The contribution of patch topology and demographic parameters to PVA predictions: the case of the European tree frog

Population viability analyses (PVA) are increasingly used in metapopulation conservation plans. Two major types of models are commonly used to assess vulnerability and to rank management options: population-based stochastic simulation models (PSM such as RAMAS or VORTEX) and stochastic patch occupancy models (SPOM). While the first set of models relies on explicit intrapatch dynamics and interpatch dispersal to predict population levels in space and time, the latter is based on spatially explicit metapopulation theory where the probability of patch occupation is predicted given the patch area and isolation (patch topology). We applied both approaches to a European tree frog (Hyla arborea) metapopulation in western Switzerland in order to evaluate the concordances of both models and their applications to conservation. Although some quantitative discrepancies appeared in terms of network occupancy and equilibrium population size, the two approaches were largely concordant regarding the ranking of patch values and sensitivities to parameters, which is encouraging given the differences in the underlying paradigms and input data

The Stellar Population of the M31 Spiral Arm Around OB Association A24

A study of the stellar population of the M31 spiral arm around OB association A24 was carried out based on the photometric data obtained from deep V and JHK imaging. The luminosity function was obtained for -7 <~ Mbol <~ -3.5 by applying the extinction correction corresponding to Av=1 and the bolometric correction BC(K) as an empirical function of (J-K)o. In comparing the observed color-luminosity diagrams with semitheoretical isochrones modified for the dust-shell effects, we found the young population of t <~ 30 Myr with supergiants of Mbol <~ -5, the bulk of the intermediate-age population of t ~ 0.2 - 2.5 Gyr with bright asymptotic giant branch (AGB) stars of -5 <~ Mbol <~ -4, and old populations of t ~> 3 Gyr with AGB and red giant branch (RGB) stars of Mbol ~> -4. The average star formation rate was estimated to be ~1.8x10^4 M_o/Myr and ~0.7x10^4 M_o/Myr per deprojected disk area of 1 kpc^2 from the number density of B0 V stars around Mv=-4.0 (age ~10 Myr) and the number density of bright AGB stars around Mbol = -4.3 (age ~1 Gyr), respectively. A study of the local variation in the V and the J and H luminosity functions revealed a kind of anticorrelation between the population of the young component and that of the intermediate-age component when subdomains of ~100 pc scales were concerned. This finding suggests that the disk domain around the A24 area experienced a series of star formation episodes alternatively among different subdomains with a timescale of a few spiral passage periods. Brief discussions are given about the interstellar extinction and about the lifetimes of bright AGB stars and the highly red objects (HROs) in the same area.Comment: 27 pages, 11 figures, accepted: ApJ, July 1, 199

Spectrophotometry of HII Regions, Diffuse Ionized Gas and Supernova Remnants in M31: The Transition from Photo- to Shock-Ionization

We present results of KPNO 4-m optical spectroscopy of discrete emission-line nebulae and regions of diffuse ionized gas (DIG) in M31. Long-slit spectra of 16 positions in the NE half of M31 were obtained over a 5-15 kpc range in radial distance from the center of the galaxy. The spectra have been used to confirm 16 supernova remnant candidates from the Braun & Walterbos (1993) catalog. The slits also covered 46 HII regions which show significant differences among the various morphological types (center-brightened, diffuse, rings). Radial gradients in emission-line ratios such as [OIII]/H$\beta$ and [OII]/[OIII] are observed most prominently in the center-brightened HII regions. These line ratio trends are either much weaker or completely absent in the diffuse and ring nebulae. The line ratio gradients previously seen in M31 SNRs (Blair, Kirshner, & Chevalier 1981; 1982) are well reproduced by our new data. The spectra of center-brightened HII regions and SNRs confirm previous determinations of the radial abundance gradient in M31. We use diagnostic diagrams which separate photoionized gas from shock-ionized gas to compare the spectral properties of HII regions, SNRs and DIG. This analysis strengthens earlier claims (Greenawalt, Walterbos, & Braun 1997) that the DIG in the disk of M31 is photoionized by a dilute radiation field.Comment: 45 pages, 9 figures, 7 tables, to appear in the Astronomical Journal (December 1999

Toward Improved Outcomes for Patients With Lung Cancer Globally: The Essential Role of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine

