The Effects of Government Maize Marketing Policies on Maize Market Prices in Kenya

The Government of Kenya pursues maize marketing policy objectives through the National Cereals and Produce Board (NCPB) which procures and sells maize at administratively determined prices, and stores maize as a contingency against future shortages. A private sector marketing channel competes with the NCPB and prices in this channel are set by supply and demand forces. This paper estimates the effects of NCPB activities on the historical path of private sector maize market prices in Kenya between 1989 and 2004. Results provide important insights into the historical effects of the NCPB, and will provide useful input into deliberations on the appropriate role for the NCPB in the future. It was not possible to use a fully structural econometric model to estimate the historical policy effects because of data limitations in Kenya, which are typical of many developing countries. Instead we use a reduced form vector autoregression model (VAR) and show how policy simulation results can be obtained from a fairly parsimonious VAR that can be estimated with sparse data and imposes only minimal identification restrictions. Results show that NCPB activities have stabilized maize market prices in Kenya, reduced price levels in the early 1990s, and raised price levels by roughly 20 percent between 1995 and 2004. Because roughly 60 percent of Kenya's rural households purchase maize while less than 30 percent sell maize, the government's maize marketing board operations have transferred income from urban consumers and most small rural households to maize selling farmers.Kenya, income transfers, maize policy, price stabilization, VAR, International Development, C22, O2, Q13, Q18,

Effects of Agricultural Commercialization on Food Crop Input Use and Productivity in Kenya

Crop Production/Industries, Downloads July 2008 - July 2009: 23,

Effects of Agricultural Commercialization on Food Crop Input Use and Productivity in Kenya

The objective of this report is to analyze the effects of smallholder commercialization on food crop input use and productivity in rural Kenya. The main research issues were: (1) To examine the determinants of smallholder fertilizer use on food crops, with a focus on the effects of household and regional agricultural commercialization; (2) To examine the determinants of food crop productivity, again with a focus on the effects of commercialization; and (3) To discuss the implications of the findings for policy and additional research necessary to improve the contribution of cash cropping to rural food productivity growth and food security. A main premise of the paper is that the effects of commercialization are not uniform and cannot be generalized. The effects are hypothesized to differ both according to differences in the institutional/contractual arrangements between firms and smallholders, management decisions, and the level of credit and extension support provided to smallholders by the various private and parastatal firms involved in promoting smallholder cash crops.food security, food policy, food crop productivity, food crop input, Crop Production/Industries, Productivity Analysis, Downloads May 2008 - July 2009: 78, Q18,

Policy and Development EFFECTS OF GOVERNMENT MAIZE MARKETING AND TRADE POLICIES ON MAIZE MARKET PRICES IN KENYA

Washington DC. We also acknowledge the long-term capacity building support b

The Effects of Government Maize Marketing Policies on Maize Market Prices in Kenya

The Government of Kenya pursues maize marketing policy objectives through the National Cereals and Produce Board (NCPB) which procures and sells maize at administratively determined prices, and stores maize as a contingency against future shortages. A private sector marketing channel competes with the NCPB and prices in this channel are set by supply and demand forces. This paper estimates the effects of NCPB activities on the historical path of private sector maize market prices in Kenya between 1989 and 2004. Results provide important insights into the historical effects of the NCPB, and will provide useful input into deliberations on the appropriate role for the NCPB in the future. It was not possible to use a fully structural econometric model to estimate the historical policy effects because of data limitations in Kenya, which are typical of many developing countries. Instead we use a reduced form vector autoregression model (VAR) and show how policy simulation results can be obtained from a fairly parsimonious VAR that can be estimated with sparse data and imposes only minimal identification restrictions. Results show that NCPB activities have stabilized maize market prices in Kenya, reduced price levels in the early 1990s, and raised price levels by roughly 20 percent between 1995 and 2004. Because roughly 60 percent of Kenya's rural households purchase maize while less than 30 percent sell maize, the government's maize marketing board operations have transferred income from urban consumers and most small rural households to maize selling farmers