Prise en compte des interactions multi-domaines lors de l’évaluation de la fiabilité prévisionnelle des systèmes mécatroniques

The mechatronic systems are hybrid, dynamic, interactive and reconfigurable. Therefore their dysfunctional modeling is very difficult. Multi-physical interactions between components have impacts on the degradation or on system failures, leading thus to more uncertainty in reliability evaluation. The work presented in this paper aims to improve the integration of multi-domain interactions in the reliability assessment of mechatronic systems. After a presentation of the state of the art of mechatronic systems reliability estimation methods, we propose to represent multi domain interactions by influential factors in the dysfunctional model. We generally use proportional hazard models; in the case of an interaction represented by a temperature stress, Arrhenius model is used

Evidential Networks for Evaluating Predictive Reliability of Mechatronics Systems under Epistemic Uncertainties

In reliability predicting field, the probabilistic approaches are based on data relating to the components which can be precisely known and validated by the return of experience REX, but in the case of complex systems with high-reliability precision such as mechatronic systems, uncertainties are inevitable and must be considered in order to predict with a degree of confidence the evaluated reliability. In this paper, firstly we present a brief review of the non-probabilistic approaches. Thereafter we present our methodology for assessing the reliability of the mechatronic system by taking into account the epistemic uncertainties (uncertainties in the reliability model and uncertainties in the reliability parameters) considered as a dynamic hybrid system and characterized by the existence of multi-domain interaction between its failed components. The key point in this study is to use an Evidential Network “EN” based on belief functions and the dynamic Bayesian network. Finally, an application is developed to illustrate the interest of the proposed methodology

Dynamic Bayesian Network for Reliability of Mechatronic System with Taking Account the Multi-Domain Interaction

This article presents a methodology for reliability prediction during the design phase of mechatronic system considered as an interactive dynamic system. The difficulty in modeling reliability of a mechatronic system is mainly due to failures related to the interaction between the different domains called Multi-domain interaction. Therefore in this paper, after a presentation of the state of the art of mechatronic systems reliability estimation methods, we propose a original approach by representing multi domain interactions by influential factors in the dysfunctional modeled by Dynamic Bayesian Networks. A case study demonstrates the interest of the proposed approach

Evaluation of the mechatronic systems reliability under parametric uncertainties

The main research intent of this paper is to evaluate the predicted reliability of mechatronic system, with take into account the epistemic uncertainties, The work reported here presents a new methodology based on integrating the petri network with the belief functions, in order to create a belief network, and to show how to propagate the parametric uncertainties in reliability models, Some notions of uncertainty related to the reliability systems are presented, subsequently a brief definition of the belief function and its application in reliability studies are detailed and how we integrate it in petri network. To take into account the interactive aspect of mechatronic systems, we introduce the uncertainties associated to this interaction, by implementing the new method proposed by using belief network. Secondly, we study the propagation of these interaction uncertainties in system reliability. Finally, in regard to applicate the methodology, an industrial example "intelligent actuator" is developed

L’évaluation de la fiabilité prévisionnelle des systèmes mécatroniques avec la prise en compte des interactions multi-domaines

The mechatronic systems are hybrid, dynamic, interactive and reconfigurable. Therefore their dysfunctional modeling is very difficult. Multi-physical interactions between components have impacts on the degradation or on system failures, leading thus to more uncertainty in reliability evaluation. The work presented in this paper aims to improve the integration of multi-domain interactions in the reliability assessment of mechatronic systems.  After a presentation of the state of the art of mechatronic systems reliability estimation methods, we propose to represent multidomain interactions by influential factors in the dysfunctional model. We generally use proportional hazard models ; in the case of an interaction represented by a temperature stress, Arrhenius model is used

Pancreatic surgery outcomes: multicentre prospective snapshot study in 67 countries

Background: Pancreatic surgery remains associated with high morbidity rates. Although postoperative mortality appears to have improved with specialization, the outcomes reported in the literature reflect the activity of highly specialized centres. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcomes following pancreatic surgery worldwide.Methods: This was an international, prospective, multicentre, cross-sectional snapshot study of consecutive patients undergoing pancreatic operations worldwide in a 3-month interval in 2021. The primary outcome was postoperative mortality within 90 days of surgery. Multivariable logistic regression was used to explore relationships with Human Development Index (HDI) and other parameters.Results: A total of 4223 patients from 67 countries were analysed. A complication of any severity was detected in 68.7 percent of patients (2901 of 4223). Major complication rates (Clavien-Dindo grade at least IIIa) were 24, 18, and 27 percent, and mortality rates were 10, 5, and 5 per cent in low-to-middle-, high-, and very high-HDI countries respectively. The 90-day postoperative mortality rate was 5.4 per cent (229 of 4223) overall, but was significantly higher in the low-to-middle-HDI group (adjusted OR 2.88, 95 per cent c.i. 1.80 to 4.48). The overall failure-to-rescue rate was 21 percent; however, it was 41 per cent in low-to-middle-compared with 19 per cent in very high-HDI countries.Conclusion: Excess mortality in low-to-middle-HDI countries could be attributable to failure to rescue of patients from severe complications. The authors call for a collaborative response from international and regional associations of pancreatic surgeons to address management related to death from postoperative complications to tackle the global disparities in the outcomes of pancreatic surgery (NCT04652271; ISRCTN95140761)