Modelling the potential impacts of locational versus system-wide strike prices in contracts for difference for low carbon generation

This paper describes the use of a cost - minimisation algorithm to explore the potential impact of two options for financial support for low carbon generation in the form of contracts for difference in a system with locational marginal pricing: 1. with a system-wide strike price; 2. with locational strike prices. A two zone system is modelled with the additional financial support for low carbon generation represented as negative variable costs that have the effect of filling in the difference between wholesale market prices and the strike price, the latter intended to cover the long-run costs of low carbon generation. The British case is modelled in which there is a limit to the total top-up expenditure. It is shown that the case of a system-wide strike price can result in less new low carbon generation capacity compared with the case of locational strike prices, due to the increased top-up spend in the lower price zone more rapidly meeting the constraint on the total cost of top-up payments to low carbon generation. However, it is also shown that the imposition of this constraint leads to a failure of the model to settle on one solution due to the non-convex relationship between installed capacity of low carbon generation and wholesale market price

The Scottish electricity dispatch model

This paper presents the Scottish Electricity Dispatch Model (SEDM), a cost minimization power system optimization model designed as a tool to investigate potential development trajectories of the Great Britain (GB) power system with particular focus on the Scottish region. Results of SEDM studies investigating the impact of low carbon policies on carbon emissions, generation portfolios and system costs are described. Two potential policies are investigated: carbon pricing and emissions limits, compared to a base scenario with neither of these policies included, but featuring financial support for low carbon generation in line with current GB policy. Model results suggest that carbon emissions could be reduced by up to 95.6% by 2050 with strict emissions limits, achieved largely through an eighteen fold increase in renewable generation capacity. This results in an increase in system costs (including carbon pricing costs) of up to 23.4% compared to the base case, in which carbon emissions increase by 130.8% from present day to 2050. This suggests current policies will be insufficient to achieve a reduction in carbon emissions to the level suggested by the UK’s Committee on Climate Change (CCC)

Using a composite flow law to model deformation in the NEEM deep ice core, Greenland — Part 2: The role of grain size and premelting on ice deformation at high homologous temperature

The ice microstructure in the lower part of the North Greenland Eemian Ice Drilling (NEEM) ice core consists of relatively fine-grained ice with a single maximum crystallographic preferred orientation (CPO) alternated by much coarser-grained ice with a partial (great circle) girdle or multi-maxima CPO. In this study, the grain-size-sensitive (GSS) composite flow law of Goldsby and Kohlstedt (2001) was used to study the effects of grain size and premelting (liquid-like layer along the grain boundaries) on strain rate in the lower part of the NEEM ice core. The results show that the strain rates predicted in the fine-grained layers are about an order of magnitude higher than in the much coarser-grained layers. The dominant deformation mechanisms, based on the flow relation of Goldsby and Kohlstedt (2001), between the layers is also different, with basal slip rate limited by grain boundary sliding (GBS-limited creep) being the dominant deformation mechanism in the finer-grained layers, while GBS-limited creep and dislocation creep (basal slip rate limited by non-basal slip) contribute both roughly equally to bulk strain in the coarse-grained layers. Due to the large difference in microstructure between finer-grained ice and the coarse-grained ice at premelting temperatures (T>262 K), it is expected that the fine-grained layers deform at high strain rates, while the coarse-grained layers are relatively stagnant. The difference in microstructure, and consequently in viscosity, between impurity-rich and low-impurity ice can have important consequences for ice dynamics close to the bedrock

The Relevance of Grain Dissection for Grain Size Reduction in Polar Ice: Insights from Numerical Models and Ice Core Microstructure Analysis

The flow of ice depends on the properties of the aggregate of individual ice crystals, such as grain size or lattice orientation distributions. Therefore, an understanding of the processes controlling ice micro-dynamics is needed to ultimately develop a physically based macroscopic ice flow law. We investigated the relevance of the process of grain dissection as a grain-size-modifying process in natural ice. For that purpose, we performed numerical multi-process microstructure modelling and analysed microstructure and crystallographic orientation maps from natural deep ice-core samples from the North Greenland Eemian Ice Drilling (NEEM) project. Full crystallographic orientations measured by electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) have been used together with c-axis orientations using an optical technique (Fabric Analyser). Grain dissection is a feature of strain-induced grain boundary migration. During grain dissection, grain boundaries bulge into a neighbouring grain in an area of high dislocation energy and merge with the opposite grain boundary. This splits the high dislocation-energy grain into two parts, effectively decreasing the local grain size. Currently, grain size reduction in ice is thought to be achieved by either the progressive transformation from dislocation walls into new high-angle grain boundaries, called subgrain rotation or polygonisation, or bulging nucleation that is assisted by subgrain rotation. Both our time-resolved numerical modelling and NEEM ice core samples show that grain dissection is a common mechanism during ice deformation and can provide an efficient process to reduce grain sizes and counter-act dynamic grain-growth in addition to polygonisation or bulging nucleation. Thus, our results show that solely strain-induced boundary migration, in absence of subgrain rotation, can reduce grain sizes in polar ice, in particular if strain energy gradients are high. We describe the microstructural characteristics that can be used to identify grain dissection in natural microstructures

後方散乱電子回折（EBSD）による氷結晶中の微小方位差測定

第6回極域科学シンポジウム[OM] 極域気水圏11月16日（月）　国立極地研究所１階交流アトリウ

Microstructural analysis of the NEEM ice core, Greenland by using electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD)

Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet is accelerating, which is attributed to increased ice stream discharge and changes in surface mass balance including increased runoff. Ice stream discharge is caused by both ice deformation and basal sliding. For better projection of future mass loss, it is important to understand deformation mechanisms of polycrystalline ice in ice sheet. Deformation properties of polycrystalline material are related to its microstructure (e.g. crystal grain orientation and size). As recrystallization and recovery are occurring together in ice sheet, analysis of microstructure of ice is essential. Electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) is a method for measuring crystal lattice orientation with high angular and spatial resolutions. Both c- and a-axes of ice can be measured. We analyzed Greenland NEEM ice core and the preliminary result shows that most subgrain boundaries (SGBs) observed by optical microscopy have lattice misorientations < 4°. This result is in accordance with analyses of Antarctic EDML ice core by X-ray diffractometry while it differs from threshold angle of SGB/GB estimated with a dislocation theory. The observation results from ice sheet ice could contribute to better estimations of strain rate by models based on microstructural processes

Path Following for Mobile Manipulators

This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Robotics Research. The final authenticated version is available online at: http://dx.doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-60916-4_30This paper presents a framework of path following via set stabilization for mobile manipulator systems. The mobile manipulator is modelled as a single redundant dynamic system. The mobile base considered belongs to a large class of wheeled ground vehicles, including those with nonholonomic constraints. Kinematic redundancies are resolved by designing a controller that solves a suitably defined constrained quadratic optimization problem, which can be easily tuned by the designer to achieve various desired poses. By employing partial feedback linearization, the proposed path following controller has a clear physical meaning. The desired path to be followed is a spline in the output space of the system. The controller simultaneously controls the manipulator and mobile base. The result is a unified path following controller without any trajectory planning performed on the mobile base. The approach is experimentally verified on a 4-degree-of-freedom (4-DOF) manipulator mounted on a differential drive mobile platfor

Effects of solid particles on deformation and texture/fabric evolution of ice

第7回極域科学シンポジウム/横断セッション:[IG] アイスコア研究—これまでの成果と今後の展開12月2日（金） 国立極地研究所 2階大会議