A multivariable prognostic score to guide systemic therapy in early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer: a retrospective study with an external evaluation

Background: In early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer, escalation or de-escalation of systemic therapy is a controversial topic. As an aid to treatment decisions, we aimed to develop a prognostic assay that integrates multiple data types for predicting survival outcome in patients with newly diagnosed HER2-positive breast cancer. Methods: We derived a combined prognostic model using retrospective clinical–pathological data on stromal tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes, PAM50 subtypes, and expression of 55 genes obtained from patients who participated in the Short-HER phase 3 trial. The trial enrolled patients with newly diagnosed, node-positive, HER2-positive breast cancer or, if node negative, with at least one risk factor (ie, tumour size >2 cm, histological grade 3, lymphovascular invasion, Ki67 >20%, age ≤35 years, or hormone receptor negativity), and randomly assigned them to adjuvant anthracycline plus taxane-based combinations with either 9 weeks or 1 year of trastuzumab. Trastuzumab was administered intravenously every 3 weeks (8 mg/kg loading dose at first cycle, and 6 mg/kg thereafter) for 18 doses or weekly (4 mg/kg loading dose in the first week, and 2 mg/kg thereafter) for 9 weeks, starting concomitantly with the first taxane dose. Median follow-up was 91·4 months (IQR 75·1–105·6). The primary objective of our study was to derive and evaluate a combined prognostic score associated with distant metastasis-free survival (the time between randomisation and distant recurrence or death before recurrence), an exploratory endpoint in Short-HER. Patient samples in the training dataset were split into a training set (n=290) and a testing set (n=145), balancing for event and treatment group. The training set was further stratified into 100 iterations of Monte-Carlo cross validation (MCCV). Cox proportional hazard models were fit to MCCV training samples using Elastic-Net. A maximum of 92 features were assessed. The final prognostic model was evaluated in an independent combined dataset of 267 patients with early-stage HER2-positive breast cancer treated with different neoadjuvant and adjuvant anti-HER2-based combinations and from four other studies (PAMELA, CHER-LOB, Hospital Clinic, and Padova) with disease-free survival outcome data. Findings: From Short-HER, data from 435 (35%) of 1254 patients for tumour size (T1 vs rest), nodal status (N0 vs rest), number of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (continuous variable), subtype (HER2-enriched and basal-like vs rest), and 13 genes composed the final model (named HER2DX). HER2DX was significantly associated with distant metastasis-free survival as a continuous variable (p<0·0001). HER2DX median score for quartiles 1–2 was identified as the cutoff to identify low-risk patients; and the score that distinguished quartile 3 from quartile 4 was the cutoff to distinguish medium-risk and high-risk populations. The 5-year distant metastasis-free survival of the low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk populations were 98·1% (95% CI 96·3–99·9), 88·9% (83·2–95·0), and 73·9% (66·0–82·7), respectively (low-risk vs high-risk hazard ratio [HR] 0·04, 95% CI 0·0–0·1, p<0·0001). In the evaluation cohort, HER2DX was significantly associated with disease-free survival as a continuous variable (HR 2·77, 95% CI 1·4–5·6, p=0·0040) and as group categories (low-risk vs high-risk HR 0·27, 0·1–0·7, p=0·005). 5-year disease-free survival in the HER2DX low-risk group was 93·5% (89·0–98·3%) and in the high-risk group was 81·1% (71·5–92·1). Interpretation: The HER2DX combined prognostic score identifies patients with early-stage, HER2-positive breast cancer who might be candidates for escalated or de-escalated systemic treatment. Future clinical validation of HER2DX seems warranted to establish its use in different scenarios, especially in the neoadjuvant setting. Funding: Instituto Salud Carlos III, Save the Mama, Pas a Pas, Fundación Científica, Asociación Española Contra el Cáncer, Fundación SEOM, National Institutes of Health, Agenzia Italiana del Farmaco, International Agency for Research on Cancer, and the Veneto Institute of Oncology, and Italian Association for Cancer Research

Oestrogen receptor activity in hormone-dependent breast cancer during chemotherapy: ER activity in pre-menopausal HR+ breast cancer during CT

