ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ РАЗВИТИЯ АВИАСТРОЕНИЯ С ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕМ МЕТОДОВ ФОРСАЙТА: ЗАРУБЕЖНЫЙ ОПЫТ

In the article the forecasts of the aircraft industry made within the framework of international foresight studies of the last decade are discussed. The objectives, scope, topics and level of detail of these projects are defined. Comparative analysis of foresight studies of the EU, Canada, France, USA, Australia, Japan, Korea, India and Russia allows to create a collective "Image of the Future" of the global aircraft industry, reflecting the wide range of customers needs and expectations.In the twenty-first century foresight became an instrument of public policy building in developed countries. The foresight studies for aviation sector demonstrate noticeable differences: some of them are dedicated to the prospects of aircraft industry as a whole, others are studying special issues such as aviation safety. Most part of modern foresight projects consider the aviation prospects within the context of global challenges, environmental, energy and technological trends (development of new materials, intelligent technology, etc).Technologies considered by leading foresight projects are grouped into 10 thematic areas: aircraft design; aircraft engines; new materials, methods of their creation and development; avionics; information and communication technologies; ecology and environment protection; energy saving; ground operations (including operation of airports); aviation security; air traffic management. Despite the existing differences of sectoral goal-setting, some sustainable priorities were found. Among them there are three technological groups: technologies improving ecological performance and reducing harmful emissions; development of new materials and coatings for the aviation industry; the improvement of aviation safety.The performed analysis of aviation foresight results has shown the importance of strengthening international cooperation in the area of ecology, in particular the harmonization of environment protection requirements, of multidisciplinary approach to forecasting; orientation to the concept of "Grand Challenges", which provides for the transition from separate technology areas support to the search of complex solutions of the problems facing the world community. Какие самолеты будут востребованы через 20-40 лет? Какие угрозы и технологические прорывы ожидаются в будущем? Достаточно ли открыты возможности для достижения намеченных целей? На эти и иные вопросы стремятся дать ответ в прогнозных исследованиях ученые всего мира, используя традиционные и инновационные подходы, в том числе современные методики анализа больших данных и экспертной информации. Методология форсайта, сочетающая методы качественной оценки и количественных измерений, позволила создать собирательный «образ будущего» авиастроения, объединяющий широкий спектр потребностей и ожиданий людей всего мира

Dirigeant de fait. Définition

International audience(Com. 5 nov. 1991, Chevreux et autres c/ Receveur divisionnaire des impôts)

Psycho-emotional personality traits affecting therapy compliance in patients with pain and painless forms of coronary heart disease

High levels of medico-social therapy compliance were observed in coronary heart disease patients with adaptive psychoemotional reactivity types. Decreased compliance was associated with psycho- emotional disadaptation, typical for patients with pain type of myocardial ischemia

MODERN RESEARCH IN THE FIELD OF OBTAINING FOOD INGREDIENTS FROM SECONDARY APPLE PROCESSING RESOURCES

Secondary apple processing resources – apple pomace formed during the production of direct-squeezed juice, serve as a valuable source of a complex of antioxidants such as phenolic compounds, contain dietary fiber, including pectin, cellulose and hemicelluloses, B vitamins, macro and trace elements. The article overviews modern research in the field of obtaining food ingredients from the secondary resources of apple processing.So, apple pomace has been studied by many researchers as a promising source of biologically active phenolic compounds, which are used in the food, pharmaceutical and cosmetic industries due to their high antioxidant and antimicrobial activity. Apple pomace is used as raw material for pectins due to the widespread use of pectin in the food industry (production of marshmallows, marmalade, confiture, jams, sausages, juices, yogurts, bakery products and other products), medicine and pharmaceuticals (production of baby granules, suspensions, gels, for imparting viscosity to emulsions, binding of heavy metal ions, healing of wounds, development of nutrient media), the cosmetics industry (production of certain types of face masks and gels).As a result of bioconversion of apple pomace, a number of edible organic acids of the L form can be obtained: acetic, citric and lactic acids. A review of modern foreign studies in the field of obtaining food ingredients from apple pomace showed the promise of their use as a valuable raw material, as well as the relevance and need for the development of domestic highly effective innovative technologies for the production of phenolic compounds, pectin and food organic acids to solve the problems of import substitution

CHARACTERISTICS OF PSYCHOLOGIC TRAUMATIZING EVENTS IN PATIENTS WITH MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION WITH DIFFERENT STRESS LEVELS AND DIFFERENT TYPES OF BEHAVIOR ACTIVITY

Characteristics of psychologic traumatizing events in patients with myocardial infarction with different stress levels and different types of behavior activity

FORECASTING OF AIRCRAFT USING THE METHODS OF FORESIGHT: FOREIGN EXPERIENCE

In the article the forecasts of the aircraft industry made within the framework of international foresight studies of the last decade are discussed. The objectives, scope, topics and level of detail of these projects are defined. Comparative analysis of foresight studies of the EU, Canada, France, USA, Australia, Japan, Korea, India and Russia allows to create a collective "Image of the Future" of the global aircraft industry, reflecting the wide range of customers needs and expectations.In the twenty-first century foresight became an instrument of public policy building in developed countries. The foresight studies for aviation sector demonstrate noticeable differences: some of them are dedicated to the prospects of aircraft industry as a whole, others are studying special issues such as aviation safety. Most part of modern foresight projects consider the aviation prospects within the context of global challenges, environmental, energy and technological trends (development of new materials, intelligent technology, etc).Technologies considered by leading foresight projects are grouped into 10 thematic areas: aircraft design; aircraft engines; new materials, methods of their creation and development; avionics; information and communication technologies; ecology and environment protection; energy saving; ground operations (including operation of airports); aviation security; air traffic management. Despite the existing differences of sectoral goal-setting, some sustainable priorities were found. Among them there are three technological groups: technologies improving ecological performance and reducing harmful emissions; development of new materials and coatings for the aviation industry; the improvement of aviation safety.The performed analysis of aviation foresight results has shown the importance of strengthening international cooperation in the area of ecology, in particular the harmonization of environment protection requirements, of multidisciplinary approach to forecasting; orientation to the concept of "Grand Challenges", which provides for the transition from separate technology areas support to the search of complex solutions of the problems facing the world community