14 research outputs found

    Temporal trends in motor vehicle fatalities in the United States, 1968 to 2010 - a joinpoint regression analysis.

    Get PDF
    BackgroundIn the past 40 years, a variety of factors might have impacted motor vehicle (MV) fatality trends in the US, including public health policies, engineering innovations, trauma care improvements, etc. These factors varied in their timing across states/localities, and many were targeted at particular population subgroups. In order to identify and quantify differential rates of change over time and differences in trend patterns between population subgroups, this study employed a novel analytic method to assess temporal trends in MV fatalities between 1968 and 2010, by age group and sex.MethodsCause-specific MV fatality data from traffic injuries between 1968 and 2010, based on death certificates filed in the 50 states, and DC were obtained from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER). Long-term (1968 to 2010) and short-term (log-linear piecewise segments) trends in fatality rates were compared for males and females overall and in four separate age groups using joinpoint regression.ResultsMV fatalities declined on average by 2.4% per year in males and 2.2% per year in females between 1968 and 2010, with significant declines observed in all age groups and in both sexes. In males overall and those 25 to 64 years, sharp declines between 1968 and mid-to-late 1990s were followed by a stalling until the mid-2000s, but rates in females experienced a long-term steady decline of a lesser magnitude than males during this time. Trends in those aged <1 to 14 years and 15 to 24 years were mostly steady over time, but males had a larger decline than females in the latter age group between 1968 and the mid-2000s. In ages 65+, short-term trends were similar between sexes.ConclusionsDespite significant long-term declines in MV fatalities, the application of Joinpoint Regression found that progress in young adult and middle-aged adult males stalled in recent decades and rates in males declined relatively more than in females in certain age groups. Future research is needed to establish the causes of these observed trends, including the potential role of contemporaneous MV-related policies and their repeal. Such research is needed in order to better inform the design and evaluation of future population interventions addressing MV fatalities nationally

    COVID-19 and Tweets About Quitting Cigarette Smoking: Topic Model Analysis of Twitter Posts 2018-2020

    No full text
    BackgroundThe risk of infection and severity of illness by SARS-CoV-2 infection is elevated for people who smoke cigarettes and may motivate quitting. Organic public conversations on Twitter about quitting smoking could provide insight into quitting motivations or behaviors associated with the pandemic. ObjectiveThis study explored key topics of conversation about quitting cigarette smoking and examined their trajectory during 2018-2020. MethodsTopic model analysis with latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) identified themes in US tweets with the term “quit smoking.” The model was trained on posts from 2018 and was then applied to tweets posted in 2019 and 2020. Analysis of variance and follow-up pairwise tests were used to compare the daily frequency of tweets within and across years by quarter. ResultsThe mean numbers of daily tweets on quitting smoking in 2018, 2019, and 2020 were 133 (SD 36.2), 145 (SD 69.4), and 127 (SD 32.6), respectively. Six topics were extracted: (1) need to quit, (2) personal experiences, (3) electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes), (4) advice/success, (5) quitting as a component of general health behavior change, and (6) clinics/services. Overall, the pandemic was not associated with changes in posts about quitting; instead, New Year’s resolutions and the 2019 e-cigarette or vaping use–associated lung injury (EVALI) epidemic were more plausible explanations for observed changes within and across years. Fewer second-quarter posts in 2020 for the topic e-cigarettes may reflect lower pandemic-related quitting interest, whereas fourth-quarter increases in 2020 for other topics pointed to a late-year upswing. ConclusionsTwitter posts suggest that the pandemic did not generate greater interest in quitting smoking, but possibly a decrease in motivation when the rate of infections was increasing in the second quarter of 2020. Public health authorities may wish to craft messages for specific Twitter audiences (eg, using hashtags) to motivate quitting during pandemics

    The association of initiating HPV vaccination at ages 9–10 years and up-to-date status among adolescents ages 13–17 years, 2016-2020

    No full text
    Recent guidelines from the American Cancer Society stress HPV vaccination series initiation at the youngest opportunity, i.e., age 9 years. There are limited data on the association between initiating HPV vaccination at ages 9–10 years and up-to-date (UTD) status. In this study, we compare nationally representative UTD HPV vaccination rates between adolescents who initiated the series younger (ages 9–10 years) vs. older (≥ age 11 years). Five years of pooled data (2016–2020) from National Immunization Survey-Teen were used to estimate the UTD HPV vaccination prevalence among younger vs. older initiating 13–17-year-olds. Adjusted logistic regression models estimated prevalence ratios (aPRs), differences (aDs), and difference in differences (aDDs) in prevalence of being UTD to assess the overall association of age at initiation with being UTD and differences in sociodemographic predictors of being UTD among younger vs. older initiators. UTD prevalence for younger initiators was 93% compared with 72% among older initiators (aPR: 1.27,95%CI: 1.24,1.31). Among older initiators, UTD prevalence was significantly different by sex, insurance status, and current age; no such differences were observed among younger initiators. Results indicate that younger initiation is associated with a 27% higher UTD prevalence, highlighting the importance of promoting younger initiation, particularly among those with health-care barriers

    Changes in smoking cessation-related behaviors among us adults during the COVID-19 pandemic.

    No full text
    Importance: Smoking cessation is an urgent public health priority given that smoking is associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes and other diseases. It is unknown how smoking cessation changed nationally during the COVID-19 pandemic. Question: Did smoking cessation–related behaviors change during the COVID-19 pandemic in the US? Findings: This cross-sectional study among 788 008 US adult smokers found that the annual prevalence of past-year quit attempts decreased for the first time since 2011, from 65.2% in 2019 to 63.2% in 2020. Simultaneously, observed sales of nicotine replacement therapy brands from representative retail scanner data across 31 US states decreased by 1% to 13% compared with expected sales. Meaning: These findings suggest a decrease in smoking cessation activity during the COVID-19 pandemic and the need to reengage smokers in evidence-based quitting strategies
    corecore