Contribution of macro- and micronutrients intake to gastrointestinal cancer mortality in the ONCONUT cohort: Classical vs. modern approaches

The aim of this study was to evaluate the contribution of macro- and micronutrients intake to mortality in patients with gastrointestinal cancer, comparing the classical statistical approaches with a new generation algorithm. In 1992, the ONCONUT project was started with the aim of evaluating the relationship between diet and cancer development in a Southern Italian elderly population. Patients who died of specific death causes (ICD-10 from 150.0 to 159.9) were included in the study (n = 3,505) and survival analysis was applied. This cohort was used to test the performance of different techniques, namely Cox proportional-hazards model, random survival forest (RSF), Survival Support Vector Machine (SSVM), and C-index, applied to quantify the performance. Lastly, the new prediction mode, denominated Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP), was adopted. RSF had the best performance (0.7653711 and 0.7725246, for macro- and micronutrients, respectively), while SSVM had the worst C-index (0.5667753 and 0.545222). SHAP was helpful to understand the role of single patient features on mortality. Using SHAP together with RSF and classical CPH was most helpful, and shows promise for future clinical applications

A Dose–Response Study on the Relationship between White Meat Intake and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) in Southern Italy: Results from the Nutrihep Study

(1) Background: Metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease (MASLD) is one of the most important causes of liver disease worldwide. Meat consumption is a growing trend and white meat has been shown to have beneficial effects on cardiometabolic risk factors. The aim of this study was to investigate the dose–response relationship between white meat intake and MASLD at survey level in a Southern Italy setting. (2) Methods: This cross-sectional study encompassed 1192 subjects (509 males, 42.7%) without missing data from the second wave of the NUTRIHEP cohort (2014–2016). Adjusted dose–response modeling was employed for statistical analysis; (3) Results: There were 587 subjects with MASLD (49.2%), i.e., 278 males (54.6%) and 309 females (45.2%). By increasing the intake, an unfavorable influence of white meat on MASLD was significantly revealed in females, whereas a protective effect of white meat was detectable in males. Male sex was shown to be involved in other associations in this study, such as influencing the preference for specific foods such as poultry and chicken skin. (4) Conclusions: Our data suggest that white meat does not have a clear-cut independent dose–response effect on MASLD, but sex may be a trigger moderator for age and BMI, with an increasing unfavorable effect of white meat in women, and a favorable effect in me

Prevalence of the Absence of Cirrhosis in Subjects with NAFLD-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is most commonly considered as a complication of cirrhosis. However, an increasing number of HCC in subjects with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) without cirrhosis is being reported. We conducted a meta-analysis to assess the prevalence of the absence of cirrhosis in NAFLD-associated HCC. Methods. Four databases were searched until March 2021 (CRD42021242969). The original articles included were those reporting data on the presence or absence of cirrhosis among at least 50 subjects with NAFLD-associated HCC. The number of subjects with absent cirrhosis in each study was extracted. For statistical pooling of data, a random-effects model was used. Subgroup analyses according to the continent, target condition and reference standard for the diagnosis of cirrhosis were conducted. Results. Thirty studies were included, evaluating 13,371 subjects with NAFLD-associated HCC. The overall prevalence of cases without cirrhosis was 37% (95%CI 28 to 46). A higher prevalence was reported in Asia versus Europe, North America and South America (45, 36, 37 and 22%, respectively) as well as in studies adopting histology only as the reference standard for the diagnosis of cirrhosis versus histology and other modalities (e.g., radiology, endoscopy, biochemistry or overt clinical findings) (53 and 27%, respectively). No difference was found between studies including subjects with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) only, versus NAFLD with or without NASH (p = 0.385). One in three subjects with NAFLD-associated HCC presented without cirrhosis. This should be reflected in future guidelines and surveillance programs adapted to allow for the early detection of these cancers too

GALAD outperforms aMAP and ALBI for predicting HCC in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease: A 12-year prospective study

