42 research outputs found

    Additional file 1: of Cost-effectiveness analysis of quadrivalent seasonal influenza vaccines in England

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    Assessing the impact of different paediatric programmes, sensitivity analyses for programmes 2 and 3, and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves. (DOCX 44 kb

    Mortality Attributable to Influenza in England and Wales Prior to, during and after the 2009 Pandemic

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    <div><p>Very different influenza seasons have been observed from 2008/09–2011/12 in England and Wales, with the reported burden varying overall and by age group. The objective of this study was to estimate the impact of influenza on all-cause and cause-specific mortality during this period. Age-specific generalised linear regression models fitted with an identity link were developed, modelling weekly influenza activity through multiplying clinical influenza-like illness consultation rates with proportion of samples positive for influenza A or B. To adjust for confounding factors, a similar activity indicator was calculated for Respiratory Syncytial Virus. Extreme temperature and seasonal trend were controlled for. Following a severe influenza season in 2008/09 in 65+yr olds (estimated excess of 13,058 influenza A all-cause deaths), attributed all-cause mortality was not significant during the 2009 pandemic in this age group and comparatively low levels of influenza A mortality were seen in post-pandemic seasons. The age shift of the burden of seasonal influenza from the elderly to young adults during the pandemic continued into 2010/11; a comparatively larger impact was seen with the same circulating A(H1N1)pdm09 strain, with the burden of influenza A all-cause excess mortality in 15–64 yr olds the largest reported during 2008/09–2011/12 (436 deaths in 15–44 yr olds and 1,274 in 45–64 yr olds). On average, 76% of seasonal influenza A all-age attributable deaths had a cardiovascular or respiratory cause recorded (average of 5,849 influenza A deaths per season), with nearly a quarter reported for other causes (average of 1,770 influenza A deaths per season), highlighting the importance of all-cause as well as cause-specific estimates. No significant influenza B attributable mortality was detected by season, cause or age group. This analysis forms part of the preparatory work to establish a routine mortality monitoring system ahead of introduction of the UK universal childhood seasonal influenza vaccination programme in 2013/14.</p></div

    Proportion of all-cause deaths attributable to influenza A by age group and season when assessing coded causes of death.

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    <p>Proportion of all-cause deaths attributable to influenza A by age group and season where significant (corresponding confidence intervals not crossing 0). The number of influenza A-attributable deaths correspond to the following datasets analysed: all-cause deaths (<a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0079360#pone-0079360-g003" target="_blank">Figure 3a</a>), cardiorespiratory deaths (<a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0079360#pone-0079360-g003" target="_blank">Figure 3b</a>), respiratory deaths (<a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0079360#pone-0079360-g003" target="_blank">Figure 3c</a>) and pneumonia and influenza deaths (<a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0079360#pone-0079360-g003" target="_blank">Figure 3d</a>). Dominant influenza A subtype by season is indicated.</p

    Weekly number of all-cause deaths by age group.

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    <p>The weekly numbers of all-cause deaths are blue and the proportion of those deaths classified as pneumonia and influenza (ICD-10 J9-J18) are red. Weeks shaded grey correspond to significant influenza activity, defined as an influenza incidence proxy (influenza-like illness consultation rates multiplied by proportion of samples positive for influenza) greater than 0 for three consecutive weeks. Horizontal black lines correspond to weeks with significant RSV activity, defined as a RSV incidence proxy (acute bronchitis consultation rates multiplied by proportion of samples positive for RSV) greater than 0 for three consecutive weeks. Orange circles correspond to weeks in which mean CET was below 0°C.</p
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