BMI and all cause mortality: systematic review and non-linear dose-response meta-analysis of 230 cohort studies with 3.74 million deaths among 30.3 million participants

 To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies of body mass index (BMI) and the risk of all cause mortality, and to clarify the shape and the nadir of the dose-response curve, and the influence on the results of confounding from smoking, weight loss associated with disease, and preclinical disease. PubMed and Embase databases searched up to 23 September 2015. Cohort studies that reported adjusted risk estimates for at least three categories of BMI in relation to all cause mortality. Summary relative risks were calculated with random effects models. Non-linear associations were explored with fractional polynomial models. 230 cohort studies (207 publications) were included. The analysis of never smokers included 53 cohort studies (44 risk estimates) with >738 144 deaths and >9 976 077 participants. The analysis of all participants included 228 cohort studies (198 risk estimates) with >3 744 722 deaths among 30 233 329 participants. The summary relative risk for a 5 unit increment in BMI was 1.18 (95% confidence interval 1.15 to 1.21; I(2)=95%, n=44) among never smokers, 1.21 (1.18 to 1.25; I(2)=93%, n=25) among healthy never smokers, 1.27 (1.21 to 1.33; I(2)=89%, n=11) among healthy never smokers with exclusion of early follow-up, and 1.05 (1.04 to 1.07; I(2)=97%, n=198) among all participants. There was a J shaped dose-response relation in never smokers (Pnon-linearity <0.001), and the lowest risk was observed at BMI 23-24 in never smokers, 22-23 in healthy never smokers, and 20-22 in studies of never smokers with ≥20 years follow-up. In contrast there was a U shaped association between BMI and mortality in analyses with a greater potential for bias including all participants, current, former, or ever smokers, and in studies with a short duration of follow-up (<5 years or <10 years), or with moderate study quality scores. Overweight and obesity is associated with increased risk of all cause mortality and the nadir of the curve was observed at BMI 23-24 among never smokers, 22-23 among healthy never smokers, and 20-22 with longer durations of follow-up. The increased risk of mortality observed in underweight people could at least partly be caused by residual confounding from prediagnostic disease. Lack of exclusion of ever smokers, people with prevalent and preclinical disease, and early follow-up could bias the results towards a more U shaped association

Body mass index, abdominal fatness, fat mass and the risk of atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and dose–response meta-analysis of prospective studies

Different adiposity measures have been associ- ated with increased risk of atrial fibrillation, however, results have previously only been summarized for BMI. We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta- analysis of prospective studies to clarify the association between different adiposity measures and risk of atrial fibrillation. PubMed and Embase databases were searched up to October 24th 2016. Summary relative risks (RRs) were calculated using random effects models. Twenty-nine unique prospective studies (32 publications) were included. Twenty-five studies (83,006 cases, 2,405,381 participants) were included in the analysis of BMI and atrial fibrillation. The summary RR was 1.28 (95% confidence interval: 1.20–1.38, I 2 = 97%) per 5 unit increment in BMI, 1.18 (95% CI: 1.12–1.25, I 2 = 73%, n = 5) and 1.32 (95% CI: 1.16–1.51, I 2 = 91%, n = 3) per 10 cm increase in waist and hip circumference, respectively, 1.09 (95% CI: 1.02–1.16, I 2 = 44%, n = 4) per 0.1 unit increase in waist- to-hip ratio, 1.09 (95% CI: 1.02–1.16, I 2 = 94%, n = 4) per 5 kg increase in fat mass, 1.10 (95% CI: 0.92–1.33, I 2 = 90%, n = 3) per 10% increase in fat percentage, 1.10 (95% CI: 1.08–1.13, I 2 = 74%, n = 10) per 5 kg increase in weight, and 1.08 (95% CI: 0.97–1.19, I 2 = 86%, n = 2) per 5% increase in weight gain. The association between BMI and atrial fibrillation was non- linear, p nonlinearity \ 0.0001, with a stronger association at higher BMI levels, however, increased risk was observed even at a BMI of 22–24 compared to 20. In conclusion, general and abdominal adiposity and higher body fat mass increase the risk of atrial fibrillation

