Coronary Atherosclerotic Plaque Activity and Future Coronary Events

This study was funded by a Wellcome Trust Senior Investigator Award (WT103782AIA). Image analysis was supported by National Institutes for Health (R34HL161195 and 1R01HL135557). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the Wellcome Trust or the National Institutes of Health. The British Heart Foundation supports DEN (CH/09/002, RG/16/10/32375, RE/18/5/34216), MRD (FS/SCRF/21/32010), NLM (CH/F/21/90010, RG/20/10/34966, RE/18/5/34216) AJM (AA/18/3/34220) and MCW (FS/ICRF/20/26002) and DD (FS/RTF/20/30009, NH/19/1/34595, PG/18/35/33786, PG/15/88/31780, PG/17/64/33205). MRD is the recipient of the Sir Jules Thorn Award for Biomedical Research 2015 (15/JTA). PJS is supported by outstanding investigator award National Institutes for Health (R35HL161195). JK is supported by the National Science Centre 2021/41/B/NZ5/02630. EvB is supported by SINAPSE (www.sinapse.ac.uk). AB is supported by a Clinical Research Training Fellowships (MR/V007254/1). DD is supported by Chest Heart and Stroke Scotland (19/53), Tenovus Scotland (G.18.01), and Friends of Anchor and Grampian NHS-Endowments. The Edinburgh Clinical Research Facilities, Edinburgh Imaging facility and Edinburgh Clinical Trials Unit are supported by the National Health Service Research Scotland through National Health Service Lothian Health Board. The Leeds Clinical Research Facilities are supported by the UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) via its Clinical Research Facility programme. The work at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (the Los Angeles site) was supported in part by the Dr. Miriam and Sheldon G. Adelson Medical Research Foundation. For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising from this submission. The Chief Investigator and Edinburgh Clinical Trials Unit had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.Peer reviewedPostprin

Coronary Atherosclerotic Plaque Activity and Risk of Myocardial Infarction

This manuscript has been made open access under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) licence under the terms of the University of Aberdeen Research Publications Policy. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Peer reviewe

Coronary Atherosclerotic Plaque Activity and Future Coronary Events

Importance: Recurrent coronary events in patients with recent myocardial infarction remain a major clinical problem. Noninvasive measures of coronary atherosclerotic disease activity have the potential to identify individuals at greatest risk. Objective: To assess whether coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity as assessed by noninvasive imaging is associated with recurrent coronary events in patients with myocardial infarction. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective, longitudinal, international multicenter cohort study recruited participants aged 50 years or older with multivessel coronary artery disease and recent (within 21 days) myocardial infarction between September 2015 and February 2020, with a minimum 2 years’ follow-up. Intervention: Coronary 18F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography and coronary computed tomography angiography. Main Outcomes and Measures: Total coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity was assessed by 18F-sodium fluoride uptake. The primary end point was cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction but was expanded during study conduct to include unscheduled coronary revascularization due to lower than anticipated primary event rates. Results: Among 2684 patients screened, 995 were eligible, 712 attended for imaging, and 704 completed an interpretable scan and comprised the study population. The mean (SD) age of participants was 63.8 (8.2) years, and most were male (601 [85%]). Total coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity was identified in 421 participants (60%). After a median follow-up of 4 years (IQR, 3-5 years), 141 participants (20%) experienced the primary end point: 9 had cardiac death, 49 had nonfatal myocardial infarction, and 83 had unscheduled coronary revascularizations. Increased coronary plaque activity was not associated with the primary end point (hazard ratio [HR], 1.25; 95% CI, 0.89-1.76; P = .20) or unscheduled revascularization (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.64-1.49; P = .91) but was associated with the secondary end point of cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction (47 of 421 patients with high plaque activity [11.2%] vs 19 of 283 with low plaque activity [6.7%]; HR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.07-3.10; P = .03) and all-cause mortality (30 of 421 patients with high plaque activity [7.1%] vs 9 of 283 with low plaque activity [3.2%]; HR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.15-5.12; P = .02). After adjustment for differences in baseline clinical characteristics, coronary angiography findings, and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score, high coronary plaque activity was associated with cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.00-3.10; P = .05) but not with all-cause mortality (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 0.90-4.49; P = .09). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of patients with recent myocardial infarction, coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity was not associated with the primary composite end point. The findings suggest that risk of cardiovascular death or myocardial infarction in patients with elevated plaque activity warrants further research to explore its incremental prognostic implications

Coronary Atherosclerotic Plaque Activity and Future Coronary Events.

IMPORTANCE: Recurrent coronary events in patients with recent myocardial infarction remain a major clinical problem. Noninvasive measures of coronary atherosclerotic disease activity have the potential to identify individuals at greatest risk. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity as assessed by noninvasive imaging is associated with recurrent coronary events in patients with myocardial infarction. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective, longitudinal, international multicenter cohort study recruited participants aged 50 years or older with multivessel coronary artery disease and recent (within 21 days) myocardial infarction between September 2015 and February 2020, with a minimum 2 years' follow-up. INTERVENTION: Coronary 18F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography and coronary computed tomography angiography. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Total coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity was assessed by 18F-sodium fluoride uptake. The primary end point was cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction but was expanded during study conduct to include unscheduled coronary revascularization due to lower than anticipated primary event rates. RESULTS: Among 2684 patients screened, 995 were eligible, 712 attended for imaging, and 704 completed an interpretable scan and comprised the study population. The mean (SD) age of participants was 63.8 (8.2) years, and most were male (601 [85%]). Total coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity was identified in 421 participants (60%). After a median follow-up of 4 years (IQR, 3-5 years), 141 participants (20%) experienced the primary end point: 9 had cardiac death, 49 had nonfatal myocardial infarction, and 83 had unscheduled coronary revascularizations. Increased coronary plaque activity was not associated with the primary end point (hazard ratio [HR], 1.25; 95% CI, 0.89-1.76; P = .20) or unscheduled revascularization (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.64-1.49; P = .91) but was associated with the secondary end point of cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction (47 of 421 patients with high plaque activity [11.2%] vs 19 of 283 with low plaque activity [6.7%]; HR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.07-3.10; P = .03) and all-cause mortality (30 of 421 patients with high plaque activity [7.1%] vs 9 of 283 with low plaque activity [3.2%]; HR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.15-5.12; P = .02). After adjustment for differences in baseline clinical characteristics, coronary angiography findings, and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events score, high coronary plaque activity was associated with cardiac death or nonfatal myocardial infarction (HR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.00-3.10; P = .05) but not with all-cause mortality (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 0.90-4.49; P = .09). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this cohort study of patients with recent myocardial infarction, coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity was not associated with the primary composite end point. The findings suggest that risk of cardiovascular death or myocardial infarction in patients with elevated plaque activity warrants further research to explore its incremental prognostic implications