Validation of tuberculosis notification in RSA : an epidemiological analysis of the reported tuberculosis cases and deaths in the period 1993 to 2003

Tuberculosis (TB) remains one of the major public health problems in South Africa. The overall aim of the research project was to evaluate the completeness of TB notification data. A descriptive study design was used. The TB data from the Disease Notification System for the period 1993 to 2003 were analysed to describe 11 year trends by province, sex and population group. The levels of under-reporting of tuberculosis were estimated by comparing the annual numbers and the rates of notified cases and deaths per 100 000 population with the data of registered cases in the electronic TB register and registered TB deaths from the Statistics South Africa’s metadata on causes of deaths in South Africa. A total of 768896 cases and 39052 deaths were recorded in the Disease Notification System for the period 1993 to 2003. The annual case load declined from 42099 cases in 1993 to 36081 in 1996, then peaked to 89111 in 1998. The peak in 1998 resulted mainly from two-fold increases in notified cases in the provinces of Eastern Cape, KwaZulu-Natal and Western Cape. There was also a three-fold increase in Western Cape in 2001 and four-fold increase in Northern Cape in 2002. The lowest numbers of notified cases were for Mpumalanga in the years 1993 to 1996. In Limpopo, a total of 13 cases only were notified between the years 1999 to 2003 inclusively. Nationally and provincially, the annual numbers of notified cases and deaths and rates per 100 000 population were consistently higher among males than females. The Wilcoxon signed rank test comparing the medians between male and female cases showed a p-value of 0.003 indicating that the difference exists between the two medians. Nationally the lowest number of deaths was 1967 notified deaths in 1994 and the highest number of deaths was 6085 notified in 2002. The number of deaths notified varied between the provinces and fluctuated between the years. It was the highest for the years 1993 to 1996 in Western Cape and the highest for the years 1997 to 2003 in Eastern Cape. It was the lowest in Mpumalanga for the years 1993 to 1997 and the lowest in Limpopo for the years 1999 to 2003 and KwaZulu-Natal in the years 2002 to 2003. The Disease Notification System was found to have lesser numbers of notified cases in comparison to registered cases recorded in the TBSYS or electronic TB register. The percent difference between notified and registered cases ranged between 28% in 2001 to 69% in 1996. Comparison of notified and registered TB deaths for the period 1997-2003 showed that the annual numbers and rates of registered deaths in the Statistics South Africa’s metadata were higher for all the years than the notified deaths in the disease surveillance system. It is recommended that the disease surveillance system is evaluated periodically, facility data assessment tools are introduced and capacity for surveillance is strengthened at all levels of the national health systems. CopyrightDissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2009.School of Health Systems and Public Health (SHSPH)Unrestricte

Validation of tuberculosis notification in RSA : an epidemiological analysis of the reported tuberculosis cases and deaths in the period 1993 to 2003

