Calculate the Energy of Active Regions and Solar Disk on Satellite Images for Real-Time Solar Flare Forecasting

International audienceIt is extremely important to design preventive measures to avoid or mitigate the influence of space weather. Severe solar activities could have a catastrophic impact on human activities in general i.e. damaging satellites, flight navigation, power distribution stations, telecommunications, etc. In this paper, a new model has been designed and implemented to calculate the energy of solar active regions and the solar disk energy. The method has been tested in a series of experiments and a relationship has been found between the calculated energies and solar flare events. A final automated real-time model will be designed later to provide flare forecasting, based on the proposed model