PURPOSE Key to achieving better population-based outcomes for patients with lung cancer is the improvement of medical imaging and nuclear medicine infrastructure globally. This paper aims to outline why and spark relevant health systems strengthening. METHODS The paper synthesizes the global lung cancer landscape, imaging referral guidelines (including resource-stratified ones), the reliance of TNM staging upon imaging, relevant multinational health technology assessments, and precisely how treatment selection and in turn patient outcomes hinge upon imaging findings. The final discussion presents data on current global gaps in both diagnostics (including imaging) and therapies and how, informed by such data, improved population-based outcomes are tangible through strategic planning. RESULTS Imaging findings are central to appropriate lung cancer patient management and can variably lead to life-prolonging interventions and/or to life-enhancing palliative measures. Early-stage lung cancer can be treated with curative intent but, unfortunately, most patients with lung cancer still present at advanced stages and many patients lack access to both diagnostics and therapies. Furthermore, half of lung cancer cases occur in low- and middle-income countries. The role of medical imaging and nuclear medicine in lung cancer management, as outlined herein, may help inform strategic planning. CONCLUSION Lung cancer is the number one cancer killer worldwide. The essential role that medical imaging and nuclear medicine play in early diagnosis and disease staging cannot be overstated, pivotal in selecting the many patients for whom measurably improved outcomes are attainable. Prevention synergized with patient-centered, compassionate, high-quality lung cancer management provision mandate that strategic population-based planning, including universal health coverage strategies, should extend well beyond the scope of disease prevention to include both curative and noncurative treatment options for the millions afflicted with lung cancer

A perspective on using experiment and theory to identify design principles in dye-sensitized solar cells

Dye-sensitized solar cells (DSCs) have been the subject of wide-ranging studies for many years because of their potential for large-scale manufacturing using roll-to-roll processing allied to their use of earth abundant raw materials. Two main challenges exist for DSC devices to achieve this goal; uplifting device efficiency from the 12 to 14% currently achieved for laboratory-scale ‘hero’ cells and replacement of the widely-used liquid electrolytes which can limit device lifetimes. To increase device efficiency requires optimized dye injection and regeneration, most likely from multiple dyes while replacement of liquid electrolytes requires solid charge transporters (most likely hole transport materials – HTMs). While theoretical and experimental work have both been widely applied to different aspects of DSC research, these approaches are most effective when working in tandem. In this context, this perspective paper considers the key parameters which influence electron transfer processes in DSC devices using one or more dye molecules and how modelling and experimental approaches can work together to optimize electron injection and dye regeneration. This paper provides a perspective that theory and experiment are best used in tandem to study DSC device

On the chains of star complexes and superclouds in spiral arms

The relation is studied between occurrence of a regular chain of star complexes and superclouds in a spiral arm, and other properties of the latter. A regular string of star complexes is located in the north-western arm of M31; they have about the same size 0.6 kpc with spacing of 1.1 kpc. Within the same arm segment the regular magnetic field with the wavelength of 2.3 kpc was found by Beck et al. (1989). We noted that this wavelength is twice as large as the spacing between complexes and suggested that they were formed in result of magneto-gravitational instability developed along the arm. In this NW arm, star complexes are located inside the gas-dust lane, whilst in the south-western arm of M31 the gas-dust lane is upstream of the bright and uniform stellar arm. Earlier, evidence for the age gradient has been found in the SW arm. All these are signatures of a spiral shock, which may be associated with unusually large (for M31) pitch-angle of this SW arm segment. Such a shock may prevent the formation of the regular magnetic field, which might explain the absence of star complexes there. Anti-correlation between shock wave signatures and presence of star complexes is observed in spiral arms of a few other galaxies. Regular chains of star complexes and superclouds in spiral arms are rare, which may imply that a rather specific mechanism is involved in their formation, and the most probable one is the Parker-Jeans instability. The spiral pattern of our Galaxy is briefly discussed; it may be of M101 type in the outer parts. The regular bi-modal spacing of HI superclouds is found in Carina and Cygnus (Outer) arms, which may be an indirect evidence for the regular magnetic field along these arms.Comment: 20 pages, 12 figures, accepted for publication in MNRA

Winterweizen: Bilanz aus 15 Jahren Sortenprüfung unter extensiven Anbaubedingungen