Quality of Data Reported on Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair—A Comparison between a National Vascular and a National Administrative Registry

AbstractObjectiveTo study consistency of data and completeness of reporting in a national vascular registry, NorKar, and a national administrative registry, The Norwegian patient register (NPR).DesignComparative registry-based national study supplemented with a comprehensive control of patients registered in one major hospital.MaterialAll patients registered with a procedure-code for treatment of AAA in NorKar or NPR during 2001 or 2002, were included.MethodWe compared the reporting of procedure-codes, diagnosis-codes and in-hospital deaths after treatment for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) in the two registries to evaluate completeness. Consistency between procedure-codes and diagnoses were evaluated within both registries. Completeness of reporting to one NorKar Local Registry was investigated in more detail in one of the hospitals.ResultsCompared with the NPR numbers, NorKar contained 69% of the patients treated for AAA in Norway, while completeness for NorKar member hospitals was 84%. The detailed investigation in one of the hospitals showed a completeness of 91% and a false inclusion of 5.3% of all cases treated for AAA. The consistency between procedure-codes and diagnosis-codes was 93% in both registries. We found evidence of substantial underreporting of in-hospital deaths to NorKar in several hospitals. Overall reporting of early deaths to NorKar relative to completeness of reported cases was estimated to 72%.ConclusionThere is an underreporting of patients with AAA to NorKar according to the NPR numbers and a need for better control of procedure-diagnosis consistency in both registries. There seems to be a substantial underreporting of early deaths to NorKar. Introduction of unique patient-identifiable data could improve the quality of both registries by making matching of data possible

Pregnancy related protection against breast cancer depends on length of gestation

In a prospective study of 694 657 parous women in Norway, 5474 developed breast cancer after their first birth. If the first pregnancy lasted less than 32 weeks, the risk was 22% (95% confidence interval, −3% to 53%) greater than after a pregnancy of 40 weeks or more, with a significant declining trend in risk (P for trend=0.02)

Predicting live birth, preterm and low birth weight infant after in-vitro fertilisation: a prospective study of 144018 treatment cycles

Background The extent to which baseline couple characteristics affect the probability of live birth and adverse perinatal outcomes after assisted conception is unknown. Methods and Findings We utilised the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority database to examine the predictors of live birth in all in vitro fertilisation (IVF) cycles undertaken in the UK between 2003 and 2007 (n = 144,018). We examined the potential clinical utility of a validated model that pre-dated the introduction of intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) as compared to a novel model. For those treatment cycles that resulted in a live singleton birth (n = 24,226), we determined the associates of potential risk factors with preterm birth, low birth weight, and macrosomia. The overall rate of at least one live birth was 23.4 per 100 cycles (95% confidence interval [CI] 23.2–23.7). In multivariable models the odds of at least one live birth decreased with increasing maternal age, increasing duration of infertility, a greater number of previously unsuccessful IVF treatments, use of own oocytes, necessity for a second or third treatment cycle, or if it was not unexplained infertility. The association of own versus donor oocyte with reduced odds of live birth strengthened with increasing age of the mother. A previous IVF live birth increased the odds of future success (OR 1.58, 95% CI 1.46–1.71) more than that of a previous spontaneous live birth (OR 1.19, 95% CI 0.99–1.24); p-value for difference in estimate &#60;0.001. Use of ICSI increased the odds of live birth, and male causes of infertility were associated with reduced odds of live birth only in couples who had not received ICSI. Prediction of live birth was feasible with moderate discrimination and excellent calibration; calibration was markedly improved in the novel compared to the established model. Preterm birth and low birth weight were increased if oocyte donation was required and ICSI was not used. Risk of macrosomia increased with advancing maternal age and a history of previous live births. Infertility due to cervical problems was associated with increased odds of all three outcomes—preterm birth, low birth weight, and macrosomia. Conclusions Pending external validation, our results show that couple- and treatment-specific factors can be used to provide infertile couples with an accurate assessment of whether they have low or high risk of a successful outcome following IVF

