Dynamic Multi-state Population Model Not Accounting for Education.

<p>Population model with fertility rates, mortality rates and disability transition probabilities that are not education-specific.</p

Dynamic Multi-state Population Model Accounting for Education.

<p>Population model with education-specific fertility rates, mortality rates and disability transition probabilities.</p

Young-old (aged 60–79).

<p>(A) Projected number of young-old with functional disability. (B) Distribution of young-old with functional disability at 2040. (C) Difference between not accounting and accounting for educational composition at 2040.</p

Transition Probabilities by Age, Gender and Education.

<p>(A) Transition probabilities from active to functional disability. (B) Transition probabilities from functional disability to active. (C) Transition probabilities from active to death. (D) Transition probabilities from functional disability to death.</p

Old-old (aged 80+).

<p>(A) Projected number of old-old with functional disability. (B) Distribution of old-old with functional disability at 2040. (C) Difference between not accounting and accounting for educational composition at 2040.</p

Additional file 1: of Future requirements for and supply of ophthalmologists for an aging population in Singapore

Model validation for selected variables. a Number of ophthalmologists, b demand for eye care