Α Generic Tool for Building Fuzzy Cognitive Map Systems

Abstract. Α generic system for simulating complex dynamical systems along the paradigm of fuzzy cognitive maps (FCM) has been created and tested. The proposed system enables a user to design appropriate FCM structures, by specifying the desired concepts and the various parameters such as sensitivities, as well as a variety of shaping functions. The user is able to see the results, change the parameters, modify the functions, and rerun the system using an alteration of the final results and make new conclusions. The system is introduced and demonstrated using a simple real case. The results of a usability test of the system suggest that the system is capable of simulating complicated FCM structures in an effective manner, helping the user to reduce the degree of risks during decision making

D6.2 Workplan for transfer of knowledge and experience

This document represents the ‘Workplan for transfer of knowledge and experience’ (deliverable D.6.2) for the EXCELSIOR project. It focuses on the scope and activities of WP6 ”Knowledge Transfer and Capacity Building”. The main objective of WP6 is to coordinate and manage the knowledge transfer and capacity building that will take place during the EXCELSIOR project with Strategic Partners. The document will provide a workplan of how knowledge transfer and capacity building will take place between the Strategic Partners via workshops, seminars and secondments. This plan relies heavily on the extensive work done at the preparation of the project in defining the seminars, workshops and secondments that will take place between the Strategic Partners. This deliverable focuses on the initial workplan developed for Capacity Building Scheme A, which runs from M26 to M44. The deliverable includes the capacity building and knowledge transfer activities that will be conducted by the Strategic Partners DLR, NOA and TROPOS. The course description and program for selected trainings can be found in the appendices. The present document constitutes the ‘Workplan for transfer of knowledge and experience’ for Capacity Building Scheme period ‘A’ in the framework of the EXCELSIOR project, dedicated to Task T6.1 ‘Personnel Mobility Scheme’ under work package WP6 ‘Knowledge Transfer and Capacity Building’. D6.2 focuses on the trainings that will take place during the Capacity Building Scheme A of the project. This document provides a guideline of the knowledge transfer activities, but it is not limited to the activities that will take place during Capacity Building Scheme A. The Strategic Partners suggested that a flexible workplan is needed in order to identify the gaps and needs of the researchers of the ECoE, especially during the first Capacity Building Scheme and adjust the workplan as needed in order to facilitate more effective knowledge transfer and capacity building. The secondments will be selected by the Strategic Partners as needed, during the knowledge transfer activities, parallel to the demonstration projects in WP7. Selected descriptions of knowledge transfer activities are featured in Appendix A and Appendix B

D10.1 Report on the dissemination activities and Conference organisation

This deliverable provides an extensive analysis of the dissemination activities and workshops organisation of the EXCELSIOR H2020 Teaming Project. The analysis starts with the report on our participation in conferences (11) and how the project was promoted through it. Then, we explain about the participation of our team members in talks (17), workshops (7) and seminars (12) as invited speakers. The deliverable continues with a thorough presentation of the lectures by invited speakers (8), the webinar (1) and the workshops (2) organized by our team. Additionally, we document about our participation in other events (i.e., European Researcher’s Night 2021 and SpaceUPCyprus 2021 Live). The last chapter provides the publications, journal papers, conference papers, and book sections for the reporting time period. The deliverable concludes by providing information on the outcome of the reported activities and how they have contributed to the progress of the EXCELSIOR H2020 Teaming Project. It is concluded that there is a strong need to establish links in the EMMENA region and connect with them. This has not been achieved yet, but a strategy was prepared to raise awareness about the EXCELSIOR Project in the EMMENA region and establish partnerships, starting with targeted stakeholders’ workshop in autumn 2021, where selected stakeholders from the region will be invited to be informed them about the project and provide them the space to discuss their needs and identify common scientific interests and ways of collaboration

The ERATOSTHENES Centre of Excellence (ECoE) as a digital innovation hub for Earth observation

