Validation of the CREST score for predicting circulatory-aetiology death in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest without STEMI

Aims: The CREST tool was recently developed to stratify the risk of circulatory-aetiology death (CED) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients without ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We aimed to validate the CREST score using an external cohort and determine whether it could be improved by the addition of serum lactate on admission. Methods: The study involved the retrospective analysis of consecutive patients admitted to a single tertiary centre with OHCA of presumed cardiac origin over a 51-month period. The CREST score was calculated by attributing points to the following variables: Coronary artery disease (CAD), non-shockable Rhythm, Ejection fraction <30%, cardiogenic Shock at presentation and ischaemic Time ≥25 minutes. The primary endpoint was CED vs neurological aetiology death (NED) or survival. Results: Of 500 patients admitted with OHCA, 211 did not meet criteria for STEMI and were included. 115 patients died in hospital (71 NED, 44 CED). When analysed individually, CED was associated with all CREST variables other than a previous diagnosis of CAD. The CREST score accurately predicted CED with excellent discrimination (C-statistic 0.880, 95% CI 0.813-0.946) and calibration (Hosmer and Lemeshow P=0.948). Although an admission lactate ≥7 mmol/L also predicted CED, its addition to the CREST score (the C-AREST score) did not significantly improve the predictive ability (CS 0.885, 0.815-0.954, HS P=0.942, X2 difference in -2 log likelihood =0.326, P=0.850). Conclusion: Our study is the first to independently validate the CREST score for predicting CED in patients presenting with OHCA without STEMI. Addition of lactate on admission did not improve its predictive ability.Publisher PDFPeer reviewe

Identifying Cardiac Amyloid in Aortic Stenosis: ECV Quantification by CT in TAVR Patients.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to validate computed tomography measured ECV (ECVCT) as part of routine evaluation for the detection of cardiac amyloid in patients with aortic stenosis (AS)-amyloid. BACKGROUND: AS-amyloid affects 1 in 7 elderly patients referred for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Bone scintigraphy with exclusion of a plasma cell dyscrasia can diagnose transthyretin-related cardiac amyloid noninvasively, for which novel treatments are emerging. Amyloid interstitial expansion increases the myocardial extracellular volume (ECV). METHODS: Patients with severe AS underwent bone scintigraphy (Perugini grade 0, negative; Perugini grades 1 to 3, increasingly positive) and routine TAVR evaluation CT imaging with ECVCT using 3- and 5-min post-contrast acquisitions. Twenty non-AS control patients also had ECVCT performed using the 5-min post-contrast acquisition. RESULTS: A total of 109 patients (43% male; mean age 86 ± 5 years) with severe AS and 20 control subjects were recruited. Sixteen (15%) had AS-amyloid on bone scintigraphy (grade 1, n = 5; grade 2, n = 11). ECVCT was 32 ± 3%, 34 ± 4%, and 43 ± 6% in Perugini grades 0, 1, and 2, respectively (p < 0.001 for trend) with control subjects lower than lone AS (28 ± 2%; p < 0.001). ECVCT accuracy for AS-amyloid detection versus lone AS was 0.87 (0.95 for 99mTc-3,3-diphosphono-1,2-propanodicarboxylic acid Perugini grade 2 only), outperforming conventional electrocardiogram and echocardiography parameters. One composite parameter, the voltage/mass ratio, had utility (similar AUC of 0.87 for any cardiac amyloid detection), although in one-third of patients, this could not be calculated due to bundle branch block or ventricular paced rhythm. CONCLUSIONS: ECVCT during routine CT TAVR evaluation can reliably detect AS-amyloid, and the measured ECVCT tracks the degree of infiltration. Another measure of interstitial expansion, the voltage/mass ratio, also performed well

Non-invasive assessment of swallowing and respiration in Parkinson's disease

Oro-pharyngeal dysphagia is well recognised but often underestimated in people with Parkinson's disease. Asymptomatic patients may fail to receive timely advice or therapy, thus placing them at risk. The aim of this study was to determine whether subclinical abnormalities in swallowing and discrete changes in function such as those produced by prompting can be detected by non-invasive methods. We examined 12 people with idiopathic Parkinson's disease and 14 elderly comparison subjects. Five components of respiratory synchronisation and swalowing efficiency were monitored using the Exeter Dysphagia Assessment Technique. Ten feeding trials were administered under standard quiet conditions. The patients were then restudied using verbal prompts when the spoon was presented to the mouth. The duration of two oro-pharyngeal events and the frequency of respiratory variables were compared for unrelated and related samples. Results showed the oral and pharyngeal parts of the swallow to be significantly slower in those with Parkinson's disease. These patients required significantly more swallows to clear a 5-ml bolus, and fewer swallows were followed by expiration. When the patients were verbally prompted, there was a significant reduction in the duration of the oral part. This study demonstrates that non-invasive methods can be used to detect subclinical difficulties with swallowing amongst a group of asymptomatic patients with PD and that these methods are sensitive to small changes in function produced by a verbal cue