Reduction in Basal Nitric Oxide Activity Causes Albuminuria

OBJECTIVE-The barrier function of the glomerular filter has been studied for decades. Albuminuria reflects a malfunction of this barrier, and in animals dysfunctional endothelial nitric-oxide (NO) synthase results in albuminuria. We aimed to analyze the importance of NO for the glomerular barrier function in humans. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS-To assess the effect of endothelial dysfunction on albuminuria, we measured the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) both before and after the blockade of NO synthases (NOSs) with systemic infusion of N-G-monomethyl-L-arginine (L-NMMA) in two distinct study populations. In population A, 62 hypertensive patients with type 2 diabetes and, in population B, 22 patients with hypercholesterolemia but without hypertension or type 2 diabetes were examined. All subjects had normal renal function. RESULTS-There was a significant increase in the UACR in response to NOS inhibition with L-NMMA in hypertensive patients with type 2 diabetes (study population A) and in patients with hypercholesterolemia (study population B). Linear regression analyses revealed that the change in mean arterial presssure in response to L-NMMA was not related to the increase in the UACR in response to L-NMMA in either population, even after adjusting for filtration fraction. CONCLUSIONS-NOS inhibition provokes albuminuria that is unrelated to changes in blood pressure. It is noteworthy that this finding was evident in patient groups prone to endothelial dysfunction and albuminuria. Thus, acute deterioration of endothelial function by reducing NO activity causes an increase in albuminuria. Diabetes 60:572-576, 201

Association of size at birth with adolescent hormone levels, body size and age at menarche: relevance for breast cancer risk

Birth size has been positively associated with age at menarche and height in adolescence and adulthood, but the relevant biological mechanisms remain unclear. Among 262 Norwegian term-born singleton girls, birth size measures (weight, length, ponderal index, head circumference and subscapular skin-fold thickness) were analysed in relation to adolescent hormone levels (oestradiol, prolactin, dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate, androstenedione and free testosterone index), age at menarche and adolescent (ages 12.7–15.5 years) and body size (height, weight, body mass index and waist-to-hip ratio) using survival analysis and general linear modelling. The results were adjusted for gestational age at birth, age and menarcheal status at measurement in adolescence and maternal age at menarche. Birth weight, birth length and head circumference were positively associated with adolescent weight and height, and small birth size was associated with earlier age at menarche. Subscapular skin-fold thickness at birth was not associated with adolescent body size, but low fold-thickness was associated with earlier age at menarche. Measures of birth size were inversely related to circulating levels of dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate in adolescence, but there was no clear association with other hormones. These results suggest that physical and sexual development in puberty and adolescence is influenced by prenatal factors, and in combination, these factors may influence health and disease later in life

The negative association between pre-eclampsia and breast cancer risk may depend on the offspring's gender

If the negative association between pre-eclampsia and subsequent breast cancer risk differs by gender, this would strengthen the hypothesis that factors intrinsic to the particular pregnancy may explain the association. The study included 701 006 parous Norwegian women with follow-up for breast cancer through the Cancer Registry of Norway. Breast cancer risk was lower in women with pre-eclampsia/hypertension in their first pregnancy, compared to other women (relative risk, 0.86, 95% CI, 0.78–0.94), after adjustment for age at first birth, maternal birth year, length of gestation, marital status, and parity. The risk reduction was slightly greater if the woman delivered a son as opposed to a daughter (relative risks of 0.79 vs 0.94, P-value for interaction, 0.06), and if pre-eclampsia/hypertension was combined with pre-term delivery, these differences were more pronounced (relative risks, 0.62 vs 1.07, P-value for interaction 0.03). A subanalysis among 176 036 primiparous women showed a substantial risk reduction if the mother delivered a son (relative risk, 0.62, 95% CI, 0.47–0.82), but essentially null if she delivered a daughter (relative risk, 0.92, 95% CI, 0.72–1.18; P-value for interaction, 0.05). These results suggest that the effect of pre-eclampsia/hypertension may be attributed to factors associated with the particular pregnancy rather than an underlying biological trait of the mother. The stronger risk reduction related to having a son suggests a role for sex-dependent hormones in pregnancy