Beyond GDP? Welfare Across Countries and Time

We propose a simple summary statistic for a nation’s flow of welfare, measured as a consumption equivalent, and compute its level and growth rate for a broad set of countries. This welfare metric combines data on consumption, leisure, inequality, and mortality. Although it is highly correlated with per capita GDP, deviations are often economically significant: Western Europe looks considerably closer to U.S. living standards, emerging Asia has not caught up as much, and many African and Latin American countries are farther behind due to lower levels of life expectancy and higher levels of inequality. In recent decades, rising life expectancy boosts annual growth in welfare by more than a full percentage point throughout much of the world. The notable exception is sub- Saharan Africa, where life expectancy actually declines.Welfare, life expectancy, living standards

New Trade Models, Same Old Gains?

Micro-level data have had a profound influence on research in international trade over the last ten years. In many regards, this research agenda has been very successful. New stylized facts have been uncovered and new trade models have been developed to explain these facts. In this paper we investigate to what extent answers to new micro-level questions have affected answers to an old and central question in the field: how large are the welfare gains from trade? A crude summary of our results is: "So far, not much." (JEL F11, F12)

The Macroeconomics of Piketty

Abstract Since the early 2000s, research by Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, and their coathors has revolutionized our understanding of income and wealth inequality. In this paper, I highlight some of the key empirical facts from this research and comment on how they relate to macroeconomics and to economic theory more generally. Top inequality is tightly linked to Pareto distributions. The paper describes simple mechanisms that give rise to this Pareto inequality and considers the economic forces that influence top inequality over time and across countries

Measuring the bias of technological change

Abstract When technological change occurs, it can increase the productivity of capital, labor, and the other factors of production in equal terms or it can be biased towards a specific factor. Whether technological change favors some factors of production over others is an empirical question that is central to economics. The literatures in industrial organization, productivity, and economic growth rest on very specific assumptions about the bias of technological change. Yet, the evidence is sparse. In this paper we propose a general framework for estimating production functions that allows productivity to be multi-dimensional. Using firm-level panel data, we are able to directly assess the bias of technological change by measuring, at the level of the individual firm, how much of technological change is factor neutral and how much of it is labor augmenting. We further relate the speed and the direction of technological change to firms' R&D activities. * We than

The global decline of the labor share.

Abstract The stability of the labor share of income is a key foundation in macroeconomic models. We document, however, that the global labor share has significantly declined since the early 1980s, with the decline occurring within the large majority of countries and industries. We show that the decrease in the relative price of investment goods, often attributed to advances in information technology and the computer age, induced firms to shift away from labor and toward capital. The lower price of investment goods explains roughly half of the observed decline in the labor share, even when we allow for other mechanisms influencing factor shares such as increasing profits, capital-augmenting technology growth, and the changing skill composition of the labor force. We highlight the implications of this explanation for welfare and macroeconomic dynamics. JEL-Codes: E21, E22, E25

Productivity Issues and economic growth in east asia and India.

Presentación de las diversas fuentes del crecimiento económico aplicado a la experiencia de los países del este asiático, de acuerdo al rol de productividad total de factores como fuente del crecimiento económico de estos países en relación a la acumulación de factores. Asimismo, discusión de los últimos avances relacionados con la productividad total de factores, el crecimiento económico y la asignación de recursos