Evolutionary impact assessment: accounting for evolutionary consequences of fishing in an ecosystem approach to fisheries management

Managing fisheries resources to maintain healthy ecosystems is one of the main goals of the ecosystem approach to fisheries (EAF). while the number of international treaties call for the implementation of EAF, there are still gaps in the underlying methodology. One aspect that has received substantial scientific attention recently in fisheries-induced evolution (FIE). Increasing evidence indicates that intensive fishing has the potential to exert strong directional selection on life-history traits, behavior, physiology, and morphology of exploited fish. Of particular concern is that reversing evolutionary responses to fishing can be much more difficult than reversing demographic or phenotypically plastic responses. Furthermore, like climate change, multiple agents cause fisheries-induced evolution with effects accumulating over time. Consequently, FIE may alter then utility derived from fish stocks, which in turn can modify the monetary value living aquatic resources provide to society. Quantifying and predicting the evolutionary effects of fishing is therefore important for both ecological and economic reasons, An important reason this is not happening is the lack of an appropriate assessment framework. We therefor describe the evolutionary impact assessment (EvoIA) as a structured approach for assessing the evolutionary outcomes of alternative management options. EvoIA can contribute to the ecosystem approach to fisheries management by clarifying how evolution may alter stock properties and ecological relations, support the precautionary approach to fisheries management by addressing a previously overlooked source of uncertainty and risk, and thus contribute to sustainable fisheries

Repositioning of the global epicentre of non-optimal cholesterol

High blood cholesterol is typically considered a feature of wealthy western countries1,2. However, dietary and behavioural determinants of blood cholesterol are changing rapidly throughout the world3 and countries are using lipid-lowering medications at varying rates. These changes can have distinct effects on the levels of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol and non-HDL cholesterol, which have different effects on human health4,5. However, the trends of HDL and non-HDL cholesterol levels over time have not been previously reported in a global analysis. Here we pooled 1,127 population-based studies that measured blood lipids in 102.6 million individuals aged 18 years and older to estimate trends from 1980 to 2018 in mean total, non-HDL and HDL cholesterol levels for 200 countries. Globally, there was little change in total or non-HDL cholesterol from 1980 to 2018. This was a net effect of increases in low- and middle-income countries, especially in east and southeast Asia, and decreases in high-income western countries, especially those in northwestern Europe, and in central and eastern Europe. As a result, countries with the highest level of non-HDL cholesterol—which is a marker of cardiovascular risk—changed from those in western Europe such as Belgium, Finland, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and Malta in 1980 to those in Asia and the Pacific, such as Tokelau, Malaysia, The Philippines and Thailand. In 2017, high non-HDL cholesterol was responsible for an estimated 3.9 million (95% credible interval 3.7 million–4.2 million) worldwide deaths, half of which occurred in east, southeast and south Asia. The global repositioning of lipid-related risk, with non-optimal cholesterol shifting from a distinct feature of high-income countries in northwestern Europe, north America and Australasia to one that affects countries in east and southeast Asia and Oceania should motivate the use of population-based policies and personal interventions to improve nutrition and enhance access to treatment throughout the world.</p

Oxygen isotope composition of Upper Cretaceous chalk at Lägerdorf (NW Germany): its original environmental signal and palaeotemperature interpretation

The oxygen isotopic composition of bulk chalk samples, the planktonic foraminifers Globotruncana and Rugoglobigerina, and the benthic bivalve Inoceramus are reported from the standard section of the Upper Cretaceous white chalk of Lägerdorf-Kronsmoor, NW Germany (Middle Coniacian to Lower Maastrichtian). The section shows the increasing impact of burial diagenesis with depth expressed by a significant negative trend in the oxygen isotopic values and increasing amounts of secondary, precipitated microspar. However, the biogenic components studied show different diagenetic characteristics. The planktonic foraminifers are completely recrystallized, whereas the prisms of Inoceramus are well preserved and only slightly overgrown by negligible amounts of secondary calcite. The original oxygen isotopic composition of the chalk is estimated on the basis of numerical elimination of the diagenetic trend and by use of a normalized carbonate content. It appears that the corrected isotopic signal of the bulk sediment, which primarily consisted of calcareous nannoplankton, significantly correlates with the isotopic composition of the Inoceramus prisms. Thus, the benthic bivalve Inoceramus and the nannoplankton probably lived in a water mass of the same isotopic composition. The Inoceramus oxygen isotope values suggest a mean temperature of approximately 16°C for the NW European Basin during the late Campanian and early Maastrichtian