Peramalan Netflow Uang Kartal dengan Metode ARIMAX dan Radial Basis Function Network (Studi Kasus di Bank Indonesia)

BI memiliki satu tujuan tunggal yakni mencapai dan menjaga kestabilan nilai rupiah. Salah satu hal yang dilakukan untuk memenuhi tujuan ini adalah dengan pemantauan netflow uang kartal dengan meramalkan netflow uang kartal. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meramalkan netflow uang kartal dengan metode ARIMAX dan Artificial Neural Network (ANN) dilanjutkan dengan membandingkan hasil ketepatan peramalan kedua metode tersebut. Pada penelitian ini netflow uang kartal akan diramalkan dengan ARIMAX dengan efek variasi kalender dan variabel prediktor IHK serta kurs. Metode yang digunakan untuk ANNadalah metode Radial Basis Function Network (RBFN). Diperoleh hasil bahwa model ARIMAX dengan efek variasi kalender dan variabel prediktor IHK merupakan model dengan peramalan netflow uang kartal terbaik

Analisis Kapasitas Kelembagaan Dan Akuntabilitas Kepemimpinan Perangkat Desa Terhadap Implentasi UU No 6 Tahun 2014 (Studi Kasus Pada Desa Kalisidi, Ungaran Barat, Kabupaten Semarang)

This paper describes the institutional capacity of the village government and leadership accountability of village government in Kalisidi village, West Ungaran, Semarang regency to the implementation of UU No. 6 tahun 2014. UU No. 6 tahun 2014 envisioned the welfare of the villagers would be guaranteed by the Law . But in order to realize the ideals of UU No. 6 tahun 2014 was an important factor is the executive element that is ready for the task. Actor governance at the village level that is provided by the village governmen

Pengaruh Dukungan Keluarga Dalam Meningkatkan Perilaku Adaptif Remaja Pubertas

The period of puberty is a critical period for adolescents. The consequence of changing puberty is often arise a dis-adaptif behaviour such as a shirker, protester, gang fighter. Family as the primary environment teenager plays an important role in shaping adolescent behavior. The research objective was to identify the influence of family support for adaptive behavior of adolescent puberty. Quasi-experimental design approach without pre-posttest control group design was applied. Respondents was selected by purposive sampling in Baturaden. Adaptive behavior that increased from 60% to 97% after optimization family support. Difficulties of parents in providing family support when directed to learn, to establish open communication, and teenagers emotional. There is the influence of family support optimization significantly to the increase of adaptive behavior adolescents with p value of 0.001. Parents should always increase their knowledge to implement family support to teenagers

Identifikasi Gender Berdasarkan Citra Wajah Menggunakan Deteksi Tepi dan Backpropagation

Pengenalan pola dapat dilakukan pada bagian tubuh manusia seperti sidik jari, retina mata dan wajah. Pengenalan pola wajah dapat dipandang mengenali identitas, emosi, ras dan gender berdasarkan fitur-fitur yang dimiliki. Penelitian terdahulu mengenali usia dan jenis kelamin menggunakan metode Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan (JST), penelitian lain untuk mengenali citra wajah menggunakan metode Two-Dimensional Linear Discriminant Analysis (TDLDA) dan Support Vector Machine (SVM), dan untuk mengenali ekspresi wajah menggunakan JST Backpropagation. Pengenalan citra wajah untuk identifikasi gender dapat digunakan untuk rekapitulasi kehadiran dan akses suatu ruangan khusus. Penelitian ini membangun sistem identifikasi gender berdasarkan citra wajah menggunakan JST. Segmentasi citra wajah menjadi segmen mata, segmen mata kanan, segmen mata kiri, dan mulut yang dilakukan konversi ke vektor sebagai masukan dari JST menggunakan metode Backpropagation. Backpropagation mempunyai kemampuan untuk belajar (bersifat adaptif) dan memiliki resiko kesalahan yang kecil (Fault Tolerance) secara umum toleran terhadap kebisingan pada pola masukan. Hasil identifikasi dari 60 data yang pernah dilatih sebelumnya dengan hasil sebesar 100%. sedangkan hasil identifikasi dari 60 data yang belum pernah dilatih sebelumnya menghasilkan akurasi sebesar 82%

Dampak Perubahan Iklim Terhadap Produktivitas Pucuk Teh Pada Berbagai Ketinggian Tempat / Impact of Climate Changes on Leaves Productivity in Various Elevation Levels

Rainfall is one of the climate elements influence the growth and leaves productivity of tea plant. During 2005-2014 El-Nino has been happen with strong intensity in late 2009 and early 2010. El Nino influence on changes in rainfall patterns and decreasing leaves production. This experiment was conducted to determine the impact of climate change on leaves productivity at each elevation level of tea plantation. The experiments conducted in 9 tea plantation in West Java, grouped in to 3 different elevation levels based on Schoorel 1974, low elevation level plantaion (<800 above MSL), medium elevation level (800-1200 above MSL), high elevation level plantation (>1200 above MSL) and presented in histogram and graphic to descript the annual distribution pattern. The results showed that the decreasing rainfall pattern in high and middle elevation tea plantation in 2010-2014 (after El-Nino) compare to 2005- 2009 (before El-Nino). The productivity of the tea plant at each elevation in 2011-2014 was lower than in 2005-2008. In high elevation tea plantation there is a close relationship between decreased in rainfall patterns followed by a decrease in productivity with linear regression value R2 = 0.85

Penerapan Personal Hygiene Di Food and Beverage Product Grand Jatra Hotel Pekanbaru

This research aims to determine Applying Personal Hygiene and way of to constraint existing overcoming in Food & Beverage Department Grand Jatra Hotel Pekanbaru.This research was used descriptif qulitatif method to describe the issues. The population in this research was used Sensus technique, and the subject is all employee in Food and Beverage Department. The research was used observation, interview and documentation for gathering the data.Based on the research that has been done, Applying Personal Hygiene in Food and Beverage Department Grand Jatra Pekanbaru Hotel was good enough and according to Standard Operational Procedure that has been made by the company.Keywords: Applying Personal Hygiene, Standard Operational Procedure, Kitchen, Chef, Hote