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Neurofilament light levels predict clinical progression and death in multiple system atrophy
Supplementary material: Supplementary material is available at Brain online.Copyright © The Author(s) 2022. Disease-modifying treatments are currently being trialled in multiple system atrophy. Approaches based solely on clinical measures are challenged by heterogeneity of phenotype and pathogenic complexity. Neurofilament light chain protein has been explored as a reliable biomarker in several neurodegenerative disorders but data on multiple system atrophy have been limited. Therefore, neurofilament light chain is not yet routinely used as an outcome measure in multiple system atrophy. We aimed to comprehensively investigate the role and dynamics of neurofilament light chain in multiple system atrophy combined with cross-sectional and longitudinal clinical and imaging scales and for subject trial selection.
In this cohort study, we recruited cross-sectional and longitudinal cases in a multicentre European set-up. Plasma and CSF neurofilament light chain concentrations were measured at baseline from 212 multiple system atrophy cases, annually for a mean period of 2 years in 44 multiple system atrophy patients in conjunction with clinical, neuropsychological and MRI brain assessments. Baseline neurofilament light chain characteristics were compared between groups. Cox regression was used to assess survival; receiver operating characteristic analysis to assess the ability of neurofilament light chain to distinguish between multiple system atrophy patients and healthy controls. Multivariate linear mixed-effects models were used to analyse longitudinal neurofilament light chain changes and correlated with clinical and imaging parameters. Polynomial models were used to determine the differential trajectories of neurofilament light chain in multiple system atrophy. We estimated sample sizes for trials aiming to decrease neurofilament light chain levels.
We show that in multiple system atrophy, baseline plasma neurofilament light chain levels were better predictors of clinical progression, survival and degree of brain atrophy than the neurofilament light chain rate of change. Comparative analysis of multiple system atrophy progression over the course of disease, using plasma neurofilament light chain and clinical rating scales, indicated that neurofilament light chain levels rise as the motor symptoms progress, followed by deceleration in advanced stages. Sample size prediction suggested that significantly lower trial participant numbers would be needed to demonstrate treatment effects when incorporating plasma neurofilament light chain values into multiple system atrophy clinical trials in comparison to clinical measures alone.
In conclusion, neurofilament light chain correlates with clinical disease severity, progression and prognosis in multiple system atrophy. Combined with clinical and imaging analysis, neurofilament light chain can inform patient stratification and serve as a reliable biomarker of treatment response in future multiple system atrophy trials of putative disease-modifying agents.This study was supported by the MSA Trust (PROSPECT-M-UK). We are grateful to the Multiple System Atrophy Coalition, Medical Research Council (MRC UK MR/J004758/1, G0802760, G1001253), The Wellcome Trust (Synaptopathies) (WT093205MA and WT104033/Z/14/Z), the French Clinical Research Programme (AOI 2011-BIOAMS, API 2012-BIOPARK) and the PSP Association (PROSPECT-M-UK) and ‘Solve-RD’ from the Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant 779257 to M.S. and H.H.) for their support.
V.C. received grants from the Multiple System Atrophy Trust/ABN Clinical Research Training fellowship grant F84 ABN 540868, Multiple System Atrophy Trust (PROSPECT-M-UK Project), Multiple System Atrophy Coalition grant 567540, The Guarantors of Brain grant 565908 and King Baudouin Foundation (Sophia Fund).
H.Z. is a Wallenberg Scholar supported by grants from the Swedish Research Council (#2018-02532), the European Research Council (#681712), King Baudouin Foundation (#ALFGBG-720931), the Alzheimer Drug Discovery Foundation (ADDF), USA (#201809-2016862), the Alzheimer’s Association (AD Strategic Fund #ADSF-21-831376-C, #ADSF-21-831381-C and #ADSF-21-831377-C), the Olav Thon Stiftelsen, the Erling-Persson Family Foundation, Stiftelsen för Gamla Tjänarinnor, Hjärnfonden, Sweden (#FO2019-0228), the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement no. 860197 (MIRIADE), European Union Joint Program for Neurodegenerative Disorders (JPND2021-00694) and the UK Dementia Research Institute at UCL. The Simoa instrument was funded by a Multi-User Equipment grant from the Wellcome Trust to H.Z. and A.H.
J.D.R. is an MRC Clinician Scientist (MR/M008525/1) and has received funding from the NIHR Rare Diseases Translational Research Collaboration (BRC149/NS/MH), the Bluefield Project and the Association for Frontotemporal Degeneration. M.B. is supported by a Fellowship award from the Alzheimer’s Society, UK (AS-JF-19a-004-517). M.B.’s work was also supported by the UK Dementia Research Institute, which receives its funding from DRI Ltd, funded by the UK Medical Research Council, Alzheimer’s Society and Alzheimer’s Research UK. K.S. is supported by a postdoctoral fellowship from the Canada First Research Excellence Fund (CFREF), awarded to McGill University for the Healthy Brains for Healthy Lives initiative (HBHL) and the Fonds de recherche du Québec – Santé (FRQS) postdoctoral fellowship. C.W. and M.S. are members of the European Reference Network for Rare Neurological Diseases Project ID no. 739510. C.W. was supported by the Clinician Scientist Program of the Medical Faculty Tübingen (grant 480-0-0). M.J.M. and C.J. acknowledge the Centres de Recerca de Catalunya (CERCA) Programme/Generalitat de Catalunya, the Institute of Neurosciences and the Institute of Biomedical Research August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS) and CIBERNED. This study was sponsored by the PID2020-114640GB-I00/MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033, by Generalitat de Catalunya (2017SGR748), and by MarÃa de Maeztu Unit of Excellence (Institute of Neurosciences, University of Barcelona) MDM-2017-0729, Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities. Samples were generously donated by participants with MSA thanks to the funding by Fundacio Marato TV3 grant no. 20142730. C.P. received a grant Rio Hortega from Instituto de Salud Carlos III (CM18/00072). J.B.R. is supported by the NIHR Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20014; The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care), Wellcome Trust (220258) and Medical Research Council (SUAG/092 G168768). For the purpose of open access, the authors have applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any Author Accepted Manuscript version arising from this submission