguity, herding (following colleague’s suggestions even when not supported by the evidence), physicians’ reactions to uncertainty, and questions from the Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP) related to risk preferences in different domains. By applying three different MS score criteria (modified Rio, EMA, Prosperini’s scheme) we take into account physicians’ differences in escalating therapy when evaluating medical decisions across case-vignettes. Conclusions The present study applies an innovative approach by combining tools to assess medical decisions with experiments from Neuroeconomics that applies to common scenarios in MS care. Our results will help advance the field by providing a better understanding on the influence of cognitive factors (e.g., overconfidence, aversion to risk and uncertainty, herding) on medical decisions and therapeutic inertia in the management of MS which could lead to better outcomes

Additional file 1: of Decision making under uncertainty, therapeutic inertia, and physicians’ risk preferences in the management of multiple sclerosis (DIScUTIR MS)

Case-vignettes and behavioral experiments. (DOCX 601 kb

Real-World Treatment Sequencing, Toxicities, Health Utilities, and Survival Outcomes in Patients with Advanced ALK-Rearranged Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer.

OBJECTIVES This real-world analysis describes treatment patterns, sequencing and clinical effectiveness, toxicities, and health utility outcomes in advanced-stage, incurable ALK-positive NSCLC patients across five different ALK-TKIs. MATERIALS AND METHODS Clinicodemographic, treatment, and toxicity data were collected retrospectively in patients with advanced-stage ALK-positive NSCLC at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre. Patient-reported symptoms, toxicities, and health utilities were collected prospectively. RESULTS Of 148 ALK-positive NSCLC patients seen July 2009-May 2021, median age was 58.9 years; 84 (57%) were female; 112 (76%) never-smokers; 54 (47%) Asian and 40 (35%) white; 139 (94%) received at least one ALK-TKI: crizotinib (n = 74; 54%) and alectinib (n = 61; 44%) were administered mainly as first-line ALK-TKI, ceritinib, brigatinib and lorlatinib were administered primarily after previous ALK-TKI failure. Median overall survival (OS) was 54.0 months; 31 (21%) patients died within two years of advanced-stage diagnosis. Treatment modifications were observed in 35 (47%) patients with crizotinib, 19 (61%) with ceritinib, 41 (39%) with alectinib, 9 (41%) with brigatinib and 8 (30%) with lorlatinib. Prevalence of dose modifications and self-reported toxicities were higher with early versus later generation ALK-TKIs (P<.05). The presence of early treatment modification was not negatively associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and OS analyses. CONCLUSION Serial ALK-TKI sequencing approaches are viable therapeutic options that can extend quality of life and quantity-of-life, though a fifth of patients died within two years. No best single sequencing approach could be determined. Clinically relevant toxicities occurred across all ALK-TKIs. Treatment modifications due to toxicity may not necessarily compromise outcomes, allowing multiple approaches to deal with ALK-TKI toxicities