Background and aims: Surveillance programs are strongly recommended in patients with liver cirrhosis for early detection of HCC development. Six-monthly ultrasound sonography is the most reliable and commonly used technique, especially when associated with serum determination of α-fetoprotein, but different score systems have been proposed to overcome the unsatisfactory diagnostic accuracy of α-fetoprotein. The aim of this 12-year prospective study is to compare the gender, age, AFP-L3, AFP, des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (GALAD) versus age, gender, bilirubin, albumin, and platelets and albumin-bilirubin scores in predicting HCC onset. Approach and results: A cohort of 545 consecutive patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease without suspected focal lesions was followed up every 6 months by liver imaging and α-fetoprotein to detect HCC occurrence. Harrell's C-index for censored data was employed to evaluate the performance of any parameters or scores helping to predict HCC development. ROC curve analysis showed that the GALAD score was more accurate in evaluating HCC development than albumin-bilirubin and age, gender, bilirubin, albumin, and platelets. The AUC ranged from 0.7268 to 0.6851 at 5 and 10 years, both in the total cohort and in the sub-cohorts (viral hepatitis, NASH, and alcohol). The HCC Risk model was constructed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, showing a strong association of GALAD with HR > 1, p < 0.05, in the total and sub-cohorts, and a better risk prediction in the alcohol cohort, both alone and standardized with other blood parameters. Conclusions: GALAD is the most reliable and accurate score system to detect HCC risk of development in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease

Performance of Fatty Liver Index in Identifying Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Population Studies. A Meta-Analysis

Background. Fatty liver index (FLI) is a non-invasive tool used to stratify the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in population studies; whether it can be used to exclude or diagnose this disorder is unclear. We conducted a meta-analysis to assess the prevalence of NAFLD in each FLI class and the performance of FLI in detecting NAFLD. Methods. Four databases were searched until January 2021 (CRD42021231367). Original articles included were those reporting the performance of FLI and adopting ultrasound, computed tomography, or magnetic resonance as a reference standard. The numbers of subjects with NAFLD in FLI classes <30, 30–60, and 60, and the numbers of subjects classified as true/false positive/negative when adopting 30 and 60 as cut-offs were extracted. A random-effects model was used for pooling data. Results. Ten studies were included, evaluating 27,221 subjects without secondary causes of fatty liver disease. The prevalence of NAFLD in the three FLI classes was 14%, 42%, and 67%. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, likelihood ratio for positive results, likelihood ratio for negative results, and diagnostic odds ratio were 81%, 65%, 53%, 84%, 2.3, 0.3, and 7.8 for the lower cut-off and 44%, 90%, 67%, 76%, 4.3, 0.6, and 7.3 for the higher cut-off, respectively. A similar performance was generally found in studies adopting ultrasound versus other imaging modalities. Conclusions. FLI showed an adequate performance in stratifying the risk of NAFLD. However, it showed only weak evidence of a discriminatory performance in excluding or diagnosing this disorder

Retinal Microvasculature and Neural Changes and Dietary Patterns in an Older Population in Southern Italy.

BackgroundLike other parts of the body, the retina and its neurovascular system are also affected by age-related changes. The rising age of populations worldwide makes it important to study the pathologies related to age and their potential risk factors, such as diet and eating habits. The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive power of food groups versus retinal features among noninstitutionalized older adults from Southern Italy using a machine learning approach.MethodsWe recruited 530 subjects, with a mean age of 74 years, who were drawn from the large population of the Salus in Apulia Study. In the present cross-sectional study, eating habits were assessed with a validated food frequency questionnaire. For the visual assessment, a complete ophthalmic examination and optical coherence tomography-angiography analyses were performed.ResultsThe analyses identified 13 out of the 28 food groups as predictors of all our retinal variables: grains, legumes, olives-vegetable oil, fruiting vegetables, other vegetables, fruits, sweets, fish, dairy, low-fat dairy, red meat, white meat, and processed meat.ConclusionsEating habits and food consumption may be important risk factors for age-related retinal changes. A diet that provides the optimal intake of specific nutrients with antioxidant and anti-inflammatory powers, including carotenoids and omega-3 fatty acids, could have beneficial effects

Impact of Different Operational Definitions of Sarcopenia on Prevalence in a Population-Based Sample: The Salus in Apulia Study

