Identifying ENSO Phase Impacts on Area Yield Insurance Rates: An Application of Non-Parametric Analysis

The paper reports results of non-parametric analysis of peanut, corn, and cotton yield distributions by the ElNino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases in the Southeastern U.S. For validation purposes, the historical yield data is complemented by a set of simulated peanut yields generated using daily weather data. The hypothesis, justified by the observed South-Eastern climate differences and research on ENSO cycles and planting dates, is that different climate conditions during ENSO cycles translate into different yield distributions and, therefore, insurance premiums (loss to coverage ratios). Kernel density estimates of historical county yield data show consistent patterns in the actuarially fair rate schedules grouped by ENSO phases and geographical areas. In particular, corn and cotton yield insurance premiums appear to be the most dependent on the ENSO phases and are the highest, regardless of coverage, during ElNino and the lowest during LaNina. Peanut premiums are higher during Neutral years and lowest during LaNina. The results appear to be robust to the transformations used to make the yield series stationary. While these dependencies do not necessarily correspond to the precipitation and solar radiation characteristics of the corresponding ENSO cycles in the Southeastern US, drawing direct analogies with yield variability is premature as many less documented factors, like the spacing of sunny and rainy days, may be just as important. The comparisons of the empirical and simulated peanut yield distributions show that they are similar in many ways and that the dissimilarities can be explained by known factors. These findings should be more relevant for the area yield insurance as opposed to the APH arrangements as the yield data used in designing contracts for the former reflects the systemic risk more influenced by climate than by the farm-level, basis risk factors accommodated in the APH plans.Risk and Uncertainty, Q140, C220, G220,

Experimental Research of Harmonic Spectrum of Currents at Traction Drive with PMSM

The paper deals with the significant results of the experimental research of current harmonic spectrum of traction drive with permanent magnet synchronous motor. The experiments were done on a special workplace with a real traction drive for wheel vehicles. Current harmonic spectrum was analyzed by a specialized device on the base of central measuring station. The knowledge of current marked subharmonic components of stator winding is the most significant finding of experiments. The frequencies of these components are given by multiples of frequency of mechanical speeds. The subharmonic components also pass to input DC current of drive. This fact is important in particular from the point of view of legislative requirements to electromagnetic compatibility of drive with railway interlocking devices

Traction Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor Torque Control with Flux Weakening

The paper deals with analysis of dynamic behavior of a feedback flux weakening control of PMSM traction drive for light vehicles. The PMSM flux weakening is very important for traction drives. Two torque control structures were analyzed - pure feedback control and feedback control with prediction of the field producing current component. The principles, control structures, simulation and experimental results are given

Relativistic effects in ionization of heavy hydrogen-like ions by short X-ray pulses

The probability of photoionization of a heavy hydrogen like ion is calculated within the relativistic perturbation theory. The Coulomb potential of a heavy nucleus is taken into account accurately by usage of the corresponding solutions of the Dirac equation. The obtained probability is compared with both nonrelativistic limit and with nonperturbative results based on the numerical solution of the time-dependent Dirac equation. Suppression of ionization is observed in the secondary ionization channel at photon frequency of about $\hbar\omega \approx mc^2$.Comment: 15 pages, 5 figure

Auxins and cytokinins : the role of subcellular organization on homeostasis

Plant hormones are master regulators of plant growth and development. Better knowledge of their spatial signaling and homeostasis (transport and metabolism) on the lowest structural levels (cellular and subcellular) is therefore crucial to a better understanding of developmental processes in plants. Recent progress in phytohormone analysis at the cellular and subcellular levels has greatly improved the effectiveness of isolation protocols and the sensitivity of analytical methods. This review is mainly focused on homeostasis of two plant hormone groups, auxins and cytokinins. It will summarize and discuss their tissue- and cell-type specific distributions at the cellular and subcellular levels