HIV-1 TRANSMISSION THROUGH BREAST-MILK - APPRAISAL OF RISK ACCORDING TO DURATION OF FEEDING

Objectives: To estimate the risk of HIV-1 transmission through breast-milk in children born to infected mothers, and to determine the relationship between duration of breast-feeding and risk. Design and methods: The study population included 168 breast-fed and 793 bottle-fed children born to seropositive mothers. All subjects were enrolled and followed-up in the Italian Register for HIV Infection in Children; HIV serostatus was defined in all children. Multivariate analysis was performed using a logistic regression model. Independent variables included biological factors (duration of breast-feeding, gestational age, clinical condition of mother at delivery, mode of delivery, birth-weight and sex). Year of birth and age when HIV infection was diagnosed were also considered in the analysis attempting to control for possible selection biases. Results: Breast-feeding increased the risk of HIV-1 transmission. The estimated adjusted odds ratio for 1 day of breast- versus bottle-feeding was 1.19 (95% confidence interval, 1.10-1.28). The infection odds ratio of breast- versus bottle-feeding increased with the natural logarithm of the duration of practice. Conclusions: These results are the first to provide an appraisal of the additional risk of HIV-1 transmission associated with a seropositive mother breast-feeding her child. Biological significance of this route of transmission was supported by demonstration of a relationship between duration of breast-feeding and risk of HIV-1 transmission

Predictive value of the HIV paediatric classification system for the long-term course of perinatally infected children

Background To compare the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) paediatric classification system with the long-term course of perinatal human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection. Methods Prospective study on 366 perinatally infected children followed-up from birth and checked at least every 2 months. Survival, smoothed hazard, adjusted hazard ratio of death, and transition probabilities in clinical and immunological categories were outcome measures. Results Results Survival was 49% (95% CI : 40-58%) at 8 years. The risk of death was high before the age of 2, relatively low between ages 2 and 7, and contained thereafter. Children did not advance through the categories sequentially. Survival at 8 years was 61.7% (95% CI : 49.8-73.6%) in those children who had passed through clinical category A; the hazard ratio of death was 2.5 (95% CI : 1.7-3.8) for 175 (47.9%) children who skipped this category. Transition probability in clinical category B was 39.9% (95% CI : 32.3-45.6%) after one year, but 59.1% (95% CI : 51.4-66.8%) after 5 years. Before 2 years of age, the probability of entry into category C (40%; 95% CI: 35-45%) was higher than that of entry into immunological category 3 (28% 95% CI : 22-34%). Conclusions The classification system stands comparison with the clinical reality, but the CD4-positive cell thresholds in infancy should be adjusted and category B indicator diseases better distributed to improve their predictive value