Background: In 2010, the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP1) issued its first operational definition to diagnose sarcopenia. This was updated in 2019 with a revised sequence of muscle mass and muscle strength (EWGSOP2). The aim of the study was to investigate the impact of these different operational definitions on sarcopenia prevalence in a representative population-based sample. Methods: For each algorithm, the prevalence of sarcopenia-related categories was calculated and related to sociodemographic and lifestyle variables, anthropometric parameters, and laboratory biomarkers. The present analysis used data from the Salus in Apulia Study (Italy, 740 subjects, mean age 75.5 ± 5.9 years, 54% women). Results: The application of the EWGSOP1 adapted algorithm resulted in 85% [95% confidence intervals (CI): 82–88%] non-sarcopenic subjects, 10% (95% CI: 8–12%) pre-sarcopenic subjects, and 5% (95% CI: 3–7%) sarcopenic/severe sarcopenic subjects. The sarcopenia-related categories were inversely related to weight and body mass index (BMI), particularly in overweight/obese subjects, and these categories showed favorable metabolic biomarkers. The EWGSOP2 algorithm yielded 73% (95% CI: 69–76%) non-sarcopenic subjects, 24% (95% CI: 21–27%) probably sarcopenic subjects, and 4% (95% CI: 2–5%) sarcopenic subjects. Conclusions: The present study identified BMI as a potential confounder of the prevalence estimates of sarcopenia-related categories in population-based settings with different EWGSOP operational definitions

Liver Health and Dementia in an Italian Older Population: Findings From the Salus in Apulia Study

Objectives: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) currently affects a quarter of the global population. Systemic inflammation, metabolic syndrome, and coronary artery disease, all conditions associated with NAFLD, have also been related to cognitive dysfunction in older age. The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between NAFLD risk and a dementia diagnosis in a large population-based sample aged > 65 years. Methods: We selected 1,542 participants (723 men) from the Salus in Apulia Study. To assess the risk of fat distribution in the liver, we used the Fatty Liver Index (FLI). Dementia was diagnosed according to the American Psychiatric Association criteria (DSM-5). Results: The overall prevalence of dementia was 8.5% [95% confidence interval (CI): 7–10%]. Subjects with dementia were older [effect size (ES): −0.89, 95% CI: −1.07 to −0.70], had a lower level of education (ES:0.88, 95% CI:0.69–1.06), higher levels of gamma-glutamyl transferase (ES: −0.21, 95% CI: −0.39 to −0.03), lower levels of total cholesterol (ES: −0.24, 95% CI: −0.42 to −0.06) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (ES: −0.20, 95% CI: −0.38 to 0.02), and a higher FLI (ES: −0.22, 95% CI: −0.39 to −0.04). In the logistic regression model adjusted for age, sex, education, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, alcohol consumption, smoking habits, stroke, cholesterol, and Apo-E, a dementia diagnosis was positively associated with FLI > 60 [odds ratio (OR):1.81; standard error (SE): 0.53; 95% CI: 1.02–3.21]. Conclusion: Our findings suggested that an increased NAFLD risk may be associated to dementia and cognitive decline in older age. Considering the high NAFLD prevalence, the possible adverse disease effects on cognitive performance pose a health problem with significant social and economic implications

Dietary Patterns Associated with Diabetes in an Older Population from Southern Italy Using an Unsupervised Learning Approach

Dietary behaviour is a core element in diabetes self-management. There are no remarkable differences between nutritional guidelines for people with type 2 diabetes and healthy eating recommendations for the general public. This study aimed to evaluate dietary differences between subjects with and without diabetes and to describe any emerging dietary patterns characterizing diabetic subjects. In this cross-sectional study conducted on older adults from Southern Italy, eating habits in the “Diabetic” and “Not Diabetic” groups were assessed with FFQ, and dietary patterns were derived using an unsupervised learning algorithm: principal component analysis. Diabetic subjects (n = 187) were more likely to be male, slightly older, and with a slightly lower level of education than subjects without diabetes. The diet of diabetic subjects reflected a high-frequency intake of dairy products, eggs, vegetables and greens, fresh fruit and nuts, and olive oil. On the other hand, the consumption of sweets and sugary foods was reduced compared to non-diabetics (23.74 ± 35.81 vs. 16.52 ± 22.87; 11.08 ± 21.85 vs. 7.22 ± 15.96). The subjects without diabetes had a higher consumption of red meat, processed meat, ready-to-eat dishes, alcoholic drinks, and lower vegetable consumption. The present study demonstrated that, in areas around the Mediterranean Sea, older subjects with diabetes had a healthier diet than their non-diabetic counterparts