A Hybridized Forecasting Model for Metal Commodity Prices: An Empirical Model Evaluation

Appropriate decision on perfect commodity prediction under market’s constant fluctuations intensifies the need for efficient methods. The main objective of this study is to apply different optimization algorithms such as conventional particle swarm optimization (PSO), bat algorithm (BAT) and ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithms on back propagation neural network (BPNN) to enhance the accuracy of prediction and minimize the error. In this paper, a model has been proposed for volatility forecasting using PSO algorithm to train the BPNN and predict the commodities’ closing price. The proposed PSO-BPNN model is considered as best forecasting model compared to BPNN, BAT-BPNN and ACO-BPNN. The experiment has been carried out upon five publicly available metal datasets (gold, silver, lead, aluminium, and copper) to forecast the price return volatility of those five metals challenging the effectiveness. Here, three technical indicators and four filters, such as; moving average convergence/divergence (MACD), williams %R (W%), bollinger (B), least mean squares (LMS), finite impulse response (FIR), Kalmanand recursive least square (RLS) have been applied for providing an additional degree of freedom to train and test the classifiers. From the experimental result analysis it has been found that the proposed PSO-BPNN produces promising output while comparing with BPNN, BAT-BPNN and ACO-BPNN

A Hybridized Forecasting Model for Metal Commodity Prices: An Empirical Model Evaluation

945-950Appropriate decision on perfect commodity prediction under market’s constant fluctuations intensifies the need for efficient methods. The main objective of this study is to apply different optimization algorithms such as conventional particle swarm optimization (PSO), bat algorithm (BAT) and ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithms on back propagation neural network (BPNN) to enhance the accuracy of prediction and minimize the error. In this paper, a model has been proposed for volatility forecasting using PSO algorithm to train the BPNN and predict the commodities’ closing price. The proposed PSO-BPNN model is considered as best forecasting model compared to BPNN, BAT-BPNN and ACO-BPNN. The experiment has been carried out upon five publicly available metal datasets (gold, silver, lead, aluminium, and copper) to forecast the price return volatility of those five metals challenging the effectiveness. Here, three technical indicators and four filters, such as; moving average convergence/divergence (MACD), williams %R (W%), bollinger (B), least mean squares (LMS), finite impulse response (FIR), Kalmanand recursive least square (RLS) have been applied for providing an additional degree of freedom to train and test the classifiers. From the experimental result analysis it has been found that the proposed PSO-BPNN produces promising output while comparing with BPNN, BAT-BPNN and ACO-BPNN

Analysis of Breath-Holding Capacity for Improving Efficiency of COPD Severity-Detection Using Deep Transfer Learning

Air collection around the lung regions can cause lungs to collapse. Conditions like emphysema can cause chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), wherein lungs get progressively damaged, and the damage cannot be reversed by treatment. It is recommended that these conditions be detected early via highly complex image processing models applied to chest X-rays so that the patient’s life may be extended. Due to COPD, the bronchioles are narrowed and blocked with mucous, and causes destruction of alveolar geometry. These changes can be visually monitored via feature analysis using effective image classification models such as convolutional neural networks (CNN). CNNs have proven to possess more than 95% accuracy for detection of COPD conditions for static datasets. For consistent performance of CNNs, this paper presents an incremental learning mechanism that uses deep transfer learning for incrementally updating classification weights in the system. The proposed model is tested on 3 different lung X-ray datasets, and an accuracy of 99.95% is achieved for detection of COPD. In this paper, a model for temporal analysis of COPD detected imagery is proposed. This model uses Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) for evaluating lifespan of patients with COPD. Analysis of lifespan can assist doctors and other medical practitioners to take recommended steps for aggressive treatment. A smaller dataset was available to perform temporal analysis of COPD values because patients are not advised continuous chest X-rays due to their long-term side effects, which resulted in an accuracy of 97% for lifespan analysis

Analysis of Breath-Holding Capacity for Improving Efficiency of COPD Severity-Detection Using Deep Transfer Learning

Air collection around the lung regions can cause lungs to collapse. Conditions like emphysema can cause chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), wherein lungs get progressively damaged, and the damage cannot be reversed by treatment. It is recommended that these conditions be detected early via highly complex image processing models applied to chest X-rays so that the patient’s life may be extended. Due to COPD, the bronchioles are narrowed and blocked with mucous, and causes destruction of alveolar geometry. These changes can be visually monitored via feature analysis using effective image classification models such as convolutional neural networks (CNN). CNNs have proven to possess more than 95% accuracy for detection of COPD conditions for static datasets. For consistent performance of CNNs, this paper presents an incremental learning mechanism that uses deep transfer learning for incrementally updating classification weights in the system. The proposed model is tested on 3 different lung X-ray datasets, and an accuracy of 99.95% is achieved for detection of COPD. In this paper, a model for temporal analysis of COPD detected imagery is proposed. This model uses Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) for evaluating lifespan of patients with COPD. Analysis of lifespan can assist doctors and other medical practitioners to take recommended steps for aggressive treatment. A smaller dataset was available to perform temporal analysis of COPD values because patients are not advised continuous chest X-rays due to their long-term side effects, which resulted in an accuracy of 97% for lifespan analysis