Multidecadal variability in hydro-climate of Okavango river system, southwest Africa, in the past and under future climate

The focus of this paper is to understand the multi-decadal oscillatory component of variability in the Okavango River system, in southwestern Africa, and its potential evolution through the 21st century under climate change scenarios. Statistical analyses and hydrological modelling are used to show that the observed multi-decadal wet and dry phases in the Okavango River and Delta result from multi-decadal oscillations in rainfall, which are likely to be related to processes of internal variability in the climate system, rather than external natural or anthropogenic forcing. Analyses of changes in this aspect of variability under projected climate change scenarios are based on data from a multi-model ensemble of 19 General Circulation Models, which are used to drive hydrological models of the Okavango River and Delta. Projections for the 21st century indicate a progressive shift towards drier conditions attributed to the influence of increasing temperatures on water balance. It is, however, highly likely that multi-decadal oscillations, possibly of similar magnitude to that of 20th century, will be superimposed on the overall trend. These may periodically offset or amplify the mean drying trend. This effect should be accounted for in water and catchment management and climate change adaptation strategies

The Ionization State of Sodium in Galactic Winds

Roughly 80% of Ultraluminous Infrared Galaxies (ULIRGs) show blue shifted absorption in the resonance lines of neutral sodium, indicating that cool winds are common in such objects, as shown by Rupke et al and by Martin. The neutral sodium (NaI) columns indicated by these absorption lines are ~ 10^{13}-3x10^{14}/cm^2, while the bolometric luminosity varies by a factor of only four. We show that the gas in ULIRG outflows is likely to be in photoionization equilibrium. The very small ULIRG sample of Goldader et al. demonstrates that the ratio of ultraviolet flux to far infrared flux varies by a factor $\sim100$ from object to object. While the Goldader sample does not overlap with those of Rupke et al. and Martin, we show that such a large variation in ultraviolet flux will produce a similar variation in the column of neutral sodium for a fixed mass flux and density. However, if the cold gas is in pressure equilibrium with a hot outflow with a mass loss rate similar to the star formation rate, the range of ionization state is significantly smaller. Measurements of the UV flux for objects in the Martin and Rupke et al. catalogs will definitively determine if photoionization effects are responsible for the wide variation seen in the sodium columns. If they are, a determination of the gas density and mass loss rate in the cool winds will follow, with attendant improvements in our understanding of wind driving mechanisms and of the effects of galaxies on their surroundings.Comment: 14 pages, 5 figures, submitted to Ap

Plasma-tail activity and the interplanetary medium at Halley's Comet during Armada Week: 6-14 March 1986

The encounters of five spacecraft with Halley's Comet during 6-14 March 1986 offered a unique opportunity to calibrate the solar-wind interaction with cometary plasmas as recorded by remote wide-field and narrow-field/narrowband imaging. Perhaps not generally recognized in the comet community is the additional opportunity offered by the Halley Armada to study the structure of the solar-wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) in three dimensions using five sets of data obtained over similar time intervals and heliocentric distances, but at somewhat different heliolatitudes. In fact, the two problems, i.e., comet physics and the structure of the interplanetary medium, are coupled if one wants to understand what conditions pertained at the comet between the encounters. This relationship is discussed

Bonded Bracket Assmebly for Frameless Solar Panels

In February 2011 the US Department of Energy announced their new Sunshot Initiative. The Sunshot goal is to reduce the total cost of solar energy systems by about 75 percent before the end of the decade. The DOE estimated that a total installed cost of $1 per watt for photovoltaic systems would be equivalent to 6ÃÂâ/kilowatt hour (kWh) for energy available from the grid. The DOE also estimated that to meet the$1 per watt goal, PV module costs would need to be reduced to $.50 per watt, balance of systems costs would need to be reduced to$.40 per watt, and power electronic costs would need to reach $.10 per watt. To address the BOS balance of systems cost component of the$1 per watt goal, the DOE announced a funding opportunity called (BOS-X) Extreme Balance of System Hardware Cost Reductions. The DOE identified eight areas within the total BOS costs: 1) installation labor, 2) installation materials, 3) installation overhead and profit, 4) tracker, 5) permitting and commissioning, 6) site preparation, 7) land acquisition, 8) sales tax. The BOS-X funding announcement requested applications in four specific topics: Topic 1: Transformational Building Integrated Photovoltaic (BIPV) Modules Topic 2: Roof and Ground Mount Innovations Topic 3: Transformational Photovoltaic System Designs Topic 4: Development of New Wind Load Codes for PV Systems The application submitted by ARaymond Tinnerman reflected the requirements listed in Topic #2, Roof and Ground Mount Innovations. The goal of topic #2 was to develop technologies that would result in the extreme reduction of material and labor costs associated with applications that require physical connections and attachments to roof and ground mount structures. The topics researched in this project included component cost reduction, labor reduction, weight reduction, wiring innovations, and alternative material utilization. The project objectives included: 1) The development of an innovative quick snap bracket assembly that would be bonded to frameless PV modules for commercial rooftop installations. 2) The development of a composite pultruded rail to replace traditional racking materials. 3) In partnership with a roofing company, pilot the certification of a commercial roof to be solar panel compliant, eliminating the need for structural analysis and government oversight resulting in significantly decreased permitting costs. 4) Reduce the sum of all cost impacts in topic #2 from a baseline total of $2.05/watt to$.34/watt