Background: Chemotherapy efficacy in early-stage hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer (BC) according to menopausal status needs a biological explanation. Methods: We compared early-stage HR+ BC biological features before and after (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy or endocrine therapy (ET), and assessed oestrogen receptor (ER) pathway activity in both pre- and post-menopausal patients. The nCounter platform was used to detect gene expression levels. Findings: In 106 post-menopausal patients with HR+/HER2-negative BC randomized to neoadjuvant chemotherapy or ET (letrozole+ribociclib), a total of 19 oestrogen-regulated genes, including progesterone receptor (PGR), were found downregulated in the ET-based arm-only. We confirmed this finding in an independent dataset of 20 letrozole-treated post-menopausal patients and found, conversely, an up-regulation of the same signature in HR+/HER2-negative MCF7 cell line treated with estradiol. PGR was found down-regulated by 2 weeks of ET+anti-HER2 therapy in pre-/post-menopausal patients with HR+/HER2-positive (HER2+) BC, while anti-HER2 therapy alone increased PGR expression in HR-negative/HER2+ BC. In 88 pre- and post-menopausal patients with newly diagnosed HR+/HER2-negative BC treated with chemotherapy, the 19 oestrogen-regulated genes were found significantly downregulated only in pre-menopausal patients. In progesterone receptor (PR)+/HER2-negative BC treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (n=40), tumours became PR-negative in 69.2% of pre-menopausal patients and 14.8% of post-menopausal patients (p=0.001). Finally, a mean decrease in PGR levels was only observed in pre-menopausal patients undergoing anti-HER2-based multi-agent chemotherapy. Interpretation: Chemotherapy reduces the expression of ER-regulated genes in pre-menopausal women suffering from hormone-dependent BC by supressing ovarian function. Further studies should test the value of chemotherapy in this patient population when ovarian function is suppressed by other methods. Funding: Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Breast Cancer Now, the Breast Cancer Research Foundation, the American Association for Cancer Research, Fundació La Marató TV3, the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme, Pas a Pas, Save the Mama, Fundación Científica Asociación Española Contra el Cáncer, PhD4MDgrant of “Departament de Salut”, exp SLT008/18/00122, Fundación SEOM and ESMO. Any views, opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this material are those solely of the author(s

HER2-enriched subtype and pathological complete response in HER2-positive breast cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: HER2-positive (HER2+) breast cancer (BC) comprises all the four PAM50 molecular subtypes. Among these, the HER2-Enriched (HER2-E) appear to be associated with higher pathological complete response (pCR) rates following anti-HER2-based regimens. Here, we present a meta-analysis to validate the association of the HER2-E subtype with pCR following anti-HER2-based neoadjuvant treatments with or without chemotherapy (CT). Methods: A systematic literature search was performed in February 2019. The primary objective was to compare the association between HER2-E subtype (versus others) and pCR. Selected secondary objectives were to compare the association between 1) HER2-E subtype and pCR in CT-free studies, 2) HER2-E subtype within hormone receptor (HR)-negative and HR+ disease and 3) HR-negative disease (versus HR+) and pCR in all patients and within HER2-E subtype. A random-effect model was applied. The Higgins’ I2 was used to quantify heterogeneity. Results: Sixteen studies were included, 5 of which tested CT-free regimens. HER2-E subtype was significantly associated with pCR in all patients (odds ratio [OR] = 3.50, p < 0.001, I2 = 33%), in HR+ (OR = 3.61, p < 0.001, I2 = 1%) and HR-negative tumors (OR = 2.28, p = 0.01, I2 = 47%). In CT-free studies, HER2-E subtype was associated with pCR in all patients (OR = 5.52, p < 0.001, I2 = 0%) and in HR + disease (OR = 4.08, p = 0.001, I2 = 0%). HR-negative status was significantly associated with pCR compared to HR + status in all patients (OR = 2.41, p < 0.001, I2 = 30%) and within the HER2-E subtype (OR = 1.76, p < 0.001, I2 = 0%). Conclusions: The HER2-E biomarker identifies patients with a higher likelihood of achieving a pCR following neoadjuvant anti-HER2-based therapy beyond HR status and CT use. Future trial designs to escalate or de-escalate systemic therapy in HER2+ disease should consider this genomic biomarker

Assessment of a Genomic Assay in Patients with ERBB2 -Positive Breast Cancer Following Neoadjuvant Trastuzumab-Based Chemotherapy with or Without Pertuzumab