Damit eine neue Weizensorte in der Schweiz oder im Ausland auf den Markt kommen kann, muss sie eine Reihe von Tests bestehen und beweisen, dass sie bereits angebauten Sorten bezüglich Kornertrag, Qualität oder Krankheitsresistenz überlegen ist. In diesem als Sortenprüfung bezeichneten Verfahren, wird «vom Guten das Beste» ausgewählt. Ist es möglich, diesem Verfahren einen Wert zu geben? Um eine Antwort auf diese Frage zu finden, wurden die Ergebnisse zu allen während der vergangenen 15 Jahre getesteten Sorten untersucht. Es wurden drei Ansätze ausgewählt, um eine Bilanz über die Sortenprüfung bei Winterweizen zu ziehen: Zuerst wurde die Zahl der getesteten Sorten mit der Zahl der Sorten verglichen, die in den Nationalen Sortenkatalog und in die Listen der empfohlenen Sorten aufgenommen wurden. Anschliessend wurde die Entwicklung der Leistung verschiedener Sorten im Lauf der Zeit berechnet. Schliesslich wurde mit einem ökonomischen Ansatz die Grössenordnung des wirtschaftlichen Mehrwerts geschätzt, der durch die Auswahl im Rahmen der Sortenprüfung und durch die Identifikation der besten Sorten erzielt wurde (Vergleich der Bruttoeinnahmen der drei besten getesteten Sorten jedes Jahres mit den durchschnittlichen Bruttoeinnahmen der aktuellen Sorten). Die Ergebnisse heben den Mehrwert hervor, der durch die Sortenprüfung für die ganze Produktionskette von der Züchtung über die Produktion und Verarbeitung bis hin zu den Konsumentinnen und Konsumenten erzeugt wird

Biodiversity Loss and the Taxonomic Bottleneck: Emerging Biodiversity Science

Human domination of the Earth has resulted in dramatic changes to global and local patterns of biodiversity. Biodiversity is critical to human sustainability because it drives the ecosystem services that provide the core of our life-support system. As we, the human species, are the primary factor leading to the decline in biodiversity, we need detailed information about the biodiversity and species composition of specific locations in order to understand how different species contribute to ecosystem services and how humans can sustainably conserve and manage biodiversity. Taxonomy and ecology, two fundamental sciences that generate the knowledge about biodiversity, are associated with a number of limitations that prevent them from providing the information needed to fully understand the relevance of biodiversity in its entirety for human sustainability: (1) biodiversity conservation strategies that tend to be overly focused on research and policy on a global scale with little impact on local biodiversity; (2) the small knowledge base of extant global biodiversity; (3) a lack of much-needed site-specific data on the species composition of communities in human-dominated landscapes, which hinders ecosystem management and biodiversity conservation; (4) biodiversity studies with a lack of taxonomic precision; (5) a lack of taxonomic expertise and trained taxonomists; (6) a taxonomic bottleneck in biodiversity inventory and assessment; and (7) neglect of taxonomic resources and a lack of taxonomic service infrastructure for biodiversity science. These limitations are directly related to contemporary trends in research, conservation strategies, environmental stewardship, environmental education, sustainable development, and local site-specific conservation. Today’s biological knowledge is built on the known global biodiversity, which represents barely 20% of what is currently extant (commonly accepted estimate of 10 million species) on planet Earth. Much remains unexplored and unknown, particularly in hotspots regions of Africa, South Eastern Asia, and South and Central America, including many developing or underdeveloped countries, where localized biodiversity is scarcely studied or described. ‘‘Backyard biodiversity’’, defined as local biodiversity near human habitation, refers to the natural resources and capital for ecosystem services at the grassroots level, which urgently needs to be explored, documented, and conserved as it is the backbone of sustainable economic development in these countries. Beginning with early identification and documentation of local flora and fauna, taxonomy has documented global biodiversity and natural history based on the collection of ‘‘backyard biodiversity’’ specimens worldwide. However, this branch of science suffered a continuous decline in the latter half of the twentieth century, and has now reached a point of potential demise. At present there are very few professional taxonomists and trained local parataxonomists worldwide, while the need for, and demands on, taxonomic services by conservation and resource management communities are rapidly increasing. Systematic collections, the material basis of biodiversity information, have been neglected and abandoned, particularly at institutions of higher learning. Considering the rapid increase in the human population and urbanization, human sustainability requires new conceptual and practical approaches to refocusing and energizing the study of the biodiversity that is the core of natural resources for sustainable development and biotic capital for sustaining our life-support system. In this paper we aim to document and extrapolate the essence of biodiversity, discuss the state and nature of taxonomic demise, the trends of recent biodiversity studies, and suggest reasonable approaches to a biodiversity science to facilitate the expansion of global biodiversity knowledge and to create useful data on backyard biodiversity worldwide towards human sustainability