Use of the correlation between input variables in estimating the risk of feedlot finishing of steers and young steers

The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of feedlot finishing of steers (22.8 months) and young steers (15.2 months), using or not a correlation between the random input variables (data collected from 2004 to 2010) in the simulation of the Net Present Value (NPV) financial indicator. The animals were fed a diet containing roughage:concentrate ratio of 60:40 for 34 and 143 days, respectively, until they had reached a predetermined slaughter weight of 430 kg. For the NPV simulation, Latin Hypercube sampling was used, with 2000 interactions. The stochastic dominance analysis, test of differences between pairs of curves of cumulative distributions and sensitivity analysis were carried out. The NPV simulation using the correlation resulted in the best option for risk estimate. The confinement of young steers was the alternative of investment most viable than confinement of steers (NPV ≥ 0 of 80.4 vs. 62.3% in the simulation with correlation, respectively). Sensitivity analysis determined the following items had the greatest impact on the estimate of NPV: prices of fat and thin cattle, initial and final weights, diet costs, minimum rate of attractiveness and diet intake

A review on macrobenthic trophic relationships along subtropical sandy shores in southernmost Brazil

Main trophic relationships that occur along the exposed sandy shores in southernmost Brazil (,336 S) are established taking into account several biological compartments operating at morphodynamically distinct environments. Beaches are predominantly of the intermediate type but some stretches of coastline are truly dissipative (Cassino Beach) or tending-to-reflective (Concheiros Beach), presenting thus diverse biological compartments and inhabitant macrobenthic assemblages. Dense concentrations of the surf-zone diatom Asterionellopsis glacialis are responsible - at least for the intermediate shorelines - for the most year-round primary production, sustaining several consumers up to tertiary level. Among them, bivalves Amarilladesma mactroides, Donax hanleyanus and the hippid crab Emerita brasiliensis can account for more than 95% of all the surf-zone secondary production, in addition to the elevated biomass of the suspension-feeder polychaete Spio gaucha and the scavenger isopod Excirolana armata. Crabs, whelks, carnivorous polychaetes, seabirds and surf-zone fishes may also be present and occupy superior trophic levels depending on the beach morphodynamics. Based on the high species richness, abundance and the role of macrobenthic fauna in transferring matter and energy to seabirds and the surf-zone fish assemblages, we address this important issue on the Southwestern Atlantic ecology. Conservation efforts should be implemented for the southernmost Brazilian sandy shores, at least for those non urbanized areas.As principais relac¸o˜ es tro´ ficas observadas ao longo da costa arenosa exposta do extremo sul do Brasil (,336 S) sa˜o estabelecidas levando-se em considerac¸a˜o os va´ rios compartimentos biolo´ gicos que operam em ambientes morfodinamicamente distintos. Estas praias sa˜o predominantemente do tipo intermedia´ rio, embora alguns trechos sejam dissipativos (Praia do Cassino) ou apresentem tendeˆncias reflectivas (Praia dos Concheiros), possuindo compartimentos biolo´ gicos diversificados e associac¸o˜es macrobentoˆnicas residentes. Densas concentrac¸o˜ es da diatoma´cea Asterionellopsis glacialis sa˜o responsa´ veis - pelo menos para as praias intermedia´ rias - por grande parte da produtividade prima´ ria anual, sustentando va´ rios consumidores ate´ o nı´vel tercia´ rio. Entre estes, os bivalves Amarilladesma mactroides, Donax hanleyanus e o crusta´ceo Emerita brasiliensis sa˜o responsa´ veis por mais de 95% de toda a produc¸a˜o secunda´ ria da zona de surfe, em adic¸a˜o a` elevada biomassa do poliqueta suspensı´voro Spio gaucha e do iso´pode necro´fago Excirolana armata. Caranguejos, gastro´ podes, poliquetas carnı´voros, aves marinhas e peixes da zona de surfe tambe´m podem estar presentes, ocupando nı´veis tro´ ficos superiores dependendo da morfodinaˆmica praial. Baseado na alta riqueza de espe´cies, na abundaˆncia e no papel da macrofauna bentoˆ nica em transferir mate´ria e energia para as aves marinhas e as assemble´ias de peixes da zona de surfe, esta importante questa˜o ecolo´ gica do Atlaˆntico Sudoeste foi investigada. Esforc¸os de conservac¸a˜o devem ser implementados nas praias arenosas do extremo sul do Brasil, pelo menos naquelas a´ reas na˜o urbanizadas