The "EXCELSIOR" H2020 Widespread Teaming Phase 2 Project: ERATOSTHENES: EXcellence Research Centre for Earth SurveiLlance and Space-Based MonItoring Of the EnviRonment is supported from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 857510 for a 7 year project period to establish a Centre of Excellence in Cyprus. As well, the Government of the Republic of Cyprus is providing additional resources to support the establishment of the ERATOSTHENES Centre of Excellence (ECoE) in Cyprus. The ECoE seeks to fill the gap by assisting in the spaceborne Earth Observation activities in the Eastern Mediterranean and become a regional key player in the Earth Observation (EO) sector. There are distinct needs and opportunities that motivate the establishment of an Earth Observation Centre of Excellence in Cyprus, which are primarily related to the geostrategic location of the European Union member state of Cyprus to examine complex scientific problems and address user needs in the Eastern Mediterranean, Middle East and Northern Africa (EMMENA), as well as South-East Europe. An important objective of the ECoE is to be a Digital Innovation Hub and a Research Excellence Centre for EO in the EMMENA region, which will establish an ecosystem where state-of-the-art sensing technology, cutting-edge research, targeted education services, and entrepreneurship come together. It is based on the paradigm of Open Innovation 2.0 (OI2.0), which is founded on the Quadruple Helix Model, where Government, Industry, Academia and Society work together to drive change by taking full advantage of the cross-fertilization of ideas. The ECoE as a Digital Innovation Hub (DIH) adopts a two-axis model, where the vertical axis consists of three Thematic Clusters for sustained excellence in research of the ECoE in the domains of Atmosphere and Climate, Resilient Societies and Big Earth Data Management, while the horizontal axis is built around four functional areas, namely: Infrastructure, Research, Education, and Entrepreneurship. The ECoE will focus on five application areas, which include Climate Change Monitoring, Water Resource Management, Disaster Risk Reduction, Access to Energy and Big EO Data Analytics. This structure is expected to leverage the existing regional capacities and advance the excellence by creating new programs and research, thereby establishing the ECoE as a worldclass centre capable of enabling innovation and research competence in Earth Observation, actively participating in Europe, the EMMENA region and the global Earth Observation arena. The partners of the EXCELSIOR consortium include the Cyprus University of Technology as the Coordinator, the German Aerospace Center (DLR), the Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS), the National Observatory of Athens (NOA) and the Department of Electronic Communications, Deputy Ministry of Research, Innovation and Digital Policy

Important issues to be considered in developing fuzzy cognitive maps

The formalism of fuzzy cognitive maps as used for the modeling of various dynamical systems is presented with a critical point of view. Various issues related to terminology, concepts, sensitivities, time dependence, iteration procedures, and stability, are systematically considered with critical mind, aiming at making the overall system models be more realistic and useful, and to initiate discussions that can lead to clarifications and to uniformities. Emphasis is given to applications in social, political, economic and engineering systems

Fuzzy cognitive maps in estimating the repercussions of oil/gas exploration on politico-economic issues in Cyprus

Some important politico-economic dynamics, in relation to different scenarios involving the finding and exploitation of oil/gas in the exclusive economic zone of Cyprus, have been modeled and examined through the use of suitable fuzzy cognitive maps. In the interrelated dynamics, various important dynamical parameters have been taken into account, reflecting the interests of the republic of Cyprus, as well as the interests of the Greek and Turkish Cypriot communities. In some respects these interests are antagonistic, while in others could be cooperative. The interests of other countries involved in the Cyprus politicoeconomic problem have also been taken into account. These are primarily Greece, Turkey, United Kingdom, USA, Russia, Israel and the European Union. The main parameters involved in the interrelated dynamics are nationalism, religiousness, knowledge of history, level of educational development, tourism, unemployment, external debt, oil extraction, Anatolian settlers, and the general interests of the countries involved and those of the two communities. The system that has been developed can be used to study the effects of a change in any parameter or a combination of parameters, on the growth and stability of the remaining parameters. Different scenarios on the effects on economies, politics and military involvement have been implemented, observed and appraised

A generic tool for building fuzzy cognitive map systems

A generic system for simulating complex dynamical systems along the paradigm of fuzzy cognitive maps (FCM) has been created and tested. The proposed system enables a user to design appropriate FCM structures, by specifying the desired concepts and the various parameters such as sensitivities, as well as a variety of shaping functions. The user is able to see the results, change the parameters, modify the functions, and rerun the system using an alteration of the final results and make new conclusions. The system is introduced and demonstrated using a simple real case. The results of a usability test of the system suggest that the system is capable of simulating complicated FCM structures in an effective manner, helping the user to reduce the degree of risks during decision makin