Importance: Biomarkers to guide the use of pertuzumab in the treatment of early-stage ERBB2 (formerly HER2)-positive breast cancer beyond simple ERBB2 status are needed. Objective: To determine if use of the HER2DX genomic assay (Reveal Genomics) in pretreatment baseline tissue samples of patients with ERBB2-positive breast cancer is associated with response to neoadjuvant trastuzumab-based chemotherapy with or without pertuzumab. Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a retrospective diagnostic/prognostic analysis of a multicenter academic observational study in Spain performed during 2018 to 2022 (GOM-HGUGM-2018-05). In addition, a combined analysis with 2 previously reported trials of neoadjuvant cohorts with results from the assay (DAPHNe and I-SPY2) was performed. All patients had stage I to III ERBB2-positive breast cancer, signed informed consent, and had available formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor specimens obtained prior to starting therapy. Exposures: Patients received intravenous trastuzumab, 8 mg/kg, loading dose, followed by 6 mg/kg every 3 weeks in combination with intravenous docetaxel, 75 mg/m2, every 3 weeks and intravenous carboplatin area under the curve of 6 every 3 weeks for 6 cycles, or this regimen plus intravenous pertuzumab, 840 mg, loading dose, followed by an intravenous 420-mg dose every 3 weeks for 6 cycles. Main Outcome and Measures: Association of baseline assay-reported pathologic complete response (pCR) score with pCR in the breast and axilla, as well as association of baseline assay-reported pCR score with response to pertuzumab. Results: The assay was evaluated in 155 patients with ERBB2-positive breast cancer (mean [range] age, 50.3 [26-78] years). Clinical T1 to T2 and node-positive disease was present in 113 (72.9%) and 99 (63.9%) patients, respectively, and 105 (67.7%) tumors were hormone receptor positive. The overall pCR rate was 57.4% (95% CI, 49.2%-65.2%). The proportion of patients in the assay-reported pCR-low, pCR-medium, and pCR-high groups was 53 (34.2%), 54 (34.8%), and 48 (31.0%), respectively. In the multivariable analysis, the assay-reported pCR score (as a continuous variable from 0-100) showed a statistically significant association with pCR (odds ratio [OR] per 10-unit increase, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.22-1.70; P &lt;.001). The pCR rates in the assay-reported pCR-high and pCR-low groups were 75.0% and 28.3%, respectively (OR, 7.85; 95% CI, 2.67-24.91; P &lt;.001). In the combined analysis (n = 282), an increase in pCR rate due to pertuzumab was found in the assay-reported pCR-high tumors (OR, 5.36; 95% CI, 1.89-15.20; P &lt;.001) but not in the assay-reported pCR-low tumors (OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.30-2.46; P =.77). A statistically significant interaction between the assay-reported pCR score and the effect of pertuzumab in pCR was observed. Conclusions and Relevance: This diagnostic/prognostic study demonstrated that the genomic assay predicted pCR following neoadjuvant trastuzumab-based chemotherapy with or without pertuzumab. This assay could guide therapeutic decisions regarding the use of neoadjuvant pertuzumab

The European Virus Archive goes global: A growing resource for research

The European Virus Archive (EVA) was created in 2008 with funding from the FP7-EU Infrastructure Programme, in response to the need for a coordinated and readily accessible collection of viruses that could be made available to academia, public health organisations and industry. Within three years, it developed from a consortium of nine European laboratories to encompass associated partners in Africa, Russia, China, Turkey, Germany and Italy. In 2014, the H2020 Research and Innovation Framework Programme (INFRAS projects) provided support for the transformation of the EVA from a European to a global organization (EVAg). The EVAg now operates as a non-profit consortium, with 26 partners and 20 associated partners from 21 EU and non-EU countries. In this paper, we outline the structure, management and goals of the EVAg, to bring to the attention of researchers the wealth of products it can provide and to illustrate how end-users can gain access to these resources. Organisations or individuals who would like to be considered as contributors are invited to contact the EVAg coordinator, Jean-Louis Romette, at [email protected]

APOE ɛ4 exacerbates age-dependent deficits in cortical microstructure

The apolipoprotein E ɛ4 allele is the primary genetic risk factor for the sporadic type of Alzheimer’s disease. However, the mechanisms by which apolipoprotein E ɛ4 are associated with neurodegeneration are still poorly understood. We applied the Neurite Orientation Dispersion Model to characterize the effects of apolipoprotein ɛ4 and its interactions with age and education on cortical microstructure in cognitively normal individuals. Data from 1954 participants were included from the PREVENT-Dementia and ALFA (ALzheimer and FAmilies) studies (mean age = 57, 1197 non-carriers and 757 apolipoprotein E ɛ4 carriers). Structural MRI datasets were processed with FreeSurfer v7.2. The Microstructure Diffusion Toolbox was used to derive Orientation Dispersion Index maps from diffusion MRI datasets. Primary analyses were focused on (i) the main effects of apolipoprotein E ɛ4, and (ii) the interactions of apolipoprotein E ɛ4 with age and education on lobar and vertex-wise Orientation Dispersion Index and implemented using Permutation Analysis of Linear Models. There were apolipoprotein E ɛ4 × age interactions in the temporo-parietal and frontal lobes, indicating steeper age-dependent Orientation Dispersion Index changes in apolipoprotein E ɛ4 carriers. Steeper age-related Orientation Dispersion Index declines were observed among apolipoprotein E ɛ4 carriers with lower years of education. We demonstrated that apolipoprotein E ɛ4 worsened age-related Orientation Dispersion Index decreases in brain regions typically associated with atrophy patterns of Alzheimer’s disease. This finding also suggests that apolipoprotein E ɛ4 may hasten the onset age of dementia by accelerating age-dependent reductions in cortical Orientation Dispersion Index