Tuberculosis (TB) remains one of the major public health problems in South Africa. The overall aim of the research project was to evaluate the completeness of TB notification data. A descriptive study design was used. The TB data from the Disease Notification System for the period 1993 to 2003 were analysed to describe 11 year trends by province, sex and population group. The levels of under-reporting of tuberculosis were estimated by comparing the annual numbers and the rates of notified cases and deaths per 100 000 population with the data of registered cases in the electronic TB register and registered TB deaths from the Statistics South Africa’s metadata on causes of deaths in South Africa. A total of 768896 cases and 39052 deaths were recorded in the Disease Notification System for the period 1993 to 2003. The annual case load declined from 42099 cases in 1993 to 36081 in 1996, then peaked to 89111 in 1998. The peak in 1998 resulted mainly from two-fold increases in notified cases in the provinces of Eastern Cape, KwaZulu- Natal and Western Cape. There was also a three-fold increase in Western Cape in 2001 and four-fold increase in Northern Cape in 2002. The lowest numbers of notified cases were for Mpumalanga in the years 1993 to 1996. In Limpopo, a total of 13 cases only were notified between the years 1999 to 2003 inclusively. Nationally and provincially, the annual numbers of notified cases and deaths and rates per 100 000 population were consistently higher among males than females. The Wilcoxon signed rank test comparing the medians between male and female cases showed a p-value of 0.003 indicating that the difference exists between the two medians. Nationally the lowest number of deaths was 1967 notified deaths in 1994 and the highest number of deaths was 6085 notified in 2002. The number of deaths notified varied between the provinces and fluctuated between the years. It was the highest for the years 1993 to 1996 in Western Cape and the highest for the years 1997 to 2003 in Eastern Cape. It was the lowest in Mpumalanga for the years 1993 to 1997 and the lowest in Limpopo for the years 1999 to 2003 and KwaZulu-Natal in the years 2002 to 2003. The Disease Notification System was found to have lesser numbers of notified cases in comparison to registered cases recorded in the TBSYS or electronic TB register. The percent difference between notified and registered cases ranged between 28% in 2001 to 69% in 1996. Comparison of notified and registered TB deaths for the period 1997-2003 showed that the annual numbers and rates of registered deaths in the Statistics South Africa’s metadata were higher for all the years than the notified deaths in the disease surveillance system. It is recommended that the disease surveillance system is evaluated periodically, facility data assessment tools are introduced and capacity for surveillance is strengthened at all levels of the national health systems. CopyrightDissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2009.School of Health Systems and Public Health (SHSPH)Unrestricte

Increasing the capacity of transmission lines via current uprating: an updated review of benefits, considerations and developments

Abstract: Constraints to power transfer in the network may limit the load that can be supported by the transmission lines. To overcome these constraints various current uprating methods can be used. This paper discusses the developments in the use of Dynamic Line Thermal Rating (DLTR) techniques to obtain a higher rating of conductors, the general considerations for thermal uprate and High Temperature Low Sag (HTLS) conductor usage in uprating

Unemployment in South Africa and its proposed solutions.

MBA 2013ABSTRACT South Africa’s policies, implemented over the years to curb unemployment, have had little or no impact on both the youth and adult unemployment. The purpose of the study is first, to get a clearer picture on the nature of unemployment in South Africa by identifying its sources and drivers and then, prescribe appropriate policies. The main challenge is the structural nature of the problem, which would require a solution that is structurally focused in order to yield a sizable impact on the problem. From the ‘Each One Hire One’ articles published in the Sunday Times newspaper, featuring prominent leaders from business, government, academia, labour unions and NGOs, a policy of industrialisation supported by improved education and healthy families as well as trust and unity emerged. The process by which this policy was formulated was through a qualitative method employing a thematic approach. The implementation of this policy will require strong and committed leadership to set up a visionary platform that will take South Africa to another level

COVID-19 : lessons and experiences from South Africa’s first surge

On 5 March 2020, South Africa recorded its first case of imported COVID-19. Since then, cases in South Africa have increased exponentially with significant community transmission. A multisectoral approach to containing and mitigating the spread of SARS-CoV-2 was instituted, led by the South African National Department of Health. A National COVID-19 Command Council was established to take government-wide decisions. An adapted World Health Organiszion (WHO) COVID-19 strategy for containing and mitigating the spread of the virus was implemented by the National Department of Health. The strategy included the creation of national and provincial incident management teams (IMTs), which comprised of a variety of work streams, namely, governance and leadership; medical supplies; port and environmental health; epidemiology and response; facility readiness and case management; emergency medical services; information systems; risk communication and community engagement; occupational health and safety and human resources. The following were the most salient lessons learnt between March and September 2020: strengthened command and control were achieved through both centralised and decentralised IMTs; swift evidenced-based decision-making from the highest political levels for instituting lockdowns to buy time to prepare the health system; the stringent lockdown enabled the health sector to increase its healthcare capacity. Despite these successes, the stringent lockdown measures resulted in economic hardship particularly for the most vulnerable sections of the population.http://gh.bmj.compm2021Paediatrics and Child Healt